UEFA Nations League A
Round 4
Italy vs Turkiye
Italy
3 place
2
:
0
Correct score 2:0
Win Rate
4%
The most likely outcome according to the mathematical prediction
Turkiye
4 place
Italy VS Turkiye Math predictions
Full-time result
Home
64%
1.52
Draw
20%
4.91
Away
16%
5.92
W1
Result:
W1
Win Rate
64%
The probability of 1.52 odds implies 64% chance of success, and these expectations were fulfilled in 64% of the recent 15 games with similar odds.
1.52
Both teams to score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.2
BTTS: Yes
BTTS:
YES
Win Rate
48%
The probability of 1.61 odds implies 58% chance of success, but it only happened in 48% of the last 17 games with similar odds.
1.61
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.47
Under 2.5
37%
2.46
O/U: Over 2.5
Total Goals:
Over
Win Rate
53%
The probability of 1.47 odds implies 63% chance of success, but it only happened in 53% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
1.47
Double Chance
1/X
84%
1.15
1/2
80%
1.2
X/2
36%
2.65
W1 or Draw
Double chance:
1/X
Win Rate
84%
The probability of 1.15 odds implies 84% chance of success, and these expectations were fulfilled in 84% of the recent 15 games with similar odds.
1.15
Correct Score
Chance
Odds
Correct Score
Correct Score:
2:1
Win Rate
6%
The probability of 7.5 odds implies 6% chance of success, and these expectations were fulfilled in 6% of the recent 15 games with similar odds.
7.5
Bet Builder Tips for Italy VS Turkiye
O/U Home team: Under 2.25
O/U Home team:
Under 2.25
Win Rate
88%
The probability of 1.43 odds implies 65% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 88% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.43
Chance
65%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Afropari | $14.3 | 1.43 | 92% |
O/U Home team: Under 2.5
O/U Home team:
Under 2.5
Win Rate
86%
The probability of 1.5 odds implies 62% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 86% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.5
Chance
62%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1xbet | $15 | 1.5 | 93% | |
|
|
Afropari | $13.5 | 1.35 | 93% | |
|
Betway | $13 | 1.3 | 90% |
Asian Handicap: 1
Asian Handicap:
1
Win Rate
83%
The probability of 1.25 odds implies 76% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 83% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.25
Chance
76%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Melbet | $12.5 | 1.25 | 95% | |
|
|
Afropari | $12.2 | 1.22 | 92% | |
|
|
1xbet | $11.7 | 1.17 | 92% |
Draw No Bet: Home
Draw No Bet:
Home
Win Rate
80%
The probability of 1.25 odds implies 74% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 80% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.25
Chance
74%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Betway | $12.5 | 1.25 | 91% | |
|
|
Afropari | $12.5 | 1.25 | 95% |
Stats Trends & Facts
- All
- Match Result
- Goals
- Cards
- Corners
Unbeaten
13 games
85%
Italy remained unbeaten in 11 of their 13 most recent matches.
Match Result - Italy mostly likely will not lose
1.15
Loosing
5 games
80%
Turkiye suffered 4 defeats in 5 of their most recent games.
Match Result - Turkiye likely to lose
1.52
Team Goals Under
5 games
80%
In 4 of the last 5 games, Turkiye has scored less than 1.5 times.
