UEFA Nations League A
Round 5
Italy vs France
Italy
2 place
1
:
2
Correct score 1:2
Win Rate
6%
The most likely outcome according to the mathematical prediction
France
1 place
Italy VS France Math predictions
Full-time result
Home
26%
3.8
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
48%
2
W2
Result:
W2
Win Rate
48%
The probability of 2 odds implies 48% chance of success, and these expectations were fulfilled in 48% of the recent 15 games with similar odds.
2
Both teams to score
Yes
59%
1.57
No
41%
2.28
BTTS: Yes
BTTS:
YES
Win Rate
65%
The probability of 1.57 odds implies 59% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 65% of the last 19 games with similar odds.
1.57
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57%
1.71
Under 2.5
43%
2.24
O/U: Over 2.5
Total Goals:
Over
Win Rate
50%
The probability of 1.71 odds implies 57% chance of success, but it only happened in 50% of the last 22 games with similar odds.
1.71
Double Chance
1/X
52%
1.86
1/2
74%
1.3
X/2
74%
1.29
W1 or W2
Double chance:
X/2
Win Rate
100%
The probability of 1.29 odds implies 74% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 100% of the last 7 games with similar odds.
1.29
Correct Score
Chance
Odds
Correct Score
Correct Score:
1:1
Win Rate
7%
The probability of 6.5 odds implies 7% chance of success, and these expectations were fulfilled in 7% of the recent 15 games with similar odds.
6.5
Italy and France will face off on November 12, 2026, in the fifth round of Division A of the UEFA Nations League. Both...
France to Win
1.81
Bet Builder Tips for Italy VS France
O/U Away Team: Over 0.75
O/U Away Team:
Over 0.75
Win Rate
95%
The probability of 1.18 odds implies 79% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 95% of the last 17 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.18
Chance
79%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Afropari | $11.8 | 1.18 | 93% | |
|
|
Linebet | $11.75 | 1.18 | 94% | |
|
1xbet | $11.75 | 1.18 | 94% |
O/U Away Team: Over 0.5
O/U Away Team:
Over 0.5
Win Rate
95%
The probability of 1.15 odds implies 81% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 95% of the last 17 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.15
Chance
81%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Betway | $11.54 | 1.15 | 93% | |
|
|
Afropari | $11.4 | 1.14 | 92% | |
|
|
Linebet | $11.4 | 1.14 | 92% | |
|
|
1xbet | $11.4 | 1.14 | 92% |
Total Goals: Over 1.25
Total Goals:
Over 1.25
Win Rate
89%
The probability of 1.12 odds implies 83% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 89% of the last 27 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.12
Chance
83%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Afropari | $11.2 | 1.12 | 93% | |
|
|
Linebet | $11.02 | 1.1 | 92% | |
|
|
1xbet | $11.02 | 1.1 | 92% |
O/U Home Team: Under 1.25
O/U Home Team:
Under 1.25
Win Rate
88%
The probability of 1.7 odds implies 56% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 88% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.7
Chance
56%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Linebet | $17 | 1.7 | 95% | |
|
|
1xbet | $17 | 1.7 | 95% | |
|
|
Afropari | $16.2 | 1.62 | 92% |
Asian Handicap: 2 -0.75
Asian Handicap:
2 -0.75
Win Rate
85%
The probability of 1.17 odds implies 79% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 85% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.17
Chance
79%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Linebet | $11.73 | 1.17 | 92% | |
|
|
1xbet | $11.73 | 1.17 | 92% | |
|
|
Afropari | $11.7 | 1.17 | 92% |
Fixture Analysis
Match Overview
Italy host France at San Siro on matchday 5 of UEFA Nations League A, with both sides currently in the championship playoff positions. France lead the group with 10 points, Italy trail on 7, so home victory would reopen the battle for t...
Stats Trends & Facts
- All
- Match Result
- Goals
- Cards
- Corners
Unbeaten
15 games
87%
Italy remained unbeaten in 13 of their 15 most recent matches.
Match Result - Italy mostly likely will not lose
1.86
Unbeaten
25 games
84%
France have not lost in 21 out of their last 25 games.
Match Result - France mostly likely will not lose
1.29
3.5 Goals per Game
12 games
83%
Less than 4.5 goals were scored in 10 of the last 12 Italy games.
