Finland vs San Marino prediction: expert analysis, possible lineups, November 15, 2026
The sixth round of UEFA Nations League C will see Finland take on San Marino on November 15, 2026. Everyone is expecting a comfortable win for the hosts.
Finland vs San Marino: team and expert analysis
Finland were relegated from League B at the end of the previous Nations League campaign, and they have not dominated even at this lower level. True, they thrashed their current opponents 7-0 and beat potential favorites Albania. But they took just one point from two matches against Belarus.
San Marino managed to climb out of League D, but they are now clearly the weakest team in the group. They did not score a goal until their fourth-round match in Albania. They came close to pulling off a shock, but the hosts eventually secured a 2-1 win with a penalty in the 90th minute or later.
The Scandinavians had a crucial match in Albania in November. Losing there condemned them to a third-place finish. The underdogs hosted an ambitious Belarus side and conceded twice, of course failing to find a reply.
Previous matches: Finland vs San Marino
The current hosts have won all seven previous meetings.
Finland will want to go out with a bang. The hosts should thrash the underdogs, so back them with a -2.5 goal handicap (odds: 1.65).
Finland vs San Marino: key stats and trends
- Finland have won twice in their last five matches
- Finland average 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per match
- Both teams have scored in 30% of Finland's matches, with an average of 2.8 total goals per match
- San Marino have avoided defeat just once since the start of last calendar year
- San Marino average 0.5 goals scored and 3.1 conceded per match
- Both teams have scored in 50% of San Marino's matches, with an average of 3.6 total goals per match
Finland vs San Marino: probable starting lineups
Finland are expected to line up in a 1-4-1-4-1 formation: Hradecky — Stahl, Teno, Koski, Mahuta — Markhiev — Antman, Jensen, Valta, Keskinen — Källman
San Marino are expected to line up in a 1-4-3-1-2 formation: Colombo — Benvenuti, Fabbri, Pasolini, Giocondi — L. Capicchioni, Zannoni, Della Balda — Lazzari — Nanni, G. Capicchioni
Place your bets on the upcoming match and follow your team's position in the UEFA Nations League table