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Belarus vs San Marino prediction: teams form analysis, possible lineups on October 3, 2026

The hosts should win comfortably
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
Belarus vs San Marino match prediction on 03.10.26
Math prediction 1 X 2
1.12 10.5 Linebet 01 Oct 12:01 9.55 + 0.95 30 Sep 08:01 8.4 + 1.15 24 Linebet 01 Oct 12:01 28 -4 30 Sep 08:01 26 + 2
87% 9% 4%
10 TIPS
Tournament UEFA Nations League C
Venue Stadion Illovsky Rudolf (Budapest)
Date & kick-off time

On October 3, 2026, Belarus and San Marino will face each other in the third round of UEFA Nations League Division C.

Belarus vs San Marino team news and expert analysis

Belarus finished third in their group in the previous Nations League campaign. In qualifying, they managed to pick up just a couple of points in a group featuring Scotland, Denmark and Greece. On the other hand, the team were generally successful in their friendlies. They did lose in Albania, though, and after traveling to Finland, they managed only a goalless draw.

San Marino surprised everyone by winning their group in the previous edition of the tournament, with seven points proving enough in a group with Gibraltar and Liechtenstein. However, qualifying once again brought no points at all — eight defeats. They also kept a clean sheet only against Andorra in their friendlies, with that match ending 0-0. In the opening round, they were thrashed 0-7 by Finland. They suffered a less painful but still heavy 0-3 defeat to Albania.

Goncharenko's side score 1.2 goals per game, while conceding 1.6. The perennial underdogs average 0.4 goals scored and concede 3.8 per match.

Previous matches: Belarus vs San Marino

The national teams met in the Nations League in 2018, with Belarus winning both encounters without conceding.

A team of this level should be beaten comfortably even on neutral ground. We are backing the nominal home side with a "-2.5 goals" handicap (odds — 1.83).

Belarus vs San Marino: key statistics and trends

  • Belarus have not won any of their last three matches
  • 50% of Belarus matches end with both teams scoring, while the average total is 2.8 goals per game
  • San Marino have avoided defeat only once since the beginning of last calendar year
  • 40% of San Marino matches end with both teams scoring, while the average total is 4.2 goals per game

Belarus vs San Marino: possible starting lineups

Belarus play in a 1-4-4-2 formation (possible lineup): Lapoukhov — Volkov, Lukashov, Gomanov, Kalinin — Selyava, Ngome, Pechenin, Shumansky — Lisakovich, Barkovsky

San Marino play in a 1-4-5-1 formation (possible lineup): Colombo — Benvenuti, Cevoli, Rossi, Giocondi — Mularoni, Capicchioni, Lazzari, Pankotti, Nanni, Capicchioni

Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the team's progress in the UEFA Nations League standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction W1(-2,5)
1.83
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
W1(-2,5)
1.83