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France vs Belgium prediction: teams form analysis, possible lineups on October 5, 2026

The hosts can secure a win
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
France vs Belgium match prediction on 05.10.26
Math prediction 1 X 2
1.53 Linebet 01 Oct 20:00 1.45 + 0.11 30 Sep 20:00 1.51 -0.06 4.7 Linebet 04 Oct 18:01 4.6 + 0.1 02 Oct 08:00 4.66 -0.1 30 Sep 20:00 4.54 + 0.16 6.05 Linebet 04 Oct 18:01 5.65 + 0.4 02 Oct 08:00 5.72 -0.11 01 Oct 20:00 5.42 + 0.3 30 Sep 20:00 4.92 + 0.51
63% 21% 16%
45 TIPS
Venue Stade de France (Saint-Denis)
Date & kick-off time

On October 5, 2026, France and Belgium will face each other in the fourth round of Division A of the UEFA Nations League. The hosts will try to beat their neighbours once again

France - Belgium team news and expert analysis

France kept winning at the World Cup until they were stopped by Spain in the semifinals. After that, they had no motivation left to fight England, even in Deschamps' final match in charge: they lost 4-6 and finished the tournament in fourth place. Now under Zidane, they opened their campaign against Turkey with a 1-0 win. They then travelled to face their current opponents and repeated that scoreline thanks to a goal from substitute Olise. Closing out the first round against Italy, they also took the lead through a goal from their playmaker, but had to settle for a 1-1 draw.

Belgium also suffered at the hands of Spain in the summer, but slightly earlier, dramatically losing in the quarterfinals. After that, they too changed managers. Van Bommel made his debut against Italy, securing a convincing 2-0 victory. Then, in their home meeting with Turkey, they went one better, winning 3-0.

Mbappe and company are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match. Their neighbours currently have 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded.

Previous matches: France - Belgium

Deschamps' men won five consecutive meetings between 2018 and 2024.

The hosts are the stronger side and can claim another victory (odds – 1.60).

France - Belgium: key statistics and trends

  • France have won two of their last three matches
  • Belgium have won three of their last five games

France - Belgium: possible starting lineups

France play in a 1-4-3-3 formation (possible lineup): Maignan - Kalulu, Jaquet, Lacroix, Truffert - Cherki, R. Rabiot, Da Cunha - Olise, Dembele, Doue. Upamecano was sent off in the previous round, while Mbappe is injured

Belgium play in a 1-4-3-3-2 formation (possible lineup): Lammens - Castagne, Mechele, Ngoy, De Cuyper - Vanaken, Raskin, Lavia - Godts, De Ketelaere, Lukebakio. De Bruyne and Tielemans are suspended.

Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the team's performance in the UEFA Nations League standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction France to Win
1.6
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
France to Win
1.6