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Bulgaria vs Iceland prediction: teams form analysis, possible lineups on November 13, 2026

The visitors will take all three points
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
Bulgaria vs Iceland match prediction on 13.11.26
Math prediction 1 X 2
4.38 Linebet 06 Nov 19:00 3.72 + 0.66 05 Nov 20:10 3.85 -0.13 3.6 Linebet 06 Nov 19:00 3.54 + 0.06 05 Nov 20:10 3.75 -0.21 1.9 Linebet 06 Nov 19:00 2.08 -0.18 05 Nov 20:10 1.79 + 0.29
22% 27% 51%
6 TIPS
Venue Hristo Botev, Plovdiv (Plovdiv)
Date & kick-off time

On November 12, 2026, Bulgaria and Iceland will meet in the fifth round of UEFA Nations League League C. The visitors could boost their chances of winning the group.

Bulgaria vs Iceland: team news and expert analysis

Bulgaria have been struggling for quite some time. Their autumn campaign has got off to a poor start too: they suffered two defeats in the first round, at home to Luxembourg and away in Reykjavík, while drawing at home with Estonia. It was not until the fourth round that they finally claimed a win, beating Luxembourg away.

Iceland finally have a chance to make their mark. They had a dismal run of friendlies in 2026 and drew twice with Estonia. But they also picked up two wins, both by 3-0. They thrashed Luxembourg away before repeating the scoreline at home against Bulgaria.

Iliev and his teammates score 1.8 goals per game while conceding nearly a third fewer, at 1.3. The islanders average one goal scored per match and concede a little more, at 1.4.

Previous matches: Bulgaria vs Iceland

Bulgaria have won three times, with one draw. But last month, the visitors claimed their first-ever victory in this fixture.

They could take all three points again. Our pick is an away win (odds – 1.81).

Bulgaria vs Iceland: key stats and trends

  • Bulgaria have won for the first time in six matches
  • Both teams have scored in 40% of Bulgaria's matches, with an average of 3.1 total goals per game
  • Iceland have won two of their last three matches
  • Both teams have scored in 30% of Iceland's matches, with an average of 2.4 total goals per game

Bulgaria vs Iceland: possible starting lineups

Bulgaria are expected to line up in a 1-4-4-2 formation: Naumov — Turitsov, Dimitrov, Velkov, Velkovski — Rusev, Kraev, Gruev, Chandarov — Petkov, Iliev

Iceland are expected to line up in a 1-4-4-2 formation: Valdimarsson — Anderson, Gunnarsson, Magnusson, Ellertsson — Sigurdsson, Baldursson, Johannesson, Thorsteinsson — Haraldsson, Oskarsson

Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the team's performance in the UEFA Nations League table

Our Pick
Game Prediction Iceland to Win
1.81
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
WinRate WinRate (%) for the last 30 days 52
Avr. Coef. Avr. Coef. for the last 30 days 1.72
Void Voided bets (postponements, cancellations, etc.) in the last 30 days 99
Won/total Performance for the last 30 days 157 / 302
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Iceland to Win
1.81