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Estonia vs Bulgaria prediction: team news, lineups, expert analysis

Can the hosts claim a win?
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
Estonia vs Bulgaria match prediction on 16.11.26
Math prediction 1 X 2
2.2 3.26 3.72
44% 30% 26%
1 TIP
Venue A Le Coq Arena (Tallinn)
Date & kick-off time

On November 16, 2026, Estonia and Bulgaria meet in the sixth round of UEFA Nations League League C. A win could see the hosts finish top of the group.

Estonia vs Bulgaria: team news and expert analysis

Estonia won the Baltic Cup in June, beating the Faroe Islands and Lithuania 1-0. They have also avoided defeat this autumn, although their only win was a 1-0 home victory over Luxembourg. Their other matches in September and October ended in draws.

Bulgaria managed just one win in qualifying a year ago, beating Georgia. They also made a slow start this time around: in the first half of the Nations League campaign, they took only a point against their current opponents (a 0-0 home draw) and lost to the other two sides. But in October they got the job done, beating Luxembourg 2-0.

In the fifth round, Estonia travelled to Luxembourg and claimed a crucial, if narrow, 1-0 victory. Bulgaria hosted Iceland and completely fell apart, failing to respond as they conceded five unanswered goals!

Previous meetings: Estonia vs Bulgaria

The sides have met four times before. Bulgaria won once, with the other three matches ending in draws.

The hosts know how important a win is here—and they can get the result they need (odds – 2.1).

Estonia vs Bulgaria: key stats and trends

  • Estonia have lost one of their last ten matches
  • Estonia average one goal scored and 1.1 conceded per match
  • Both teams have scored in 50% of Estonia's matches, with an average of 2.1 total goals per game
  • Bulgaria have lost four of their last seven matches
  • Bulgaria average 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match
  • Both teams have scored in 40% of Bulgaria's matches, with an average of 3.4 total goals per game

Estonia vs Bulgaria: probable starting lineups

Estonia are expected to line up in a 1-5-4-1 formation: Hein — Sjønning-Larsen, Mets, Tõugjas, Paskotsi, Peetson — Shein, Palumets, Kristal, Käit — Männilaan

Bulgaria are expected to line up in a 1-4-3-3 formation: Naumov — Turitsov, Velkov, Tsenov, Velkovski — Gruev, Kraev, Rusev — Minchev, Petkov, Balov

Follow the UEFA Nations League standings and check your team's form before betting on the next match

Our Pick
Game Prediction Estonia to Win
2.1
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Estonia to Win
2.1