Friendly International Round 1

USA vs Mexico

USA

03.10.26, 22:00

1 : 1

Predicted score

Correct score 1:1 Win Rate

7%

The most likely outcome according to the mathematical prediction

Close

Mexico

Predictions Odds Stats Additional

USA VS Mexico Math predictions

Full-time result

Home

38%

2.58

Draw

28%

3.45

Away

34%

2.9

W1

Win rate 38%

Result: W1 Win Rate

38%

The probability of 2.58 odds implies 38% chance of success, and these expectations were fulfilled in 38% of the recent 15 games with similar odds.

Close

2.58

Both teams to score

Yes

55%

1.67

No

45%

2.08

BTTS: Yes

Win rate 65%

BTTS: YES Win Rate

65%

The probability of 1.67 odds implies 55% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 65% of the last 16 games with similar odds.

Close

1.67

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

50%

1.96

Under 2.5

50%

1.96

O/U: Under 2.5

Win rate 53%

Total Goals: Under Win Rate

53%

The probability of 1.96 odds implies 50% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 53% of the last 15 games with similar odds.

Close

1.96

Double Chance

1/X

68%

1.44

1/2

72%

1.36

X/2

61%

1.6

W1 or W2

Win rate 80%

Double chance: 1/2 Win Rate

80%

The probability of 1.36 odds implies 72% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 80% of the last 30 games with similar odds.

Close

1.36

Correct Score

Chance Odds

1:1

7%

6.5

1:0

6%

8.5

0:1

5%

9

2:1

5%

9

1:2

5%

9.5

Correct Score

Win rate 7%

Correct Score: 1:1 Win Rate

7%

The probability of 6.5 odds implies 7% chance of success, and these expectations were fulfilled in 7% of the recent 15 games with similar odds.

Close

6.5

Expert tip

USA vs Mexico prediction: team news, lineups, expert analysis

On October 4, 2026, the national teams of the USA and Mexico will meet in a friendly match. A marquee CONCACAF...

Both teams to score - Yes

1.66

Bet Now ➔

Bet Builder Tips for USA VS Mexico

Safe Bankers Best Value Bets Crazy Bets

O/U Home team: Over 0.75

Win rate 100%

O/U Home team: Over 0.75 Win Rate

100%

The probability of 1.32 odds implies 69% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 100% of the last 15 games with similar odds.

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Odds 1.32

Chance 69%

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Total Goals: Over 1.75

Win rate 90%

Total Goals: Over 1.75 Win Rate

90%

The probability of 1.31 odds implies 69% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 90% of the last 30 games with similar odds.

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Odds 1.31

Chance 69%

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Total Goals: Over 1.5

Win rate 90%

Total Goals: Over 1.5 Win Rate

90%

The probability of 1.25 odds implies 72% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 90% of the last 30 games with similar odds.

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Odds 1.25

Chance 72%

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O/U Home team: Over 0.5

Win rate 90%

O/U Home team: Over 0.5 Win Rate

90%

The probability of 1.25 odds implies 74% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 90% of the last 30 games with similar odds.

Close

Odds 1.25

Chance 74%

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O/U Away Team: Over 0.75

Win rate 88%

O/U Away Team: Over 0.75 Win Rate

88%

The probability of 1.44 odds implies 64% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 88% of the last 15 games with similar odds.

Close

Odds 1.44

Chance 64%

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Fixture Analysis

Match Overview

USA host Mexico in a 2026 Friendly International, with both sides using this matchday as a high-level test rather than chasing points. USA come in with volatile results and defensive leaks, while Mexico arrive on a long unbeaten run wi...

Read AI Game Analysis

Stats Trends & Facts

• All
• Match Result
• Goals
• Cards
• Corners

Unbeaten

31 games 87%

Mexico have not lost in 27 out of their last 31 games.

Match Result - Mexico mostly likely will not lose

1.6

2.86 Goals Per Game

7 games 86%

In their last 7 games, USA scored more than 1.5 goals per game in 6 of those instances.

USA Total Goals - Over (1.5)

2.2

5 Goals per Game

5 games 80%

In 4 out of the last 5 played by USA, more than 2.5 goals were scored on average.

