Azerbaijan vs Lithuania prediction: expert analysis, possible lineups, October 4, 2026
On October 4, 2026, the national teams of Azerbaijan and Lithuania will meet in the fourth round of UEFA Nations League Division D. The hosts will be looking to finally claim a victory.
Azerbaijan vs Lithuania team news and expert analysis
Azerbaijan finished bottom of their groups both in the previous Nations League campaign and in qualifying. In the autumn, they began with a friendly against Tajikistan, securing a 1-0 win. They then exchanged goals with Lithuania to draw 1-1. On Thursday, however, they suffered a clear setback against Liechtenstein: they failed to score and had to settle for a goalless draw.
Lithuania also finished bottom of their groups in the most recent cycles. In the current edition, they opened against Liechtenstein, winning 2-0 away from home. They shared the points at home against their current opponents. After that, they managed to play a friendly against Andorra – and secured a convincing victory, .
The players from the South Caucasus score and concede 1.3 goals per game. Their Baltic visitors score 1.1 goals per match but concede 1.4.
Previous meetings: Azerbaijan vs Lithuania
Before the current cycle, the teams had recorded every possible outcome: one win apiece and a draw.
The visitors are in decent form. However, taking home advantage into account, we are backing the hosts to win with a "0" handicap (odds – 1.60).
Azerbaijan vs Lithuania: key statistics and trends
- Azerbaijan have won three of their last seven matches
- 60% of Azerbaijan's matches end with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 2.6.
- Lithuania have won two of their last three matches
- 30% of Lithuania's matches end with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 2.5
Azerbaijan vs Lithuania: possible starting lineups
Azerbaijan play in a 1-4-3-3 formation (possible lineup): Balayev – Mutallimov, Badalov, Krivotsyuk, Bayramov – Khaibullayev, Mahmudov, Emreli – Sadykhov, Isgandarli, Gurbanly
Lithuania play in a 1-3-4-3 formation (possible lineup): Bartkus – Armalas, Utkus, Tutyshkinas – Likunas, Michelbrink, Gineitis, Lasickas – Slivka, Kucys, Dolzhnikov
Place your bets on the upcoming match and keep track of your team's position in the UEFA Nations League table