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Belgium vs Turkey prediction: team news, lineups, expert analysis

The hosts should win comfortably
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
Belgium vs Turkiye match prediction on 02.10.26
Math prediction 1 X 2
1.55 Linebet 29 Sep 21:01 1.43 + 0.08 4.81 Linebet 01 Oct 01:04 4.96 -0.16 29 Sep 21:01 4.75 + 0.21 5.6 Linebet 01 Oct 04:01 5.66 -0.06 01 Oct 01:04 6.02 -0.36 29 Sep 21:01 5.72 + 0.3
62% 20% 17%
24 TIPS
Tournament UEFA Nations League A
Venue Stade Maurice Dufrasne (Liege)
Date & kick-off time

On October 3, 2026, Belgium and Turkey will face each other in the third round of League A of the UEFA Nations League. The hosts are expected to do nothing less than win.

Belgium vs Turkey: team news and expert analysis

Belgium made a strong impression at the World Cup. They began with a pair of draws, but a commanding victory over New Zealand sent them into the playoffs. There, they came from behind to beat Senegal before thrashing the United States. They only lost to Spain after taking the lead, with the turning point coming when Courtois was forced off injured. With Van Bommel in charge, they began their Nations League campaign against Italy—and pleasantly surprised everyone by winning 2-0. Against France, they came close to holding on until the final whistle, but eventually conceded and suffered defeat.

Turkey also featured at the World Cup, but after defeats by Australia (0-2) and Paraguay (0-1), they lost their chance to reach the playoffs. They at least ended the tournament with a win over the United States. In the Nations League, they faced France and offered no response to Mbappe's goal apart from a sending-off. Their second-round meeting with Italy ended in an outright thrashing, with Turkey only managing a consolation goal.

De Bruyne and company score 2.3 goals per game, but they also concede quite a lot—0.8 per match. Montella's side averages 1.4 goals scored and almost as many conceded, at 1.3.

Previous matches: Belgium vs Turkey

In the last five meetings, both sides have recorded one win each, with those victories coming at home.

It is hard to believe that the visitors have emerged from their crisis. The hosts should beat an opponent of this caliber with a -1 goal handicap (odds: 1.7).

Belgium vs Turkey: key statistics and trends

  • Belgium have won four of their last six matches, including the victory over Senegal
  • Both teams have scored in 50% of Belgium's matches, and the average total goals per game is 3.1
  • Turkey have lost four of their last five matches
  • Both teams have scored in 40% of Turkey's matches, and the average total goals per game is 2.7

Belgium vs Turkey: possible starting lineups

Belgium play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (possible lineup): Lammens—Castagne, Ngoy, Mechele, Seys—Lavia, Tielemans—Moreira, De Bruyne, Godts—De Ketelaere. Doku and Onana are doubtful.

Turkey play in a 1-3-4-3 formation (possible lineup): Bayindir—Celik, Demiral, Kabak—Aydin, Kokcu, Ozcan, Elmali—Guler, Yilmaz, Uzun.

Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the team's performance in the UEFA Nations League standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction W1(-1)
1.7
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
W1(-1)
1.7