UEFA Nations League A
Round 3
France vs Italy
France
1 place
2
:
0
Correct score 2:0
Win Rate
6%
The most likely outcome according to the mathematical prediction
Italy
3 place
France VS Italy Math predictions
Full-time result
Home
66%
1.49
Draw
19%
5.05
Away
15%
6.67
W1
Result:
W1
Win Rate
83%
The probability of 1.49 odds implies 66% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 83% of the last 6 games with similar odds.
1.49
Both teams to score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.17
BTTS: Yes
BTTS:
YES
Win Rate
48%
The probability of 1.63 odds implies 57% chance of success, but it only happened in 48% of the last 17 games with similar odds.
1.63
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63%
1.47
Under 2.5
37%
2.47
O/U: Over 2.5
Total Goals:
Over
Win Rate
70%
The probability of 1.47 odds implies 63% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 70% of the last 20 games with similar odds.
1.47
Double Chance
1/X
85%
1.14
1/2
81%
1.21
X/2
34%
2.83
W1 or Draw
Double chance:
1/X
Win Rate
67%
The probability of 1.14 odds implies 85% chance of success, but it only happened in 67% of the last 9 games with similar odds.
1.14
Correct Score
Chance
Odds
Correct Score
Correct Score:
2:1
Win Rate
6%
The probability of 8 odds implies 6% chance of success, and these expectations were fulfilled in 6% of the recent 15 games with similar odds.
8
On October 2, 2026, in the third round of League A of the UEFA Nations League, France and Italy will face off. The...
W1(-1)
1.7
Bet Builder Tips for France VS Italy
Asian Handicap: 1 -0.75
Asian Handicap:
1 -0.75
Win Rate
100%
The probability of 1.55 odds implies 61% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 100% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.55
Chance
61%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Afropari | $15.5 | 1.55 | 95% | |
|
|
1xbet | $15.3 | 1.53 | 93% |
Total Goals: Under 5.25
Total Goals:
Under 5.25
Win Rate
92%
The probability of 1.1 odds implies 87% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 92% of the last 25 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.1
Chance
87%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Afropari | $11 | 1.1 | 95% | |
|
|
1xbet | $10.55 | 1.06 | 89% |
Total Goals: Under 5.5
Total Goals:
Under 5.5
Win Rate
92%
The probability of 1.09 odds implies 86% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 92% of the last 23 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.09
Chance
86%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Betway | $10.91 | 1.09 | 93% | |
|
|
Afropari | $10.9 | 1.09 | 95% | |
|
|
1xbet | $10.48 | 1.05 | 89% |
O/U Home team: Over 1.5
O/U Home team:
Over 1.5
Win Rate
92%
The probability of 1.46 odds implies 65% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 92% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.46
Chance
65%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Afropari | $14.6 | 1.46 | 95% | |
|
|
1xbet | $14.3 | 1.43 | 93% | |
|
|
Betway | $14.25 | 1.43 | 92% |
Own goal: No
Own goal:
No
Win Rate
92%
The probability of 1.06 odds implies 90% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 92% of the last 25 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.06
Chance
90%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Bet365 | $10.6 | 1.06 | 96% |
Fixture Analysis
Match Overview
France host Italy at Stade de France on Nations League A round 3, with France leading the group on 6 points and Italy on 3. France can take a major step toward the Championship playoff with a win, while Italy need at least a point to a...
Stats Trends & Facts
- All
- Match Result
- Goals
- Cards
- Corners
Unbeaten
23 games
83%
France remained unbeaten in 19 of their 23 most recent matches.
Match Result - France mostly likely will not lose
1.14
Unbeaten
13 games
85%
Italy have not lost in 11 out of their last 13 games.
Match Result - Italy mostly likely will not lose
2.83
3.33 Goals per Game
6 games
83%
Less than 2.5 goals were scored in 5 of the last 6 France games.
