UEFA Nations League C
Round 3
Estonia vs Luxembourg
Estonia
3 place
1
:
1
Correct score 1:1
Win Rate
9%
The most likely outcome according to the mathematical prediction
Luxembourg
2 place
Estonia VS Luxembourg Math predictions
Full-time result
Home
31%
3.09
Draw
31%
3.09
Away
37%
2.61
W2
Result:
W2
Win Rate
37%
The probability of 2.61 odds implies 37% chance of success, and these expectations were fulfilled in 37% of the recent 15 games with similar odds.
2.61
Both teams to score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.75
BTTS: Yes
BTTS:
YES
Win Rate
25%
The probability of 1.99 odds implies 47% chance of success, but it only happened in 25% of the last 7 games with similar odds.
1.99
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10%
8.8
Under 2.5
90%
1.03
O/U: Under 2.5
Total Goals:
Under
Win Rate
100%
The probability of 1.03 odds implies 90% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 100% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
1.03
Double Chance
1/X
63%
1.53
1/2
69%
1.4
X/2
69%
1.4
W1 or W2
Double chance:
1/2
Win Rate
79%
The probability of 1.4 odds implies 69% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 79% of the last 17 games with similar odds.
1.4
Correct Score
Chance
Odds
Correct Score
Correct Score:
1:1
Win Rate
9%
The probability of 5 odds implies 9% chance of success, and these expectations were fulfilled in 9% of the recent 15 games with similar odds.
5
On October 3, 2026, the national teams of Estonia and Luxembourg will meet in the third round of UEFA Nations League...
Total under 2,5
1.65
Bet Builder Tips for Estonia VS Luxembourg
O/U Home team: Under 1.25
O/U Home team:
Under 1.25
Win Rate
100%
The probability of 1.47 odds implies 65% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 100% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.47
Chance
65%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1xbet | $14.7 | 1.47 | 95% | |
|
Afropari | $14.5 | 1.45 | 92% |
O/U Home team: Under 1.5
O/U Home team:
Under 1.5
Win Rate
100%
The probability of 1.35 odds implies 68% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 100% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.35
Chance
68%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1xbet | $13.5 | 1.35 | 91% | |
|
|
Afropari | $13.2 | 1.32 | 92% | |
|
Betway | $13 | 1.3 | 92% |
Total Goals: Under 3.5
Total Goals:
Under 3.5
Win Rate
95%
The probability of 1.2 odds implies 78% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 95% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.2
Chance
78%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Betway | $12 | 1.2 | 93% | |
|
|
Afropari | $11.8 | 1.18 | 92% | |
|
|
1xbet | $11.56 | 1.16 | 91% |
Total Goals: Over 0.5
Total Goals:
Over 0.5
Win Rate
94%
The probability of 1.08 odds implies 87% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 94% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.08
Chance
87%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Betway | $10.83 | 1.08 | 93% | |
|
|
Afropari | $10.8 | 1.08 | 92% | |
|
|
1xbet | $10.52 | 1.05 | 89% |
Total Goals: Over 0.75
Total Goals:
Over 0.75
Win Rate
93%
The probability of 1.1 odds implies 85% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 93% of the last 16 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.1
Chance
85%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Afropari | $11 | 1.1 | 92% | |
|
|
1xbet | $10.76 | 1.08 | 90% |
Fixture Analysis
Match Overview
Estonia host Luxembourg at A Le Coq Arena in Tallinn on matchday 3 of UEFA Nations League C, with both sides chasing promotion-playoff ambitions and security from relegation danger. Estonia’s two draws and minimal scoring contrast with...
Stats Trends & Facts
- All
- Match Result
- Goals
- Cards
- Corners
Unbeaten
7 games
86%
Estonia remained unbeaten in 6 of their 7 most recent matches.
Match Result - Estonia mostly likely will not lose
1.44
Team Goals Under
6 games
100%
Estonia scored under 1.5 goals in all of their last 6 matches.
Team Goals - Estonia Under (1.5)
1.35
Team Goals Under
19 games
89%
Estonia found the net less than 1.5 times in 17 of the last 19 games.
