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Greece vs Germany prediction: teams form analysis, possible lineups on October 4, 2026

Both teams will score
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
Greece vs Germany match prediction on 04.10.26
Math prediction 1 X 2
4.1 Linebet 02 Oct 20:03 3.86 + 0.24 01 Oct 20:02 3.48 + 0.38 29 Sep 20:02 3.62 -0.16 3.95 Linebet 02 Oct 20:03 3.88 + 0.08 01 Oct 20:02 3.78 + 0.1 30 Sep 20:02 4.35 -0.57 29 Sep 20:02 3.98 + 0.37 1.87 Linebet 02 Oct 20:03 1.94 -0.07 01 Oct 20:02 2.08 -0.14 30 Sep 20:02 1.95 + 0.13 29 Sep 20:02 1.79 + 0.16
24% 25% 52%
25 TIPS
Venue Toumba Stadium (Thessaloniki)
Date & kick-off time

On October 4, 2026, the national teams of Greece and Germany will face each other in the fourth round of UEFA Nations League Division A. The hosts will try to surprise everyone once again.

Greece - Germany team news and expert analysis

Greece managed to earn promotion from Division B at the end of the previous cycle, but then endured a mediocre World Cup qualifying campaign last year. They opened the current tournament in Serbia and snatched victory at the death. They then traveled to Germany and sensationally won 1-0. At the halfway point of the group stage, they led the Dutch by two goals at home but allowed their opponents to fight back for a draw.

Germany reached the knockout stage of the World Cup with six points. However, they lost to Paraguay on penalties in the very first playoff round, and that proved unforgivable for Nagelsmann. Klopp replaced him and immediately caused a stir by fielding two different lineups. Some players featured against the Netherlands and the current opponent. Those matches brought disappointment: Germany let a win slip away in a 1-1 draw and then shocked everyone with a defeat. The squad changed significantly for the game against Serbia, and they finally secured a 2-0 victory.

Pavlidis and company are scoring 1.1 goals per match while conceding 1.2. The revamped Germany are currently averaging 2.2 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game.

Previous matches: Greece - Germany

Excluding the current cycle, the teams have met ten times. With three draws, Germany won all of the remaining matches, including three straight victories before the current Nations League campaign.

The visitors are expected to seek revenge. However, they have been inconsistent, while the hosts look excellent — the better option is to back "both teams to score" (odds – 1.64).

Greece - Germany: key statistics and trends

  • Greece have won two of their last three matches
  • 50% of Greece's matches finish with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per game is 2.3
  • Germany have won for the first time in five matches
  • 70% of Germany's matches finish with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per game is 3.1

Greece - Germany: possible starting lineups

Greece play in a 1-4-4-2 formation (possible lineup): Tzolakis - Saliakas, Mavropanos, Retsos, Tsimikas - Karetsas, Kourbelis, Androutsos, Tzolis - Pavlidis, Ioannidis

Germany play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (possible lineup): Urbig - Treu, Tah, Anton, Mittelstädt - Gnabry, Pavlovic - Bischof, Shëqiraj, Wirtz - Woltemade. Schlotterbeck is doubtful

Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the team's performance in the UEFA Nations League standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction Both teams to score - Yes
1.64
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Both teams to score - Yes
1.64