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Croatia vs England prediction: teams form analysis, possible lineups on October 3, 2026

Expecting at least a couple of goals
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
Croatia vs England match prediction on 03.10.26
Math prediction 1 X 2
4.05 Linebet 01 Oct 22:02 3.95 + 0.1 30 Sep 21:02 3.52 + 0.44 29 Sep 21:01 3.69 -0.17 4.1 Linebet 01 Oct 22:02 3.93 + 0.17 01 Oct 20:03 3.79 + 0.14 30 Sep 21:02 4.35 -0.56 29 Sep 21:01 3.78 + 0.57 1.85 Linebet 01 Oct 22:02 1.91 -0.06 29 Sep 21:01 1.82 + 0.11
24% 24% 52%
31 TIPS
Venue Stadion Rujevica (Rijeka)
Date & kick-off time

On October 3, 2026, Croatia and England will face each other in the third round of UEFA Nations League Division A. Even a draw would be a major sensation.

Croatia - England team news and expert analysis

After their disappointing Euro campaign, Croatia managed to qualify directly for the World Cup. There, after losing to England, they defeated both Panama and Ghana, but then meekly surrendered to Portugal in the playoffs. In the current tournament, they opened with a 2-1 victory over the Czech Republic. Against Spain, however, they could only score a consolation goal in a heavy defeat.

England were criticized for their timid tactics in the closing stages of the semifinal against Argentina, when they took the lead but eventually lost 2-1. Still, they secured third place by beating France 6-4 in the "consolation final." In the Nations League, they began against Spain. With the score at 2-1, Kane missed a penalty, and the match ended with the visitors completing a comeback to win 3-2. Things were easier against the Czechs: England won 2-0 while playing with a numerical advantage.

Modrić and company score 1.4 goals per game, while conceding roughly the same number — 1.9. The British side averages 2.4 goals scored, but they also concede plenty, allowing 1.5 per match.

Previous matches: Croatia - England

Kane and company are unbeaten in seven consecutive matches and have won their last three in a row.

England are once again expected to win. But we believe this will be an entertaining affair, with "over 2.5 goals" (odds — 1.73).

Croatia - England: key statistics and trends

  • Croatia have won three of their last five matches
  • 80% of Croatia's matches finish with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 3.3
  • England have won nine of their last twelve matches, including their progression past Norway
  • 70% of England's matches finish with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 3.9

Croatia - England: possible starting lineups

Croatia play in a 1-4-5-1 formation (possible lineup): Livaković - Smolčić, Pongračić, Gvardiol, Šutalo - Kovačić, Perišić, Pašalić, Petar Sučić, Mišić - Beljo

England play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (possible lineup): Trafford - Alexander-Arnold, Chalobah, Guehi, Hall - Anderson, Lewis-Skelly - Saka, Rogers, Gordon - Kane

Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the team's performance in the UEFA Nations League standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction Total over 2,5
1.73
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
WinRate WinRate (%) for the last 30 days 55
Avr. Coef. Avr. Coef. for the last 30 days 1.73
Void Voided bets (postponements, cancellations, etc.) in the last 30 days 93
Won/total Performance for the last 30 days 168 / 305
Active tips 21
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Total over 2,5
1.73