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Portugal vs Norway prediction: expert analysis, possible lineups, October 4, 2026

The hosts should be able to win
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
Portugal vs Norway match prediction on 04.10.26
Math prediction 1 X 2
1.65 Linebet 02 Oct 04:01 1.71 -0.05 01 Oct 20:02 1.85 -0.14 01 Oct 08:01 1.8 + 0.05 29 Sep 20:02 1.66 + 0.1 4.7 Linebet 03 Oct 15:03 4.6 + 0.11 02 Oct 04:01 4.49 + 0.11 01 Oct 20:02 4.3 + 0.19 01 Oct 08:01 4.4 -0.1 30 Sep 20:02 4.45 -0.05 29 Sep 20:02 4.25 + 0.2 4.7 Linebet 02 Oct 04:01 4.49 + 0.26 01 Oct 20:02 3.88 + 0.61 01 Oct 08:01 4.03 -0.15 30 Sep 20:02 4.2 -0.17 29 Sep 20:02 4.06 + 0.15
59% 21% 21%
41 TIPS
Venue Estadio do Dragao (Porto)
Date & kick-off time

On October 4, 2026, Portugal and Norway will face off in the fourth round of UEFA Nations League Division A. The hosts will look to extend their winning streak.

Portugal - Norway team news and expert analysis

Portugal made it out of their group at the World Cup with five points, then produced a comeback victory over Croatia before narrowly losing 0-1 to Spain. Now, under Jorge Jesus, they began their campaign with a narrow win over Wales. In the second round, they faced their current opponents and won 2-1, leaving Ronaldo on the bench. After moving on to Denmark, the coach had a definitive falling-out with Cristiano. His team, however, went on to win 4-2.

Norway became quarterfinalists at the first tournament they qualified for in the current century, the summer World Cup, with only England managing to stop them. Before that, Haaland and company had eliminated Brazil! In the Nations League, they opened against their neighbors Denmark and won thanks to an Erling Haaland brace, but setbacks followed. Thus, after their head-to-head meeting with Wales, they lost while down to ten men.

The reigning tournament winners score an average of 1.9 goals and concede 0.8. The Scandinavians average the same 1.0 goals scored, while conceding almost twice as many - 1.8.

Previous matches: Portugal - Norway

Before this encounter, Portugal had recorded seven wins and one defeat.

It is unlikely that either side will spring a surprise here - the hosts should win again (odds - 1.65).

Portugal - Norway: key statistics and trends

  • Portugal have won three matches in a row
  • 60% of Portugal's matches finish with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 2.7
  • Norway have lost two matches in a row
  • 100% of Norway's matches finish with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 3.7

Portugal - Norway: possible starting lineups

Portugal play in a 1-4-3-3 formation (possible lineup): Diogo Costa - Cancelo, Ruben Dias, Veiga, Nuno Mendes - Ruben Neves, Vitinha, Bruno Fernandes - Pedro Neto, Leao, Goncalo Ramos. Ronaldo has left the national team

Norway play in a 1-4-3-3 formation (possible lineup): Nyland - Ryerson, Ajer, Ostigard, Wolfe - Odegaard, Berge, Aursnes - Bobb, Haaland, Schjelderup. Ryerson is a doubt

Place your bets on the upcoming match and keep track of your team's position in the UEFA Nations League standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction Portugal to Win
1.65
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
WinRate WinRate (%) for the last 30 days 55
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Portugal to Win
1.65