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Estonia vs Iceland prediction: teams form analysis, possible lineups on October 6, 2026

The hosts are being underestimated
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
Estonia vs Iceland match prediction on 06.10.26
Math prediction 1 X 2
5.31 4.09 1.67
18% 24% 58%
Venue A Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)
Date & kick-off time

On October 6, 2026, Estonia and Iceland will face off in a national-team clash on Matchday 4 of League C in the UEFA Nations League. Both sides believe they can come out on top in this head-to-head encounter.

Estonia - Iceland team news and expert analysis

Estonia finished second from bottom in their groups both in the Nations League and in World Cup qualifying. They began the current campaign away to their present opponents, ending the match in a 1-1 draw. They then failed to score in Bulgaria but also kept a clean sheet, finishing 0-0. Against Luxembourg, they finally secured a victory.

Iceland lost their playoff tie against Kosovo and were relegated from League B. In World Cup qualifying, they drew with France but lost twice to Ukraine, finishing third in their group. After their head-to-head clash with Luxembourg, they produced an excellent performance, winning 3-0. They repeated the rout against Bulgaria.

The Baltic side have been scoring one goal per game while conceding 1.4 on average. Iceland have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded.

Previous matches: Estonia - Iceland

Overall, Iceland have the edge, but three consecutive draws were recorded before the current cycle.

The visitors are considered clear favorites. However, it is worth backing their opponents to claim a "home" victory with a "+1 goal" handicap (odds – 1.78).

Estonia - Iceland: key statistics and trends

  • Estonia are unbeaten in the League
  • 60% of Estonia's matches end with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 2.4
  • Iceland have won two matches in a row
  • 30% of Iceland's matches end with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 2.6

Estonia - Iceland: possible starting lineups

Estonia play in a 1-5-3-1-1 formation (possible lineup): Igonen - Paskotsi, Kuusk, Peetson, Schönning-Larsen, Poom - Palumets, Käit, Kristal - Harlamov - Männila. Mets and Sinyavskiy will miss the match for different reasons

Iceland play in a 1-4-4-2 formation (possible lineup): Valdimarsson - Anderson, Magnússon, Pálsson, Þórðarson - Ellertsson, Baldursson, Jóhannesson, Þorsteinsson - Haraldsson - Óskarsson. Guðmundsson, Ólafsson, Ingason, Hlínsson and Þórðarson are in the treatment room

Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the team's performance in the UEFA Nations League standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction W1(+1)
1.78
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
W1(+1)
1.78