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Netherlands vs Serbia prediction: team news, lineups, expert analysis

The hosts should win comfortably
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
Netherlands vs Serbia match prediction on 04.10.26
Math prediction 1 X 2
1.17 Linebet 01 Oct 08:01 1.3 -0.06 29 Sep 20:02 1.11 + 0.17 8.2 Linebet 03 Oct 18:02 7.7 + 0.5 03 Oct 04:04 7.65 + 0.05 01 Oct 21:05 7.03 + 0.62 01 Oct 20:02 6.67 + 0.36 01 Oct 08:01 5.66 + 1.01 29 Sep 21:02 5.71 -0.05 29 Sep 20:02 7.27 -1.56 17.5 Linebet 03 Oct 18:02 16 + 1.5 03 Oct 04:04 15.5 + 0.5 01 Oct 21:05 13.9 + 1.6 01 Oct 20:02 12.8 + 1.1 01 Oct 08:01 12.1 + 0.7 30 Sep 20:02 13.1 -1 29 Sep 21:02 12.8 + 0.3 29 Sep 20:02 17 -4.2
83% 12% 6%
30 TIPS
Venue Philips Stadion (Eindhoven)
Date & kick-off time

On October 4, 2026, the Netherlands and Serbia national teams will meet in the fourth round of UEFA Nations League League A. The hosts simply have to win.

Netherlands - Serbia: team news and expert analysis

The Dutch made it confidently out of their World Cup group with seven points. However, in the playoffs they immediately allowed Morocco to equalize in the 90+ minute and then lost on penalties. It was viewed as a failure, and Koeman was replaced by Xavi. The Catalan coach made his debut against Germany, snatching a draw thanks to a goal from Gakpo. The Netherlands then beat their current opponents in a head-to-head clash. In Greece, they came back from 0-2 down to earn another draw.

Serbia established themselves in League A of the Nations League and reached several consecutive major tournaments under Stojković. However, last year they surrendered second place to Albania in qualifying, and the coach was replaced. In the opening round, they suffered a listless defeat to Greece. After hosting their current opponents, they traveled to Germany, where they had no answer to the two goals they conceded.

The representatives of the Benelux region score an average of 1.9 goals per match and concede 1.2. Their Balkan visitors have scored once and conceded 2.2 goals per game.

Previous matches: Netherlands - Serbia

The national teams met for the first time last week.

This is the kind of opponent the hosts simply have to beat — and beat convincingly. We are backing the Netherlands to win with a "-2 goals" handicap (odds – 1.73).

Netherlands - Serbia: key statistics and trends

  • The Netherlands have drawn two of their last three matches
  • Both teams have scored in 90% of the Netherlands' matches, while the average total is 3.1 goals per game
  • Serbia have lost five matches in a row
  • Both teams have scored in 60% of Serbia's matches, while the average total is 3.2 goals per game

Netherlands - Serbia: possible starting lineups

The Netherlands play in a 1-4-3-3 formation (possible lineup): Verbruggen - Dumfries, Timber, van Dijk, van de Ven - Veerman, Til, Quinten Timber - Summerville, Meerdink, van Bommel. Gakpo is injured

Serbia play in a 1-5-4-1 formation (possible lineup): Petrović - Nedeljković, Eraković, Gudelj, Babić, Kostić - Živković, Maksimović, Đjodjić, Tadić - Jović

Follow the UEFA Nations League standings and find out how your team is performing before placing a bet on the next match

Our Pick
Game Prediction W1(-2)
1.73
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
WinRate WinRate (%) for the last 30 days 55
Avr. Coef. Avr. Coef. for the last 30 days 1.73
Void Voided bets (postponements, cancellations, etc.) in the last 30 days 91
Won/total Performance for the last 30 days 166 / 303
Active tips 22
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Game Prediction Our Pick
W1(-2)
1.73