Total Goals Under (4.5)
1.17
Italy vs France Betting statistics
All leagues
UEFA Nations League A
10
Played
10
Played
100 %
Over 0.5 goals
100 %
80 %
Over 1.5 goals
70 %
30 %
Over 2.5 goals
40 %
30 %
Over 3.5 goals
30 %
20 %
Over 4.5 goals
30 %
10 %
Over 1.5 goals in 1st period
20 %
20 %
Goals scored in both halves
20 %
10 %
Goals conceded in both halves
20 %
Italy vs France Compare odds
United States| BM | Bonuses | W1 | X | W2 | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Bonus
Linebet promo code
|
3.8
|
3.72
|
2
|
97%
|
|
|
Bonus
1xBet Promo Code 2026
|
3.8
|
3.72
|
2
|
97%
|
|
|
Bonus
Melbet Promo Code
|
3.72
|
3.64
|
1.96
|
95%
|
|
Bonus
15% of your qualifying deposit in Bet Credits up to 60 $
|
3.75
|
3.7
|
1.95
|
96%
|
|
|
4
|
2.4
|
2.3
|
90%
|
|
|
Bonus
1Win Promo Code
|
4.6
|
3.85
|
1.7
|
94%
|
|
|
Bonus
Afropari Promo Code 2026
|
3.65
|
2.35
|
2.28
|
87%
|
|
Bonus
BetWinner Promo Code
|
3.6
|
3.4
|
1.95
|
92%
|
| Average | 3.87 | 3.35 | 2.02 |
94%
|
|
| Highest | 4.6 | 3.85 | 2.3 |
97%
|
Italy vs France Lineups
Lineups not confirmed
4-3-3
Roberto Mancini
Team manager
4-3-3
Zinedine Zidane
Team manager
0
Donnarumma
0
Kayode
0
Scalvini
0
Bastoni
0
Calafiori
0
Barella
0
Tonali
0
Doumbia
0
Vergara
0
Esposito
0
Esposito
0
Maignan
0
Gusto
0
Upamecano
0
Jacquet
0
Truffert
0
Rabiot
0
Da Cunha
0
Cherki
0
Olise
0
Mbappe
0
Doue
Lineups
0
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Goalkeeper
0
Michael Kayode
Right back
0
Giorgio Scalvini
Сenter defender
0
Alessandro Bastoni
Сenter defender
0
Riccardo Calafiori
Left back
0
Nicolo Barella
Right midfielder
0
Sandro Tonali
Center midfielder
0
Issa Doumbia
Left midfielder
0
Antonio Vergara
Right forward
0
Francesco Pio Esposito
Сenter forward
0
Sebastiano Esposito
Left forward
0
Mike Maignan
Goalkeeper
0
Malo Gusto
Right back
0
Dayot Upamecano
Сenter defender
0
Jeremy Jacquet
Сenter defender
0
Adrien Truffert
Left back
0
Adrien Rabiot
Right midfielder
0
Lucas Da Cunha
Center midfielder
0
Rayan Cherki
Left midfielder
0
Michael Olise
Right forward
0
Kylian Mbappe
Сenter forward
0
Desire Doue
Left forward
Missing players
0
Aurelien Tchouameni
Injured
Players to watch
UEFA Nations League A 2026/2027
Other Scorers
Francesco Pio Esposito
2 goals
2 goals
Michael Kayode
1 goals
1 goals
Riccardo Calafiori
1 goals
1 goals
Gianluca Scamacca
1 goals
1 goals
Kylian Mbappe
1 goals
1 goals
Rayan Cherki
1 goals
1 goals
Desire Doue
1 goals
1 goals
Italy vs France Head to Head History
Recent H2H Games - 10
2
wins
20%
3
draws
30%
5
wins
50%
Over 1.5
90%
9/10
Over 2.5
60%
6/10
Over 3.5
50%
5/10
BTTS
80%
8/10
Clean Sheets
20%
Italy
Clean Sheets
10%
France
02.10.26 FT
UEFA Nations League A
Italy
France
1
1
17.11.24 FT
UEFA Nations League A
Italy
France
1
3
06.09.24 FT
UEFA Nations League A
France
Italy
1
3
01.06.18 FT
Friendly International
France
Italy
3
1
01.09.16 FT
Friendly International
Italy
France
1
3
Last matches - Italy
Statistics for the team's last 10 games
6
wins
60%
2
draws
20%
2
losses
20%
Avg Goals Scored
1.6
Avg Goals Conceded
1
Cards per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
2.2
Corners per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
5.8
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
50%
05.10.26 FT
UEFA Nations League A
Italy
Turkiye
3
1
02.10.26 FT
UEFA Nations League A
Italy
France
1
1
28.09.26 FT
UEFA Nations League A
Turkiye
Italy
1
4
25.09.26 FT
UEFA Nations League A
Italy
Belgium
0
2
07.06.26 FT
Friendly International
Greece
0
Italy
1
Last matches - France
Statistics for the team's last 10 games
7
wins
70%
1
draw
10%
2
losses
20%
Avg Goals Scored
2.1
Avg Goals Conceded
1.1
Cards per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
1.3
Corners per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
6.5
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
40%
05.10.26 FT
UEFA Nations League A
France
Belgium
4
1
02.10.26 FT
UEFA Nations League A
Italy
France
1
1
28.09.26 FT
UEFA Nations League A
Belgium
France
0
1
25.09.26 FT
UEFA Nations League A
France
Turkiye
0
1
18.07.26 FT
World Cup
France
4
England
6
Italy vs France standings
UEFA Nations League A Table| № | Team | MP | W | D | L | Goals | Pt |
| 1 |
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 2 |
|
4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Turkiye | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
Italy vs France form comparison
Teams Season Stats (Current League)
Where to watch Italy VS France
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UEFA Nations League A Fixtures
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Prediction
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Prediction
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Prediction