Novak Djokovic vs Alex de Minaur prediction and betting tips – October 6, 2026
Beijing, China
On October 6, Novak Djokovic and Alex de Minaur will meet in the final of the tournament in Beijing. Here is my betting pick for the upcoming match.
Novak Djokovic
For Nole, the Beijing tournament has been something phenomenal: he has never lost here, has won six titles and is now one victory away from a seventh. Djokovic's winning streak at this tournament has already reached 33 matches, and the draw has been far from easy for him this year. In the first round, the Serbian defeated Portugal's Nuno Borges 6-3, 7-6, followed by a tough match against China's Bu Yunchaokete, which he won 4-6, 7-6, 6-2. Novak then overcame world No. 2 Alexander Zverev in the quarterfinals, winning 4-6, 6-4, 6-4.
Daniil Medvedev was unable to stop the Serb in the semifinals either. The Russian was formally disqualified after hitting a ball into the stands and striking a fan, but Djokovic was leading 7-5, 5-3 and was serving for the match. Even at 39, the Serb can produce phenomenal tennis. We will see whether he can continue his impressive run.
Alex de Minaur
The Australian has always been that fast and skillful player who seems to be missing something. De Minaur has spent a considerable amount of time in the top 10, but he has never won a Grand Slam title; his best result is a quarterfinal appearance, of which he has had several. This season, the Australian won the tournament in Rotterdam, and reaching the current final can also be considered a success.
Here, the tennis player defeated Argentina's Mariano Navone 7-6, 6-2, France's Arthur Fils 3-6, 7-6, 7-5, and Russia's Andrey Rublev 1-6, 6-2, 6-3. In the semifinals, De Minaur was leading Poland's Hubert Hurkacz 6-4, 3-2 when his opponent retired due to injury. Standing up to a Djokovic in this kind of form will be difficult, but the Australian is 12 years younger, which is worth taking into account.
Head-to-head record
The players have met five times, with Djokovic leading 4-1, although De Minaur retired in one of those encounters. Their most recent match took place at Wimbledon last year. The Australian won the first set 6-1, but then lost three consecutive sets, each by a score of 4-6.
Prediction
In the “Djokovic in Beijing” storyline, Australia's De Minaur is the final villain standing in the Serb's way. Of course, ideally, one would like Djokovic to win his seventh title here, but I think the Australian has plans of his own. On paper, Novak is the favorite, and I agree with that assessment: he is highly motivated and will be difficult to stop. I am backing the Serb to win with a -2.5-game handicap.