Total Goals Under (2.5)
2.47
France vs Italy Betting statistics
All leagues
UEFA Nations League A
10
Played
10
Played
100 %
Over 0.5 goals
100 %
70 %
Over 1.5 goals
80 %
50 %
Over 2.5 goals
40 %
30 %
Over 3.5 goals
30 %
20 %
Over 4.5 goals
20 %
20 %
Over 1.5 goals in 1st period
20 %
30 %
Goals scored in both halves
30 %
20 %
Goals conceded in both halves
10 %
France vs Italy Compare odds
United States| BM | Bonuses | W1 | X | W2 | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Bonus
1xBet Promo Code 2026
|
1.49
1xbet
02 Oct 01:01
1.44
+ 0.05
29 Sep 08:00
1.38
+ 0.08
|
5.05
1xbet
02 Oct 07:01
4.9
+ 0.15
02 Oct 04:00
4.85
+ 0.05
02 Oct 02:01
5.1
-0.25
02 Oct 01:02
4.85
+ 0.25
02 Oct 01:01
5.2
-0.35
30 Sep 04:00
5.16
+ 0.05
29 Sep 20:01
5.1
+ 0.06
29 Sep 08:00
4.6
+ 0.5
|
6.67
1xbet
02 Oct 07:01
6.56
+ 0.11
02 Oct 04:00
6.5
+ 0.06
02 Oct 02:01
6.45
+ 0.05
02 Oct 01:02
6.5
-0.05
02 Oct 01:01
6.9
-0.4
01 Oct 04:01
6.98
-0.08
30 Sep 04:00
6.83
+ 0.15
29 Sep 20:01
6.72
+ 0.11
29 Sep 08:00
6.91
-0.19
|
98%
|
|
Bonus
Melbet Promo Code
|
1.44
|
4.88
Melbet
02 Oct 07:00
4.74
+ 0.14
02 Oct 02:04
4.84
-0.1
02 Oct 01:02
5.05
-0.21
01 Oct 08:01
5.1
-0.05
30 Sep 04:00
5.05
+ 0.05
29 Sep 20:01
4.98
+ 0.07
|
6.45
Melbet
02 Oct 07:00
6.35
+ 0.1
02 Oct 01:02
6.75
-0.4
01 Oct 08:01
6.8
-0.05
30 Sep 04:00
6.65
+ 0.15
29 Sep 20:01
6.55
+ 0.1
|
95%
|
|
|
Bonus
15% of your qualifying deposit in Bet Credits up to 60 $
|
1.42
Bet365
01 Oct 14:00
1.4
+ 0.05
29 Sep 08:00
1.5
-0.05
|
4.75
Bet365
02 Oct 01:02
5
-0.25
01 Oct 20:02
5.25
-0.25
30 Sep 04:00
4.75
+ 0.5
29 Sep 08:00
3
+ 1.75
|
7
Bet365
02 Oct 09:00
6.5
+ 0.5
02 Oct 05:00
6
+ 0.5
02 Oct 04:01
5.75
+ 0.25
02 Oct 02:04
5.5
+ 0.25
02 Oct 01:02
5.75
-0.25
02 Oct 00:00
5.5
+ 0.25
01 Oct 20:02
5.75
-0.25
01 Oct 14:00
6.5
-0.75
30 Sep 20:01
7
-0.5
29 Sep 20:01
6
+ 1
29 Sep 08:00
1.5
+ 4.5
|
95%
|
|
|
1.85
Betway
02 Oct 14:00
1.8
+ 0.05
02 Oct 13:00
1.85
-0.05
30 Sep 20:01
1.78
+ 0.06
|
2.63
Betway
02 Oct 14:00
2.75
-0.13
02 Oct 13:00
2.7
+ 0.05
02 Oct 06:00
2.63
+ 0.08
02 Oct 01:01
2.7
-0.1
01 Oct 21:00
2.75
-0.05
01 Oct 13:00
2.8
-0.05
01 Oct 06:01
2.75
+ 0.05
30 Sep 20:01
2.8
-0.05
|
5.75
Betway
02 Oct 14:00
5.5
+ 0.25
02 Oct 10:00
5.75
-0.25
02 Oct 09:00
5.5
+ 0.25
02 Oct 05:00
5.75
-0.25
02 Oct 03:00
5.5
+ 0.25
02 Oct 02:01
6
-0.5
02 Oct 01:01
5.5
+ 0.5
01 Oct 21:00
5.25
+ 0.25
01 Oct 17:00
5.5
-0.25
01 Oct 03:01
5.25
+ 0.25
30 Sep 20:01
5.75
-0.5
|
91%
|
|
|
Bonus
1Win Promo Code
|
1.42
|
4.75
1win
02 Oct 13:00
4.8
-0.05
02 Oct 08:01
4.7
+ 0.1
02 Oct 04:01
4.9
-0.2
02 Oct 02:04
5
-0.1
02 Oct 01:02
5.2
-0.2
02 Oct 00:00
5.1
+ 0.1
|
6.75
1win
02 Oct 11:00
6.4
+ 0.35
02 Oct 08:01
6
+ 0.4
02 Oct 06:00
6.25
-0.25
02 Oct 01:02
6.75
-0.5
|
94%
|
|
|
Bonus
Afropari Promo Code 2026
|
1.86
Afropari
02 Oct 14:00
1.79
+ 0.07
02 Oct 13:00
1.84
-0.05
02 Oct 01:01
1.83
+ 0.05
|
2.61
Afropari
02 Oct 14:00
2.66
-0.05
02 Oct 06:00
2.54
+ 0.05
02 Oct 01:01
2.65
-0.09
30 Sep 20:01
2.71
-0.06
|
5.1
Afropari
02 Oct 14:00
6
-0.9
02 Oct 13:00
5.7
+ 0.3
02 Oct 09:00
5.6
+ 0.1
02 Oct 01:01
5.5
+ 0.1
01 Oct 12:01
5.6
-0.1
30 Sep 20:01
5.7
-0.1
|
89%
|
|
Bonus
BetWinner Promo Code
