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Belgium vs France prediction: expert analysis, possible lineups, September 28, 2026

Expect no more than three goals
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
Belgium vs France match prediction on Sep 28, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
3.72 Linebet 26 Sep 20:01 3.72 -0.08 25 Sep 20:00 4.34 -0.55 25 Sep 08:00 3.87 + 0.48 22 Sep 20:00 3.39 + 0.42 19 Sep 21:07 3.04 + 0.3 4.1 Linebet 25 Sep 20:00 4.24 -0.1 25 Sep 08:00 3.89 + 0.36 22 Sep 20:00 3.75 + 0.11 21 Sep 20:00 3.3 + 0.44 20 Sep 21:03 3.1 + 0.2 19 Sep 21:07 3.71 -0.61 1.93 Linebet 25 Sep 20:00 1.77 + 0.13 25 Sep 08:00 1.94 -0.17 22 Sep 20:00 2.1 -0.14 20 Sep 21:03 2.17 -0.05 19 Sep 21:07 2.06 + 0.11
26% 24% 50%
36 TIPS
Tournament UEFA Nations League A
Venue Koning Boudewijnstadion (Brussels)
Date & kick-off time

On September 28, 2026, Belgium and France will face off in the second round of Division A of the UEFA Nations League. The hosts will look to put a dent in their neighbors' campaign.

Belgium vs France: team news and expert analysis

Belgium opened their World Cup campaign with a pair of draws, but after thrashing New Zealand 5-1, they reached the knockout stage. There, they eliminated Senegal and the USA, before losing to Spain only because of Courtois' injury. In the opening round against Italy, they surprised everyone once again: new head coach Van Bommel marked his debut with a 2-0 away victory.

France continued to lose ground at the World Cup. They lifted the trophy in 2018, but in Qatar they lost the final to Argentina on penalties. This summer, after starting with wins only, they were unable to offer Spain much resistance in the semifinals, losing 0-2, and then fell to England 4-6 in the third-place playoff. After that, Deschamps stepped down, while in Zidane's debut match, France managed only a narrow win in Turkey. Moreover, the scorer of the only goal, Mbappe, picked up an injury in the process.

De Bruyne and company score an average of 2.4 goals and concede 0.8. The former world champions average 2.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match.

Previous matches: Belgium vs France

France, led by Mbappe and company, have won all five of the teams' most recent head-to-head encounters.

The visitors are expected to win. But they will face a real battle, so we are backing the "under 3.5 goals" market (odds – 1.65).

Belgium vs France: key stats and trends

  • Belgium have won in regular time in only three of their seven matches
  • 60% of Belgium's matches have seen both teams score, while the average total goals per match is 3.2
  • France have lost twice in their last three matches
  • 40% of France's matches have seen both teams score, while the average total goals per match is 3.5

Belgium vs France: possible starting lineups

Belgium play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (possible lineup): Lammens - Castagne, Ngoy, Mechele, De Cuyper - Tielemans, Raskin - Da Silva Moreira, De Bruyne, Gods - De Ketelaere

France play in a 1-4-5-1 formation (possible lineup): Maignan - Kounde, Upamecano, Lacroix, Truffert - Cherki, Kone, Rabiot, Olise, Dembele - Doue. Mbappe left with an injury

Place your bets on the upcoming match and keep track of your team's position in the UEFA Nations League standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction Total under 3,5
1.65
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Total under 3,5
1.65