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Wales vs Norway prediction: teams form analysis, possible lineups on October 1, 2026

The visitors could win again
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
Wales vs Norway match prediction on 01.10.26
Math prediction 1 X 2
6.8 Linebet 30 Sep 14:00 5.95 + 0.85 30 Sep 09:01 6.1 -0.15 30 Sep 08:01 6.05 + 0.05 30 Sep 08:00 6.1 -0.05 30 Sep 05:01 6.02 + 0.08 29 Sep 23:01 6.11 -0.09 29 Sep 20:00 6.02 + 0.09 29 Sep 04:00 5.96 + 0.06 28 Sep 08:00 5.51 + 0.45 5 Linebet 30 Sep 14:00 4.76 + 0.25 30 Sep 08:01 4.7 + 0.06 30 Sep 08:00 4.76 -0.06 29 Sep 12:00 4.66 + 0.1 29 Sep 04:00 4.6 + 0.06 28 Sep 08:00 4.45 + 0.15 27 Sep 21:03 4.38 + 0.07 1.46 Linebet 30 Sep 14:00 1.53 -0.07 28 Sep 08:00 1.6 -0.05
14% 19% 66%
35 TIPS
Tournament UEFA Nations League A
Venue Cardiff City Stadium (Cardiff)
Date & kick-off time

On October 1, 2026, the national teams of Wales and Norway will meet in the third round of Division A of the UEFA Nations League. The hosts are hoping to finally delight their fans, but their opponents have ambitious plans.

Wales vs Norway: team news and expert analysis

Wales have once again failed in the playoffs—in March, they lost to Bosnia on penalties after a 1-1 draw. They were then unable to beat anyone, even in friendly matches. They opened their Nations League campaign against Portugal but failed to respond to João Félix’s goal. Things were even worse against Denmark, as they lost 0-2.

Norway finally played at a major tournament, their first this century. They became one of the revelations of the Nations League: Haaland and company advanced from the group with matches to spare after starting with two wins, then knocked out Côte d’Ivoire and Brazil in the playoffs. However, in the quarterfinal, after taking the lead against England, they conceded twice and ultimately lost. At the start of the current tournament, they defeated neighboring Denmark 3-2 thanks to a Haaland brace. They then lost 1-2 to Portugal.

The Welsh score an average of 1.4 goals per match while conceding 1.6. The ambitious Scandinavians have more impressive figures: 2.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game.

Previous matches: Wales vs Norway

The teams have met seven times in total, with Wales winning three times—including both of the most recent encounters—and suffering just one defeat.

It is hard to believe that the Scandinavians will drop points twice in a row. We are backing them to win even away from home (odds – 1.60).

Wales vs Norway: key statistics and trends

  • Wales have been unable to win in six consecutive matches
  • 60% of Wales’ matches end with both teams scoring, while the average total goals per match is 3.0
  • Norway have won five of their last eight matches
  • 100% of Norway’s matches end with both teams scoring, while the average total goals per match is 3.8

Wales vs Norway: possible starting lineups

Wales play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (possible lineup): Ward – Roberts, Mepham, Davies, Williams – Ampadu, Savage – Johnson, Thomas, James – Moore

Norway play in a 1-4-3-3 formation (possible lineup): Nyland – Ryerson, Ajer, Heggem, Aursnes – Berge, Berg, Ødegaard – Nusa, Haaland, Schjelderup

Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the team’s progress in the UEFA Nations League standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction Wales to Win
1.6
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Wales to Win
1.6