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Lithuania vs Azerbaijan prediction: expert analysis, possible lineups, September 27, 2026

The visitors will avoid defeat
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
Lithuania vs Azerbaijan match prediction on Sep 27, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
2.54 Linebet 21 Sep 20:01 2.58 -0.05 20 Sep 20:01 2.76 -0.18 3.09 Linebet 25 Sep 20:01 3.14 -0.06 22 Sep 20:01 3.1 + 0.06 3.19 Linebet 22 Sep 20:01 3.1 + 0.07 21 Sep 20:01 3.04 + 0.07 20 Sep 20:01 2.8 + 0.23
38% 31% 30%
21 TIPS
Tournament UEFA Nations League D
Venue Dariaus Ir Gireno Stadium
Date & kick-off time

On September 27, 2026, the national teams of Lithuania and Azerbaijan will face each other in the second round of Division D of the UEFA Nations League. Neither side will want to suffer defeat here.

Lithuania vs Azerbaijan team news and expert analysis

Even in the Nations League, in Division C, the Lithuanians suffered defeat in every match of the previous cycle. In last year's qualifying campaign, they managed only three points and again finished bottom. They began 2026 with a win over Moldova, but then lost to Georgia. At the Baltic Cup, after eliminating Latvia on penalties, they narrowly lost to Estonia in the final. They have now beaten Liechtenstein 2-0, but both goals against the underdogs came after the break.

Azerbaijan managed just one point, against Estonia, in the previous Nations League campaign. In the autumn of 2025, they took points off Ukraine by drawing at home, while suffering defeat in all their other matches. This year, however, they have secured wins in friendly matches against Saint Lucia and San Marino. They got an early start this time by playing a warm-up match against Tajikistan. They won it, but only thanks to an own goal in the second half, finishing with a 1-0 victory.

The Baltic side are currently scoring 0.8 goals per match while conceding 1.9. The team from the South Caucasus averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.

Previous matches: Lithuania vs Azerbaijan

There have been three meetings in total. After the teams exchanged wins, the most recent match ended in a draw.

The visitors are considered underdogs, but they are a capable side. We are backing them to avoid defeat (odds – 1.60).

Lithuania vs Azerbaijan: key statistics and trends

  • Lithuania have won in regulation time only for the second time since the summer before last
  • 30% of Lithuania's matches have seen both teams score, while the average total goals per match is 2.7
  • Azerbaijan have won three of their last five matches
  • 60% of Azerbaijan's matches have seen both teams score, while the average total goals per match is 2.9

Lithuania vs Azerbaijan: possible starting lineups

Lithuania play in a 1-4-3-3 formation (possible lineup): Bartkus – Tutyskin, Utkus, Kazukolovas, Širvys – Mihelbrink, Vorobyov, Gineitis – Lasickas, Kutchys, Jankauskas

Azerbaijan play in a 1-3-5-2 formation (possible lineup): Balayev – Badalov, Mammadov, Dashdamirov – Bayramov, Isayev, Mahmudov, Haybulayev, Mutallimov – Sadykhov, Gurbanly

Place your bets on the upcoming match and keep track of your team's position in the UEFA Nations League standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction Azerbaijan won't lose
1.6
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Azerbaijan won't lose
1.6