Total Goals Over (2.5)

1.96

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USA vs Mexico Betting statistics

All leagues

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All leagues

Friendly International

Average Team Stats - all Leagues

Goals BTTS Corners Cards

All H2H

USA

10 Played

10 Played

Mexico

100 %
Over 0.5 goals
100 %
100 %
Over 1.5 goals
80 %
70 %
Over 2.5 goals
30 %
60 %
Over 3.5 goals
20 %
60 %
Over 4.5 goals
20 %
80 %
Over 1.5 goals in 1st period
30 %
60 %
Goals scored in both halves
40 %
60 %
Goals conceded in both halves
10 %
70 %
Total %
40 %
80 %
Last 5
60 %
67 %
Home BTTS %
44 %
100 %
Away BTTS %
0 %
70 %
Over 2.5 goals
20 %
60 %
BTTS first period
20 %
40 %
BTTS and Win
10 %
30 %
BTTS and Lose
10 %
20 %
Won-To-Nil
60 %
10 %
Lost-To-Nil
0 %
0 %
Scoreless
0 %
60 %
Over 9.5
30 %
50 %
Over 10.5
30 %
20 %
Over 11.5
20 %
10 %
Over 12.5
10 %
10 %
Over 13.5
10 %
60 %
Over 2.5
60 %
40 %
Over 3.5
60 %
30 %
Over 4.5
20 %
30 %
Over 5.5
20 %
10 %
Over 6.5
10 %

USA vs Mexico Compare odds

United States

Result Asian Handicap BTTS Corners Correct Score Double chance Goalscorers HT/FT Total Goals O/U Away Team O/U Home team Result / Total goals

Full time

BM	Bonuses	W1	X	W2	Payout
1xbet	Bonus 1xBet Promo Code 2026	2.58 1xbet 02 Oct 12:00 2.48 + 0.1 01 Oct 20:00 2.19 + 0.29	3.45 1xbet 01 Oct 20:00 3.27 + 0.17	2.9 1xbet 02 Oct 12:00 3.04 -0.14 01 Oct 20:00 2.87 + 0.17	98%
Melbet	Bonus Melbet Promo Code	2.5 Melbet 02 Oct 12:00 2.41 + 0.09	3.34	2.82 Melbet 02 Oct 12:00 2.95 -0.13	95%
Bet365	Bonus 15% of your qualifying deposit in Bet Credits up to 60 $	2.37	3.3	2.7	91%
Afropari	Bonus Afropari Promo Code 2026	2.31	3.15 Afropari 01 Oct 21:05 2.99 + 0.16	2.63 Afropari 01 Oct 21:05 2.71 -0.08	87%
Betwinner	Bonus BetWinner Promo Code	2.38 Betwinner 02 Oct 12:00 2.3 + 0.08	3.1	2.75	90%
Average		2.43	3.27	2.76	93%
Highest		2.58	3.45	2.9	98%

USA vs Mexico Head to Head History

Recent H2H Games - 10

USA

5 wins 50%

2 draws 20%

3 wins 30%

Mexico

In the last 10 encounter(s), USA won 5 time(s), Mexico have 3 win(s), and 2 ended in a draw.

Over 1.5

80% 8/10

Over 2.5

40% 4/10

Over 3.5

10% 1/10

BTTS

30% 3/10

Clean Sheets

50% USA

Clean Sheets

30% Mexico

06.07.25 FT

CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA

1

Mexico

2

15.10.24 FT

Friendly International

Mexico

2

USA

0

24.03.24 FT

CONCACAF Nations League

USA

2

Mexico

0

15.06.23 FT

CONCACAF Nations League

USA 2

3

Mexico 2

0

19.04.23 FT

Friendly International

USA

1

Mexico

1

24.03.22 FT

World Cup Qualification CONCACAF

Mexico

0

USA

0

12.11.21 FT

World Cup Qualification CONCACAF

USA

2

Mexico

0

01.08.21 FT

CONCACAF Gold Cup

USA

1

Mexico

0

06.06.21 FT

CONCACAF Nations League

USA

3

Mexico

2

06.09.19 FT

Friendly International

USA

0

Mexico

3

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Teams Season Stats (Current League)

Matches Attack Defence

USA

Mexico

6

Played

10

3

Lost Home

0

3

Won Home

6

0

Draw Home

4

14

Goals

17

53

Ball possession

55

35

Shots off target

51

32

Shots on target

40

32

Corner kicks

37

9

Offsides

21

537

Attacks

782

14

Goals Conceded

4

8

Yellow cards

11

0

Clean Sheets

6

0

Bore Draws

1

0

Own Goals

3

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