Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev prediction and betting tips – October 5, 2026
Beijing, China
The semifinals of the Beijing tournament will take place on October 5, with Novak Djokovic facing Daniil Medvedev in one of them. Here is my betting pick for the upcoming battle.
Novak Djokovic
The Serbian is a true legend of world tennis. He has already passed his prime, but continues to produce high-level performances. Djokovic is now 39 and competes only at major tournaments. His biggest achievements this year are reaching the Australian Open final and the Wimbledon semifinals.
Djokovic has a remarkable record in Beijing: 32 consecutive wins and six titles from six appearances. Now he is going for number seven. Here, Nole defeated Portugal’s Nuno Borges 6-3, 7-6, China’s Yunchaokete Bu 4-6, 7-6, 6-2, and then beat world No. 2 Alexander Zverev in the quarterfinals 4-6, 6-4, 6-4.
Djokovic is ranked only 11th in the world, but this is not a situation where the rankings should be taken at face value.
Daniil Medvedev
The Russian, competing under a neutral flag, is having an inconsistent season. On the one hand, Medvedev has won three tournaments—Brisbane, Dubai and Guangzhou—and returned to the top 10. He is currently the world No. 6. Among the drawbacks, however, is his underwhelming performance at Grand Slam tournaments.
In Beijing, Medvedev defeated Spain’s Pablo Carreño Busta 6-4, 6-2, Germany’s Jan-Lennard Struff 6-4, 6-3, and Argentina’s Francisco Cerúndolo 7-6, 6-3. Beating a living legend will not be easy, and it will be crucial for him to remain mentally composed.
Head-to-head record
The Serbian leads their head-to-head record 10-5. Their last meeting took place back in 2023, when Djokovic won in the US Open final.
Match prediction
The bookmakers give Medvedev the edge in this matchup, although much will depend on how well Djokovic recovers. In terms of talent, skill and experience, the Serbian is clearly superior, but his age cannot be ignored—he is nine years older than his opponent. This battle could go the distance, so my pick is over 22.5 games.