|
1.4
|
4.4
Betwinner
02 Oct 06:00
4.33
+ 0.07
02 Oct 03:00
4.4
-0.07
02 Oct 02:04
4.6
-0.2
29 Sep 20:01
4.5
+ 0.1
|
6
Betwinner
02 Oct 08:01
5.8
+ 0.2
02 Oct 06:00
6
-0.2
29 Sep 20:01
5.8
+ 0.2
|
90%
|
| Average | 1.55 | 4.15 | 6.25 |
94%
|
|
| Highest | 1.86 | 5.05 | 7 |
98%
|
France vs Italy Lineups
Confirmed lineups
4-3-3
Zinedine Zidane
Team manager
4-3-3
Roberto Mancini
Team manager
16
Maignan
2
Kalulu
22
Jacquet
4
Upamecano
3
Truffert
9
Cherki
21
Da Cunha
14
Rabiot
11
Olise
7
Dembele
20
Doue
1
Donnarumma
2
Kayode
19
Scalvini
6
Bastoni
5
Calafiori
16
Frattesi
8
Tonali
10
Fagioli
9
Kean
7
Esposito
20
Esposito
Lineups
16
Mike Maignan
Goalkeeper
2
Pierre Kalulu
Right back
22
Jeremy Jacquet
Сenter defender
4
Dayot Upamecano
Сenter defender
3
Adrien Truffert
Left back
9
Rayan Cherki
Right midfielder
21
Lucas Da Cunha
Center midfielder
14
Adrien Rabiot
Left midfielder
11
Michael Olise
Right forward
7
Ousmane Dembele
Сenter forward
20
Desire Doue
Left forward
1
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Goalkeeper
2
Michael Kayode
Right back
19
Giorgio Scalvini
Сenter defender
6
Alessandro Bastoni
Сenter defender
5
Riccardo Calafiori
Left back
16
Davide Frattesi
Right midfielder
8
Sandro Tonali
Center midfielder
10
Nicolo Fagioli
Left midfielder
9
Moise Kean
Right forward
7
Francesco Pio Esposito
Сenter forward
20
Sebastiano Esposito
Left forward
Subtitute players
1
Guillaume Restes
Goalkeeper
23
Jean Butez
Goalkeeper
5
Jules Kounde
Defender
15
Leny Yoro
Defender
17
Maxence Lacroix
Defender
6
Eduardo Camavinga
Midfielder
8
Manu Kone
Midfielder
13
Andy Diouf
Midfielder
18
Maghnes Akliouche
Midfielder
12
Bradley Barcola
Forward
19
Esteban Lepaul
Forward
12
Marco Carnesecchi
Goalkeeper
13
Guglielmo Vicario
Goalkeeper
22
Giovanni Di Lorenzo
Defender
23
Gianluca Mancini
Defender
3
Matteo Ruggeri
Midfielder
4
Samuele Ricci
Midfielder
15
Issa Doumbia
Midfielder
18
Nicolo Barella
Midfielder
21
Antonio Vergara
Midfielder
11
Gianluca Scamacca
Forward
14
Mohamed Ali Zoma
Forward
17
Daniel Maldini
Forward
Players to watch
UEFA Nations League A 2026/2027
Other Scorers
Michael Olise
1 goals
1 goals
Alessandro Bastoni
1 goals
1 goals
Francesco Pio Esposito
1 goals
1 goals
Davide Frattesi
1 goals
1 goals
France vs Italy Head to Head History
Recent H2H Games - 9
5
wins
56%
2
draws
22%
2
wins
22%
Over 1.5
89%
8/9
Over 2.5
67%
6/9
Over 3.5
56%
5/9
BTTS
78%
7/9
Clean Sheets
11%
France
Clean Sheets
22%
Italy
17.11.24 FT
UEFA Nations League A
Italy
France
1
3
06.09.24 FT
UEFA Nations League A
France
Italy
1
3
01.06.18 FT
Friendly International
France
Italy
3
1
01.09.16 FT
Friendly International
Italy
France
1
3
14.11.12 FT
Friendly International
Italy
France
1
2
Last matches - France
Statistics for the team's last 10 games
8
wins
80%
0
draws
0%
2
losses
20%
Avg Goals Scored
2.2
Avg Goals Conceded
1
Cards per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
0.9
Corners per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
6
Clean Sheets
60%
BTTS
30%
28.09.26 FT
UEFA Nations League A
Belgium
France
0
1
25.09.26 FT
UEFA Nations League A
France
Turkiye
0
1
18.07.26 FT
World Cup
France
4
England
