Estonia vs Luxembourg prediction: team news, lineups, expert analysis
UEFA Nations League C
On October 3, 2026, the national teams of Estonia and Luxembourg will meet in the third round of UEFA Nations League League C. Both sides will be hoping for a positive result.
Estonia vs Luxembourg team news and expert analysis
Estonia finished second from bottom in their group both in the previous Nations League campaign and in World Cup qualifying. They have already travelled to Iceland, where they played out a 1-1 draw. After heading to Bulgaria, they failed to find the net as the match ended 0-0.
Luxembourg finished bottom of their group with three points in the previous cycle. They also failed to pick up a single point in qualifying last year. However, in March they at least won both of their play-off matches against Malta, 2-0 and 3-0. They have now also beaten Bulgaria, 2-1. But against Iceland, they suffered a heavy 0-3 defeat even on home soil.
The Baltic side score an average of 0.9 goals per match while conceding 1.9. The visitors from the small duchy average 0.8 goals scored and twice as many conceded — 1.4.
Previous matches: Estonia vs Luxembourg
In 2000, the teams played out a goalless draw in a friendly. They then crossed paths in the 2006 World Cup qualifying campaign, with the Baltic side winning both encounters.
There is slightly more faith in the visitors here. However, it is clear that this will not be a spectacular encounter, so we are backing the match to finish with a "total of under 2.5 goals" (odds – 1.65).
Estonia vs Luxembourg: key statistics and trends
- Estonia have drawn three of their last four matches
- Both teams have scored in 60% of Estonia's matches, with an average total of 2.8 goals per game
- Luxembourg have won four of their last six matches
- Both teams have scored in 10% of Luxembourg's matches, with an average total of 2.2 goals per game
Estonia vs Luxembourg: possible starting line-ups
Estonia play in a 1-5-3-2 formation (possible line-up): Hein - Schönning-Larsen, Paskotsi, Mets, Tõgjas, Saarma - Käit, Soomets, Poom - Kristal, Mustmaa
Luxembourg play in a 1-4-4-2 formation (possible line-up): Moris - Jans, Mahmutovic, Carlson, Bohnert - Olesen, Barreiro, Vincent Thill, Moreira - Kadamani, Dardari
Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the team's performance in the UEFA Nations League standings
