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Azerbaijan vs Lithuania prediction: expert analysis, possible lineups, October 4, 2026

The hosts could claim victory
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
Azerbaijan vs Lithuania match prediction on 04.10.26
Math prediction 1 X 2
2.33 3.32 3.34
42% 29% 29%
13 TIPS
Tournament UEFA Nations League D
Venue Neftci Arena (Baku)
Date & kick-off time

On October 4, 2026, the national teams of Azerbaijan and Lithuania will meet in the fourth round of UEFA Nations League Division D. The hosts will be looking to finally claim a victory.

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania team news and expert analysis

Azerbaijan finished bottom of their groups both in the previous Nations League campaign and in qualifying. In the autumn, they began with a friendly against Tajikistan, securing a 1-0 win. They then exchanged goals with Lithuania to draw 1-1. On Thursday, however, they suffered a clear setback against Liechtenstein: they failed to score and had to settle for a goalless draw.

Lithuania also finished bottom of their groups in the most recent cycles. In the current edition, they opened against Liechtenstein, winning 2-0 away from home. They shared the points at home against their current opponents. After that, they managed to play a friendly against Andorra – and secured a convincing victory, .

The players from the South Caucasus score and concede 1.3 goals per game. Their Baltic visitors score 1.1 goals per match but concede 1.4.

Previous meetings: Azerbaijan vs Lithuania

Before the current cycle, the teams had recorded every possible outcome: one win apiece and a draw.

The visitors are in decent form. However, taking home advantage into account, we are backing the hosts to win with a "0" handicap (odds – 1.60).

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania: key statistics and trends

  • Azerbaijan have won three of their last seven matches
  • 60% of Azerbaijan's matches end with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 2.6.
  • Lithuania have won two of their last three matches
  • 30% of Lithuania's matches end with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 2.5

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania: possible starting lineups

Azerbaijan play in a 1-4-3-3 formation (possible lineup): Balayev – Mutallimov, Badalov, Krivotsyuk, Bayramov – Khaibullayev, Mahmudov, Emreli – Sadykhov, Isgandarli, Gurbanly

Lithuania play in a 1-3-4-3 formation (possible lineup): Bartkus – Armalas, Utkus, Tutyshkinas – Likunas, Michelbrink, Gineitis, Lasickas – Slivka, Kucys, Dolzhnikov

Place your bets on the upcoming match and keep track of your team's position in the UEFA Nations League table

Our Pick
Game Prediction W1(0)
1.6
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
W1(0)
1.6