Greece vs Germany prediction: teams form analysis, possible lineups on October 4, 2026
On October 4, 2026, the national teams of Greece and Germany will face each other in the fourth round of UEFA Nations League Division A. The hosts will try to surprise everyone once again.
Greece - Germany team news and expert analysis
Greece managed to earn promotion from Division B at the end of the previous cycle, but then endured a mediocre World Cup qualifying campaign last year. They opened the current tournament in Serbia and snatched victory at the death. They then traveled to Germany and sensationally won 1-0. At the halfway point of the group stage, they led the Dutch by two goals at home but allowed their opponents to fight back for a draw.
Germany reached the knockout stage of the World Cup with six points. However, they lost to Paraguay on penalties in the very first playoff round, and that proved unforgivable for Nagelsmann. Klopp replaced him and immediately caused a stir by fielding two different lineups. Some players featured against the Netherlands and the current opponent. Those matches brought disappointment: Germany let a win slip away in a 1-1 draw and then shocked everyone with a defeat. The squad changed significantly for the game against Serbia, and they finally secured a 2-0 victory.
Pavlidis and company are scoring 1.1 goals per match while conceding 1.2. The revamped Germany are currently averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Previous matches: Greece - Germany
Excluding the current cycle, the teams have met ten times. With three draws, Germany won all of the remaining matches, including three straight victories before the current Nations League campaign.
The visitors are expected to seek revenge. However, they have been inconsistent, while the hosts look excellent — the better option is to back "both teams to score" (odds – 1.64).
Greece - Germany: key statistics and trends
- Greece have won two of their last three matches
- 50% of Greece's matches finish with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per game is 2.3
- Germany have won for the first time in five matches
- 70% of Germany's matches finish with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per game is 3.1
Greece - Germany: possible starting lineups
Greece play in a 1-4-4-2 formation (possible lineup): Tzolakis - Saliakas, Mavropanos, Retsos, Tsimikas - Karetsas, Kourbelis, Androutsos, Tzolis - Pavlidis, Ioannidis
Germany play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (possible lineup): Urbig - Treu, Tah, Anton, Mittelstädt - Gnabry, Pavlovic - Bischof, Shëqiraj, Wirtz - Woltemade. Schlotterbeck is doubtful
Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the team's performance in the UEFA Nations League standings