Italy vs Turkey prediction: expert analysis, possible lineups, October 5, 2026
On October 5, 2026, Italy and Turkey will meet in the fourth round of UEFA Nations League Division A. The hosts are determined to win again.
Italy vs Turkey: team news and expert analysis
Italy have once again lost in a World Cup qualifying playoff — for the third consecutive time. This time, they beat Northern Ireland in March but then lost to Bosnia on penalties. With Mancini back in the coaching role, they fell 0-2 to Belgium. They then thrashed the current opponents 4-1 on their home turf. Away to France, they managed to snatch at least a draw while playing with a numerical advantage.
Turkey played at the World Cup but, after starting with two defeats, lost their chances of reaching the playoffs early. At least they ended their campaign by edging past the United States. In the Nations League, they opened against the group’s main favorites, France, and lost to Mbappé’s only goal. Then, after facing their current opponents, they failed to respond against Belgium, conceding three goals and suffering another defeat.
The historic giant of European football scores 1.67 goals per game but concedes 1.33. Montella’s side averages 0.33 goals per match against its opponents and 2.67 in its own net.
Previous matches: Italy vs Turkey
Italy have never lost to this opponent: they have won seven times and drawn four.
The visitors are extremely vulnerable. This is the kind of opponent Italy simply have to beat — the thrashing may not be repeated, but we are backing Italy to win again with a "-1 goal" handicap (odds: 1.65).
Italy vs Turkey: key statistics and trends
- Italy have won one of their three matches in the League
- Turkey have lost five of their last six matches
Italy vs Turkey: possible starting lineups
Italy play in a 1-4-3-3 formation (possible lineup): Donnarumma — Kayode, Scalvini, Bastoni, Calafiori — Frattesi, Tonali, Fagioli — Francesco Esposito, Sebastiano Esposito, Kean
Turkey play in a 1-4-4-2 formation (possible lineup): Çakır — Çelik, Demiral, Bardakcı, Kadıoğlu — Aktürkoğlu, Yüksek, Elmaz, Aydın — Güler, Yılmaz
Place your bets on the upcoming match and follow your team’s position in the UEFA Nations League standings
