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San Marino vs Belarus prediction: team news, lineups, expert analysis

The visitors could win by more than a narrow margin
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
San Marino vs Belarus match prediction on 12.11.26
Math prediction 1 X 2
18 Linebet 09 Nov 19:01 23 -5 09 Nov 07:00 25 -2 05 Nov 19:00 32 -7 04 Nov 20:05 17 + 15 8.15 Linebet 09 Nov 19:01 8.25 -0.1 09 Nov 07:00 9.5 -1.25 05 Nov 19:00 10.5 -1 04 Nov 20:05 9.15 + 1.35 1.17 Linebet 04 Nov 20:05 1.02 + 0.08
5% 12% 83%
2 TIPS
Venue Stadio Olimpico San Marino (Serravalle)
Date & kick-off time

The fifth round of League C in the UEFA Nations League will feature a match between the national teams of San Marino and Belarus on November 12, 2026. Even a draw would be a major upset.

San Marino vs Belarus: team news and expert analysis

San Marino managed to climb from League D in the previous cycle. However, they remain underdogs: since the start of last calendar year, they have managed just one draw — a 0-0 friendly against Albania. They have lost every match in the tournament.

Belarus are finally challenging for top spot in their group. They made a poor start, losing to Albania, but held Finland to a goalless draw in September. Their next matches were technically "home" fixtures, and they won both against San Marino and Finland on neutral ground.

The group’s biggest underdogs average 0.5 goals scored and concede far more, with an average of 3.0. Ebong and his teammates average 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.

Previous matches: San Marino vs Belarus

Belarus have won all three previous meetings without conceding a single goal.

They should have no problems this time either. Our pick is an away win with a "-2 goals" handicap (odds: 1.84).

San Marino vs Belarus: key stats and trends

  • San Marino have avoided defeat only once since the start of last year
  • 50% of San Marino’s matches see both teams score, with an average of 3.5 goals per game
  • Belarus have won two matches in a row
  • 40% of Belarus’s matches see both teams score, with an average of 2.4 goals per game

San Marino vs Belarus: possible starting lineups

San Marino are expected to line up in a 1-4-3-1-2 formation: Colombo — Fabbri, Cevoli, Rossi, Giocondi — Meloni, Capicchioni, Zannoni — Della Balda — Giacopetti, Salicioni

Belarus are expected to line up in a 1-4-4-2 formation: Lapoukhov — Kalinin, Volkov, Gomanov, Pechenin — Lukashov, Bocherov, Ebong, Selyava — Shumansky, Barkovsky

Place your bets on the upcoming match and keep track of your team’s position in the UEFA Nations League standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction W2(-2)
1.84
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
W2(-2)
1.84