Germany vs Netherlands prediction: expert analysis, possible lineups, November 16, 2026
On November 16, 2026, Germany and the Netherlands meet in Matchday 6 of League A in the UEFA Nations League. Both teams need nothing less than a win.
Germany vs Netherlands: team and expert analysis
After a successful Euro 2024, Germany endured a disappointing World Cup campaign: they made it out of the group but were knocked out in the first round of the playoffs, losing to unfancied Paraguay on penalties. Nagelsmann was never going to be forgiven for that — yet Klopp, who replaced him, has won only against Serbia, drawing with their current opponents and taking just one point from two games against Greece.
The Dutch reached the quarter-finals at the Euros. But they also went out in the first round of the World Cup playoffs, squandering their lead against Morocco before losing on penalties. They, too, changed coaches, and Xavi began with a draw against their current opponents. His team then beat Serbia twice and came from 2-0 down to earn a draw in Greece.
Havertz and company faced Serbia in the previous round and secured a convincing win: they conceded once but scored three times. Their neighbors hosted Greece and thrashed them 7-0.
Previous matches: Germany vs Netherlands
The last five meetings have alternated between draws and wins for the German national team.
Germany are expected to win, but the visitors will be going for victory too — our pick is over 3.0 goals (odds: 1.60).
Germany vs Netherlands: key stats and trends
- Germany have won just twice in their last seven matches
- Germany average 1.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match
- Both teams have scored in 70% of Germany’s matches, with an average of 2.8 total goals per game
- The Netherlands are unbeaten in ten consecutive matches
- The Netherlands average 2.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match
- Both teams have scored in 90% of the Netherlands’ matches, with an average of 3.8 total goals per game
Germany vs Netherlands: probable starting line-ups
Germany are expected to line up in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation: ter Stegen — Tah, Thiaw, Mittelstädt, Treu — Pavlović, Kimmich — Wirtz, Havertz, Sherhant — Gruda
The Netherlands are expected to line up in a 1-4-3-3 formation: Verbruggen — van de Ven, van Hecke, Timber, Dumfries — Reijnders, de Jong, Veerman — Malen, Gakpo, Summerville
Place your bets on the upcoming match and follow your team’s position in the UEFA Nations League table
