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Malta vs Gibraltar prediction: teams form analysis, possible lineups on October 1, 2026

The hosts can win by more than a narrow margin
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
Malta vs Gibraltar match prediction on 01.10.26
Math prediction 1 X 2
1.3 5.35 Linebet 29 Sep 20:00 5.26 + 0.09 28 Sep 08:00 4.96 + 0.31 12.8 Linebet 29 Sep 20:00 12.3 + 0.5
74% 18% 8%
16 TIPS
Tournament UEFA Nations League D
Venue Ta' Qali (Attard)
Date & kick-off time

On October 1, 2026, in Matchday 3 of UEFA Nations League Division D, the national teams of Malta and Gibraltar will face each other.

Malta vs Gibraltar: team news and expert analysis

Malta finished second in their group in the previous Nations League campaign, conceding top spot to Moldova, and then lost both playoff matches to Luxembourg in the spring, 0-2 and 0-3. In June, however, they finally returned to winning ways in friendly matches: after a 1-2 defeat to Slovakia, they beat Azerbaijan 2-0. Starting their autumn campaign, they defeated Andorra 2-1. They then scored twice without reply against Liechtenstein in a friendly.

Gibraltar collected six points in the previous edition of the tournament, but San Marino finished one point ahead. As a result, Gibraltar had to play in the playoffs, where they lost both matches to Latvia. At the beginning of the summer, though, they managed to win both of their FIFA Series matches, against the British Virgin Islands and the Cayman Islands. They began the new campaign with a goalless draw against São Tomé and Príncipe, and then repeated the 0-0 scoreline against Andorra.

The islanders score an average of 1.1 goals per match and concede 1.9. Their opponents from the strategic naval base at the mouth of the strait have a similar statistical profile: 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.

Previous matches: Malta vs Gibraltar

In 2014, the newly formed Gibraltar national team recorded a victory. However, they have since lost both matches against this opponent.

The stronger team is playing at home. We are backing the hosts with a handicap of "-1.5 goals" (odds – 1.91).

Malta vs Gibraltar: key statistics and trends

  • Malta have won their last three matches
  • 40% of Malta's matches feature both teams scoring, while the average total goals per match is 3.0
  • Gibraltar have recorded two consecutive goalless draws
  • 20% of Gibraltar's matches feature both teams scoring, while the average total goals per match is 2.5.

Malta vs Gibraltar: possible starting lineups

Malta play in a 1-4-4-2 formation (possible lineup): Al-Tumi - Borg, Mentz, Mbong, Azzopardi - Paiber, Beerman, Corbolan, Ewurum - Grech, Tuma

Gibraltar play in a 1-3-5-2 formation (possible lineup): Banda - Lopez, Ronan, Valarino - Bent, Torrilla, Poso, Scanlon, Mason - Borje, De Bar

Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the team's progress in the UEFA Nations League standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction W1(-1,5)
1.91
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Avr. Coef. Avr. Coef. for the last 30 days 1.74
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Game Prediction Our Pick
W1(-1,5)
1.91