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Morocco vs Mali prediction: team news, lineups, expert analysis

The hosts could claim victory
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
Morocco vs Mali match prediction on 04.10.26
Math prediction 1 X 2
1.4 Linebet 03 Oct 15:03 1.5 -0.14 4.85 Linebet 03 Oct 16:03 4.95 -0.11 03 Oct 15:03 4.31 + 0.64 03 Oct 13:03 4.06 + 0.25 10 Linebet 03 Oct 16:03 11.5 -1.5 03 Oct 15:03 8.15 + 3.35 03 Oct 13:03 10.1 -1.95
70% 20% 10%
23 TIPS
Date & kick-off time

On October 4, 2026, the national teams of Morocco and Mali will meet in a friendly match . The hosts will look to beat this challenging opponent.

Morocco vs Mali: team news and expert analysis

Morocco lost the final of the "home" Africa Cup of Nations, but were later awarded the trophy "retroactively" after being granted a technical victory. They were unable to replicate their success from the 2022 World Cup in Qatar, but still collected seven points in the group stage, defeated the Netherlands and Canada in the knockout rounds, and only lost to France in the quarter-finals. They have now started their AFCON qualifying campaign with a 2-0 win over Gabon. They repeated the same scoreline against Lesotho.

Mali managed to record four consecutive victories at the last Africa Cup of Nations — winning every group-stage match and then defeating Tunisia in the knockout stage on penalties. However, they later lost to Senegal. They began the new qualifying campaign at home with a victory over Cape Verde. Away to Liberia, they secured a 1-0 win.

The AFCON winners average 1.9 goals scored per match and concede 0.7. Their opponents have only 0.7 goals per game, but they also concede 0.7.

Previous matches: Morocco vs Mali

The teams have three wins apiece in their last seven meetings.

The stronger team is playing at home. We are backing them to win (odds – 1.68).

Morocco vs Mali: key statistics and trends

  • Morocco have won five of their last seven matches
  • Both teams have scored in 40% of Morocco's matches, with an average total of 2.6 goals per game
  • Mali have won both of their last two matches
  • Both teams have scored in 40% of Mali's matches, with an average total of 1.4 goals per game

Morocco vs Mali: possible starting lineups

Morocco are expected to line up in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation: Bounou - El Ouahdi, Diop, Ait Boudlal, Mazraoui - El Aynaoui, Targalline - Saibari, El Khannouss, Ounahi - Diaz

Mali are expected to line up in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation: Diarra - Traore, Camara, Gassama, Guindo - Dieng, Sangare - Doumbia, Thia, Dorgeles - Sinayoko

Follow the friendly match standings and find out about your team's form before placing a bet on the next match

Our Pick
Game Prediction Morocco to Win
1.68
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
WinRate WinRate (%) for the last 30 days 55
Avr. Coef. Avr. Coef. for the last 30 days 1.73
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Morocco to Win
1.68