Team Goals - Estonia Under (1.5)
1.35
Estonia vs Luxembourg Betting statistics
All leagues
UEFA Nations League C
10
Played
10
Played
90 %
Over 0.5 goals
100 %
70 %
Over 1.5 goals
70 %
30 %
Over 2.5 goals
40 %
30 %
Over 3.5 goals
10 %
20 %
Over 4.5 goals
0 %
20 %
Over 1.5 goals in 1st period
30 %
10 %
Goals scored in both halves
20 %
30 %
Goals conceded in both halves
20 %
Estonia vs Luxembourg Compare odds
United States| BM | Bonuses | W1 | X | W2 | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Bonus
1xBet Promo Code 2026
|
3.09
1xbet
01 Oct 12:01
3
+ 0.1
30 Sep 20:02
2.91
+ 0.09
|
3.09
1xbet
01 Oct 12:01
3.22
-0.1
|
2.61
1xbet
30 Sep 20:02
2.66
-0.08
|
97%
|
|
|
Bonus
Melbet Promo Code
|
3.03
Melbet
01 Oct 12:01
2.94
+ 0.09
30 Sep 20:02
2.85
+ 0.09
|
3.05
Melbet
01 Oct 12:01
3.15
-0.1
|
2.53
Melbet
30 Sep 20:02
2.6
-0.07
|
95%
|
|
Bonus
15% of your qualifying deposit in Bet Credits up to 60 $
|
3
Bet365
02 Oct 02:05
2.9
+ 0.1
01 Oct 12:01
3
-0.1
01 Oct 04:00
2.8
+ 0.2
|
3.1
Bet365
01 Oct 12:01
3.2
-0.1
|
2.5
Bet365
02 Oct 08:01
2.4
+ 0.1
02 Oct 02:05
2.5
-0.1
01 Oct 12:01
2.4
+ 0.1
|
95%
|
|
|
3.6
Betway
02 Oct 03:03
3.5
+ 0.1
|
2
Betway
01 Oct 20:03
2.05
-0.05
|
3.1
Betway
01 Oct 20:03
3
+ 0.1
|
90%
|
|
|
|
Bonus
Afropari Promo Code 2026
|
3.53
Afropari
02 Oct 13:03
3.35
+ 0.18
02 Oct 10:03
3.51
-0.16
01 Oct 20:03
3.27
+ 0.26
|
1.93
|
3.05
Afropari
02 Oct 10:03
2.95
+ 0.13
02 Oct 02:05
2.85
+ 0.1
|
88%
|
|
|
Bonus
BetWinner Promo Code
|
2.88
Betwinner
30 Sep 20:02
2.75
+ 0.13
|
2.9
|
2.45
Betwinner
30 Sep 20:02
2.5
-0.05
|
90%
|
| Average | 3.19 | 2.68 | 2.71 |
93%
|
|
| Highest | 3.6 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
97%
|
Players to watch
UEFA Nations League C 2026/2027
Other Scorers
Leandro Barreiro
1 goals
1 goals
Estonia vs Luxembourg Head to Head History
Recent H2H Games - 2
2
wins
100%
0
draws
0%
0
wins
0%
Over 1.5
100%
2/2
Over 2.5
50%
1/2
Over 3.5
50%
1/2
BTTS
0%
0/2
Clean Sheets
100%
Estonia
Clean Sheets
0%
Luxembourg
12.10.05 FT
World Cup Qualification UEFA
Luxembourg
Estonia
0
2
04.09.04 FT
World Cup Qualification UEFA
Estonia
4
Luxembourg
0
Last matches - Estonia
Statistics for the team's last 10 games
3
wins
30%
4
draws
40%
3
losses
30%
Avg Goals Scored
1.1
Avg Goals Conceded
1.4
Cards per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
1.4
Corners per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
2.7
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
60%
29.09.26 FT
UEFA Nations League C
Bulgaria
Estonia
0
0
26.09.26 FT
UEFA Nations League C
Iceland
Estonia
1
1
09.06.26 FT
Friendly International
Estonia
Lithuania
1
0
06.06.26 FT
Friendly International
Estonia
Faroe Islands
1
0
30.03.26 FT
Friendly International
Rwanda
Estonia
2
0
Last matches - Luxembourg
Statistics for the team's last 10 games
4
wins
40%
0
draws
0%
6
losses
60%
Avg Goals Scored
0.8
Avg Goals Conceded
1.4
Cards per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
2.9
Corners per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
2.8
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
10%
29.09.26 FT
UEFA Nations League C
Luxembourg
Iceland
0
3
26.09.26 FT
UEFA Nations League C
Bulgaria
Luxembourg
1
2
06.06.26 FT
Friendly International
Albania
Luxembourg
0
1
03.06.26 FT
Friendly International
Luxembourg
Italy
0
1
31.03.26 FT
UEFA Nations League D
Luxembourg
3
Malta
0
Estonia vs Luxembourg standings
UEFA Nations League C Table| № | Team | MP | W | D | L | Goals | Pt |
| 1 | Iceland | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 2 |
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 3 |
|
2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 4 | Bulgaria | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
Estonia vs Luxembourg form comparison
Teams Season Stats (Current League)
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Popular upcoming UEFA Nations League C matches
UEFA Nations League C Fixtures
Today 14:45
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1
18%
X
26%
2
56%
Prediction
03.10.26 09:00
-
-
1
39%
X
29%
2
31%
Prediction
03.10.26 12:00
-
-
1
67%
X
21%
2
12%
Prediction
03.10.26 12:00
-
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1
88%
X
9%
2
3%
Prediction