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Senegal vs Sudan prediction: teams form analysis, possible lineups on November 12, 2026

The hosts can win comfortably
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
Senegal vs Sudan match prediction on 12.11.26
Math prediction 1 X 2
1.06 9.3 Linebet 10 Nov 03:00 9.5 -0.2 09 Nov 19:00 7.6 + 1.9 05 Nov 20:10 9.7 -2.1 26 Linebet 10 Nov 03:00 25 + 1 09 Nov 19:00 17 + 8
87% 10% 4%
12 TIPS
Date & kick-off time

The third round of Africa Cup of Nations qualifying features a match between Senegal and Sudan on November 12, 2026. The powerhouse will be eager to avoid another slip-up.

Senegal vs Sudan: team news and expert analysis

Senegal beat Morocco on penalties in the final of the previous AFCON, only for a controversial ruling to later award them a technical defeat. They then travelled to the World Cup, where their only win came against Iraq. That was enough to reach the knockout stage, but despite leading 2-0, they meekly went on to lose to Belgium. They also began qualifying with a draw against Mozambique and beat Ethiopia by just 1-0. The same scoreline followed in a friendly against the Comoros.

Sudan were in the same World Cup qualifying group as their current opponents. They finished third with thirteen points from ten matches. They also lost 1-3 to Senegal in the round of 16 at the winter AFCON! In September, they managed a 1-0 win over Ethiopia, but lost to the stronger Mozambique.

The powerhouse of the "Dark Continent" scores an average of 1.8 goals per game but also concedes plenty, at 1.4. The underdogs have scored just 0.7 goals per game while conceding as many as 1.8.

Previous matches: Senegal vs Sudan

The teams have met eight times, with Mané and co. winning five of those matches—including both of the last two—while three ended in draws. Senegal also won on penalties at the 2025 African Nations Championship.

The hosts are much stronger this time, too. We’re backing them to win with a "-2 goal" handicap (odds – 1.7).

Senegal vs Sudan: key stats and trends

  • Senegal have won two matches in a row
  • Both teams have scored in 60% of Senegal’s matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game
  • Sudan have lost six of their last eight matches
  • Both teams have scored in 40% of Sudan’s matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game

Senegal vs Sudan: possible starting lineups

Senegal play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (possible lineup): Diaw — Koulibaly, Mendy, Sarr, Sy — Gueye, Ndiaye — Mbaye, Sarr, Ndiaye — Soumare

Sudan play in a 1-4-4-2 formation (possible lineup): Mustafa — Hakim, Karsoum, Taifour, Khidir — Abdallah, Omer, Barglan, Ali — Eisa, Tabanga

Place your bets on the upcoming match and keep track of your team’s position in the Africa Cup of Nations qualifying table

Our Pick
Game Prediction W1(-2)
1.7
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
WinRate WinRate (%) for the last 30 days 53
Avr. Coef. Avr. Coef. for the last 30 days 1.72
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Game Prediction Our Pick
W1(-2)
1.7