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Belgium vs Italy prediction: teams form analysis, possible lineups on November 15, 2026

The hosts could win
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
Belgium vs Italy match prediction on 15.11.26
Math prediction 1 X 2
2.21 Linebet 14 Nov 00:08 2.14 + 0.07 13 Nov 11:01 2.19 -0.05 3.84 Linebet 13 Nov 11:01 3.78 + 0.06 3.14 Linebet 14 Nov 00:08 3.29 -0.15 13 Nov 11:01 3.22 + 0.06 13 Nov 03:01 2.78 + 0.44
44% 25% 31%
24 TIPS
Venue Koning Boudewijnstadion (Brussels)
Date & kick-off time

Belgium and Italy will meet on November 15, 2026, in Round 6 of UEFA Nations League A. Both sides need nothing less than a win.

Belgium - Italy: team news and expert analysis

Belgium reached the World Cup quarter-finals, where they lost 2-1 to Spain. After Rudi Garcia was replaced, Van Bommel made his debut with a 2-0 win away to their current opponents, Italy. Belgium then lost twice to France, though they also beat Turkey 3-0.

Italy missed out on a third consecutive World Cup — this time, they lost to Bosnia on penalties in the decisive playoff round in the spring. Mancini, the mastermind behind their Euro 2020 triumph, returned to the dugout in the summer but started with a 2-0 defeat. Italy then beat Turkey twice and earned a draw away to France.

De Bruyne and company travelled to Izmir in the previous round. After conceding first, they fought back to claim a 2-1 win. The Azzurri hosted Zidane's side and won in an almost identical fashion, 3-1.

Previous matches: Belgium - Italy

Before the aforementioned 0-2 defeat, Italy had won four of their previous five head-to-head meetings, with one draw.

Home advantage still matters. Our pick is a crucial home win with a handicap of "0" (odds – 1.62).

Belgium - Italy: key stats and trends

  • Belgium have won six of their last nine matches, including a 3-2 extra-time victory over Senegal
  • Belgium score an average of 2.1 goals and concede 1.2 per match
  • Both teams have scored in 60% of Belgium's matches, with an average of 3.3 total goals per game
  • Italy have won two of their last three matches
  • Italy score an average of 1.7 goals and concede 1.1 per match
  • Both teams have scored in 60% of Italy's matches, with an average of 2.8 total goals per game

Belgium - Italy: possible starting lineups

Belgium play in a 1-4-3-3 formation (possible lineup): Lammens — Castagne, Mechele, Ngoy, De Cuyper — De Bruyne, Raskin, Tielemans — Moreira, De Ketelaere, Doku

Italy play in a 1-4-3-3 formation (possible lineup): Donnarumma — Kayode, Scalvini, Bastoni, Calafiori — Frattesi, Tonali, Barella — S. Esposito, P. Esposito, Cambiaghi

Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the teams' progress in the UEFA Nations League standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction W1(0)
1.62
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Avr. Coef. Avr. Coef. for the last 30 days 1.73
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Game Prediction Our Pick
W1(0)
1.62