6
14.07.26 FT
World Cup
France
0
Spain
2
09.07.26 FT
World Cup
Morocco
France
2
0
Last matches - Italy
Statistics for the team's last 10 games
7
wins
70%
1
draw
10%
2
losses
20%
Avg Goals Scored
1.8
Avg Goals Conceded
0.9
Cards per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
2.1
Corners per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
6.3
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
40%
28.09.26 FT
UEFA Nations League A
Turkiye
Italy
1
4
25.09.26 FT
UEFA Nations League A
Italy
Belgium
0
2
07.06.26 FT
Friendly International
Greece
0
Italy
1
03.06.26 FT
Friendly International
Luxembourg
Italy
0
1
31.03.26 FT
World Cup Qualification UEFA
Bosnia and Herzegovina
(4)
1
Italy
(1)
1
France vs Italy standings
UEFA Nations League A Table| № | Team | MP | W | D | L | Goals | Pt |
| 1 |
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Belgium | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Turkiye | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
France vs Italy form comparison
Teams Season Stats (Current League)
Where to watch France VS Italy
TV broadcasters & Live in
United States
Albania
Algeria
Andorra
Angola
Antigua & Barbuda
Argentina
Armenia
Austria
Azerbaijan
Bahamas
Bahrain
Bangladesh
Barbados
Belarus
Belgium
Benin
Bhutan
Bolivia
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Botswana
Brazil
Brunei
Bulgaria
Burkina Faso
Burundi
Cambodia
Cameroon
Canada
Cape Verde
Chad
Chile
Colombia
Comoros
Congo - Brazzaville
Congo - Kinshasa
Costa Rica
Croatia
Cyprus
Czechia
Côte d’Ivoire
Denmark
Djibouti
Dominica
Dominican Republic
EN
Ecuador
Egypt
El Salvador
Equatorial Guinea
Estonia
Eswatini
Ethiopia
Finland
France
Gabon
Gambia
Georgia
Germany
Ghana
Greece
Grenada
Guatemala
Guinea
Honduras
Hong Kong SAR China
Hungary
Iceland
India
Iran
Iraq
Ireland
Israel
Italy
Jamaica
Japan
Kazakhstan
Kenya
Kuwait
Laos
Latvia
Lebanon
Lesotho
Liberia
Libya
Liechtenstein
Lithuania
Luxembourg
Madagascar
Malawi
Maldives
Mali
Malta
Mauritania
Mauritius
Mexico
Moldova
Monaco
Montenegro
Morocco
Mozambique
Namibia
Nepal
Netherlands
Nicaragua
Niger
Nigeria
North Macedonia
Norway
Oman
Pakistan
Palestinian Territories
Panama
Paraguay
Peru
Poland
Portugal
Puerto Rico
Qatar
Romania
Russia
Rwanda
San Marino
Saudi Arabia
Senegal
Serbia
Seychelles
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Somalia
South Africa
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Spain
Sri Lanka
St. Lucia
Sudan
Sweden
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Vietnam
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Zambia
Zimbabwe
DAZN
ViX
fuboTV
Fox Sports 1 USA
Fubo.tv
Fox One
Popular upcoming UEFA Nations League A matches
UEFA Nations League A Fixtures
Today 14:45
-
-
1
61%
X
21%
2
18%
Prediction
03.10.26 12:00
-
-
1
24%
X
24%
2
52%
Prediction
03.10.26 14:45
-
-
1
90%
X
8%
2
3%
Prediction
04.10.26 14:45
-
-
1
81%
X
13%
2
6%
Prediction
04.10.26 14:45
-
-
1
25%
X
25%
2
50%
Prediction
04.10.26 14:45
-
-
1
58%
X
21%
2
20%
Prediction
04.10.26 14:45
-
-
1
24%
X
26%
2
51%
Prediction
05.10.26 14:45
-
-
1
64%
X
20%
2
16%
Prediction
05.10.26 14:45
-
-
1
61%
X
21%
2
17%
Prediction