Turkey vs Italy prediction: teams form analysis, possible lineups on September 28, 2026
On September 28, 2026, the national teams of Turkey and Italy will face each other in the second round of League A of the UEFA Nations League.
Turkey vs Italy: team news and expert analysis
Turkey performed well at the last European Championship and earned promotion to the top tier of the Nations League. However, they collapsed at the World Cup in the summer: after just two rounds, defeats to Australia and Paraguay saw them eliminated early. Still, they ended their campaign on a high by "slamming the door" with a victory over the USA! They have now started with a home game against France. After Mbappe's goal, they could only respond with Cakir's sending-off.
Italy failed to qualify for a third consecutive World Cup: Norway left them with no chance in the group, while in the spring playoffs they comfortably beat Northern Ireland 2-0 before losing to Bosnia on penalties while down to ten men. Gattuso stepped down after that, and in June they defeated Luxembourg and Greece without a full-time coach in charge. Mancini returned to the post only in the autumn. His "second debut" against Belgium ended in disaster: conceding once in each half, his team lost 0-2 at home!
Montella's men scored an average of 1.5 goals per game and conceded 0.9. The Azzurri, meanwhile, scored 1.9 goals while allowing 1.2 on average.
Previous matches: Turkey vs Italy
The teams have met eleven times in total, with Italy winning eight of those encounters and three ending in draws.
Both teams need nothing less than a victory. Our pick is for the match to produce "over 2.5 total goals" (odds – 1.84).
Turkey vs Italy: key statistics and trends
- Turkey have lost three of their last four matches
- 30% of Turkey's matches finish with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 2.4
- Italy have won three of their last five matches
- 40% of Italy's matches finish with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 3.1
Turkey vs Italy: possible starting lineups
Turkey play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (possible lineup): Bayindir – Celik, Demiral, Bardakci, Aydin – Ozcan, Yuksek – Kadioglu, Guler, Uzun – Yilmaz. Cakir was sent off in the previous match
Italy play in a 1-4-3-2-1 formation (possible lineup): Donnarumma – Di Lorenzo, Mancini, Coppola, Calafiori – Barella, Romano, Tonali – Cambiaghi, Esposito – Kean
Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the team's performance in the UEFA Nations League standings