Team Goals - Turkiye Under (1.5)
1.33
Italy vs Turkiye Betting statistics
All leagues
UEFA Nations League A
10
Played
10
Played
100 %
Over 0.5 goals
100 %
80 %
Over 1.5 goals
60 %
40 %
Over 2.5 goals
50 %
30 %
Over 3.5 goals
40 %
20 %
Over 4.5 goals
20 %
20 %
Over 1.5 goals in 1st period
50 %
30 %
Goals scored in both halves
40 %
10 %
Goals conceded in both halves
40 %
Italy vs Turkiye Compare odds
United States| BM | Bonuses | W1 | X | W2 | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Bonus
1xBet Promo Code 2026
|
1.52
1xbet
02 Oct 08:00
1.62
-0.1
|
4.91
1xbet
02 Oct 08:00
4.7
+ 0.21
01 Oct 20:00
4.1
+ 0.6
|
5.92
1xbet
02 Oct 08:00
5
+ 0.92
01 Oct 20:00
4.73
+ 0.28
|
97%
|
|
|
Bonus
Melbet Promo Code
|
1.49
Melbet
02 Oct 08:00
1.58
-0.09
|
4.8
Melbet
02 Oct 08:00
4.6
+ 0.2
|
5.75
Melbet
02 Oct 08:00
4.88
+ 0.87
|
95%
|
|
Bonus
15% of your qualifying deposit in Bet Credits up to 60 $
|
1.5
|
3
|
1.5
|
34%
|
|
|
1.57
|
4
Betway
01 Oct 21:06
4.2
-0.2
|
4.2
|
88%
|
|
|
|
Bonus
Afropari Promo Code 2026
|
2.07
|
2.27
|
4.8
|
87%
|
|
Bonus
BetWinner Promo Code
|
1.5
Betwinner
02 Oct 08:00
1.57
-0.07
|
4.2
|
5
Betwinner
02 Oct 08:00
4.5
+ 0.5
|
90%
|
| Average | 1.61 | 3.86 | 4.53 |
82%
|
|
| Highest | 2.07 | 4.91 | 5.92 |
97%
|
Players to watch
UEFA Nations League A 2026/2027
Other Scorers
Alessandro Bastoni
1 goals
1 goals
Francesco Pio Esposito
1 goals
1 goals
Davide Frattesi
1 goals
1 goals
Italy vs Turkiye Head to Head History
Recent H2H Games - 6
3
wins
50%
3
draws
50%
0
wins
0%
Over 1.5
83%
5/6
Over 2.5
50%
3/6
Over 3.5
33%
2/6
BTTS
67%
4/6
Clean Sheets
33%
Italy
Clean Sheets
17%
Turkiye
28.09.26 FT
UEFA Nations League A
Turkiye
Italy
1
4
04.06.24 FT
Friendly International
Italy
Turkiye
0
0
29.03.22 FT
Friendly International
Turkiye
Italy
2
3
11.06.21 FT
European Championship
Turkiye
Italy
0
3
15.11.06 FT
Friendly International
Italy
Turkiye
1
1
Last matches - Italy
Statistics for the team's last 10 games
7
wins
70%
1
draw
10%
2
losses
20%
Avg Goals Scored
1.8
Avg Goals Conceded
0.9
Cards per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
2.1
Corners per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
6.3
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
40%
28.09.26 FT
UEFA Nations League A
Turkiye
Italy
1
4
25.09.26 FT
UEFA Nations League A
Italy
Belgium
0
2
07.06.26 FT
Friendly International
Greece
0
Italy
1
03.06.26 FT
Friendly International
Luxembourg
Italy
0
1
31.03.26 FT
World Cup Qualification UEFA
Bosnia and Herzegovina
(4)
1
Italy
(1)
1
Last matches - Turkiye
Statistics for the team's last 10 games
5
wins
50%
1
draw
10%
4
losses
40%
Avg Goals Scored
1.4
Avg Goals Conceded
1.3
Cards per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
2.2
Corners per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
6
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
40%
28.09.26 FT
UEFA Nations League A
Turkiye
Italy
1
4
25.09.26 FT
UEFA Nations League A
France
Turkiye
0
1
25.06.26 FT
World Cup
Turkiye
USA
3
2
19.06.26 FT
World Cup
Turkiye
0
Paraguay
1
14.06.26 FT
World Cup
Australia
Turkiye
2
0
Italy vs Turkiye standings
UEFA Nations League A Table| № | Team | MP | W | D | L | Goals | Pt |
| 1 | France | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Belgium | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 4 |
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
Italy vs Turkiye form comparison
Teams Season Stats (Current League)
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