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Iceland vs Luxembourg prediction: expert analysis, possible lineups, November 16, 2026

Can the hosts win convincingly?
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
Iceland vs Luxembourg match prediction on 16.11.26
Math prediction 1 X 2
1.35 5.26 10
72% 18% 10%
5 TIPS
Venue Laugardalsvoellur (Reykjavik)
Date & kick-off time

On November 16, 2026, Iceland and Luxembourg will meet in the sixth round of League C of the UEFA Nations League. To avoid taking any risks, the hosts would be wise to secure a win.

Iceland vs Luxembourg: team and expert analysis

Iceland have not been at their best for a long time and were relegated from League B at the end of the previous cycle. But they have looked good this time around. They drew both matches against Estonia, 1-0 and 0-0. However, in September and October, they thrashed their opponents twice, scoring three unanswered goals in each game.

Luxembourg won both of their playoff matches against Malta in March. They also began the new cycle with a 2-1 win over Bulgaria. But they lost their remaining matches in September and October.

Iceland played in Bulgaria in November and thrashed the hosts, scoring five unanswered goals. Luxembourg hosted Estonia, but even on home soil they lost again, 0-1!

Previous matches: Iceland vs Luxembourg

Iceland have won half of their eight meetings, suffering just one defeat.

The hosts are strong and motivated. Our pick is an Iceland win with a "-1.5 goals" handicap (odds – 1.88).

Iceland vs Luxembourg: key stats and trends

  • Iceland have won three of their last four matches
  • Iceland average 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match
  • Both teams have scored in 30% of Iceland's matches, with an average total of 2.7 goals per game
  • Luxembourg have lost five of their last seven matches
  • Luxembourg average 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per match
  • Both teams have scored in 10% of Luxembourg's matches, with an average total of 1.8 goals per game

Iceland vs Luxembourg: possible starting lineups

Iceland play in a 1-4-3-3 formation (possible lineup): Valdimarsson — Gretarsson, Pálsson, Ellertsson, Thórðarson — Jóhannesson, Sigurðsson, Haraldsson — Þorsteinsson, Óskarsson, Guðjohnsen

Luxembourg play in a 1-4-4-2 formation (possible lineup): Moris — Jans, Selimović, Hall, Bönert — Vincent Thill, Olesen, Krus, Kadamani — Stéphan Thill, Dardari

Place your bets on the upcoming match and follow your team's position in the UEFA Nations League table

Our Pick
Game Prediction W1(-1,5)
1.88
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
W1(-1,5)
1.88