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Sweden vs Poland prediction: expert analysis, possible lineups, September 28, 2026

The hosts can secure the win
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
Sweden vs Poland match prediction on Sep 28, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
1.95 Linebet 21 Sep 20:00 2.02 -0.1 19 Sep 21:07 1.91 + 0.11 3.88 Linebet 25 Sep 20:00 3.8 + 0.08 25 Sep 08:00 3.74 + 0.06 22 Sep 20:00 3.4 + 0.34 21 Sep 20:00 3.1 + 0.3 19 Sep 21:07 3.58 -0.48 3.82 Linebet 25 Sep 20:00 3.94 -0.12 22 Sep 20:00 3.76 + 0.2 21 Sep 20:00 3.83 -0.07 19 Sep 21:07 3.55 + 0.28
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Tournament UEFA Nations League B
Venue Strawberry Arena (Stockholm)
Date & kick-off time

On September 28, 2026, the national teams of Sweden and Poland will meet in the second round of UEFA Nations League Division B. Both sides will be aiming to secure victory.

Sweden vs Poland team news and expert analysis

Sweden endured a disastrous qualifying campaign last year but reached the World Cup through the "Nations League path", confidently beating Ukraine and Poland in the playoff ties in March. In the summer tournament, they collected four points in a group featuring Tunisia, the Netherlands and Japan, but suffered a 0-3 thrashing by France in the knockout stage. In the opening round against Romania, they secured victory thanks to goals from Isak and Gyökeres.

Poland failed to qualify for the World Cup. They were stopped at the final hurdle: finishing second in their qualifying group, the team advanced to the playoffs. However, after eliminating Albania 2-1, they lost the decisive match 2-3 to Sweden. At their next friendly gathering, they were beaten by Ukraine after drawing with Nigeria. In the Nations League, they also shared the points with Bosnia and Herzegovina in a goalless encounter.

Gyökeres and company average 1.9 goals scored per match, but they also concede as many as two per game. Their already familiar opponents score 0.9 goals on average while conceding slightly fewer than Sweden — just 1.2.

Previous matches: Sweden vs Poland

In the last ten meetings, the Scandinavians have won eight times and suffered just one defeat.

They also hold all the aces right now. Our pick is for Sweden to win the match (odds – 1.95).

Sweden vs Poland: key statistics and trends

  • Sweden ended a four-match winless run
  • 90% of Sweden's matches feature goals from both teams, while the average total goals per game is 3.9
  • Poland have gone four matches without a win
  • 70% of Bosnia and Herzegovina's matches feature goals from both teams, while the average total goals per game is 2.1

Sweden vs Poland: possible starting lineups

Sweden are expected to line up in a 1-4-4-2 formation (possible lineup): Johansson - Holm, Starfelt, Lindelöf, Stroud - Bernhardsson, Bergvall, Ayari, Nanasi - Gyökeres, Isak

Poland are expected to line up in a 1-4-4-1-1 formation (possible lineup): Bułka - Cash, Potulski, Bednarek, Kiwior - Skóraś, Ślisz, Zieliński, Kamiński - Szymański - Lewandowski

Place your bets on the upcoming match and follow your team's position in the UEFA Nations League standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction Sweden to Win
1.95
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Sweden to Win
1.95