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Spain vs Croatia prediction: team news, lineups, expert analysis

The hosts should win convincingly
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
Spain vs Croatia match prediction on Sep 29, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
1.22 Linebet 26 Sep 20:01 1.28 -0.08 19 Sep 21:07 1.28 + 0.06 7.29 Linebet 28 Sep 21:00 7.5 -0.21 28 Sep 14:00 7.4 + 0.1 28 Sep 11:04 7.29 + 0.11 28 Sep 08:00 7.5 -0.21 28 Sep 07:00 7.6 -0.1 28 Sep 06:02 7.7 -0.1 28 Sep 05:00 7.55 + 0.15 28 Sep 04:02 7.49 + 0.06 27 Sep 20:01 7.38 + 0.11 26 Sep 20:01 6.01 + 1.38 26 Sep 08:00 5.72 + 0.29 25 Sep 20:00 5.61 + 0.11 24 Sep 20:00 5.66 -0.05 23 Sep 20:02 4.5 + 1.16 21 Sep 20:00 4.8 -0.3 19 Sep 21:07 5.09 -0.29 13.4 Linebet 28 Sep 21:00 14 -0.6 28 Sep 14:00 14.2 -0.2 28 Sep 11:04 13.4 + 0.8 28 Sep 08:00 16 -2.6 28 Sep 04:02 15.5 + 0.5 27 Sep 04:00 15 + 0.5 26 Sep 21:04 15.5 -0.5 26 Sep 20:01 11.6 + 3.9 26 Sep 08:00 10.3 + 1.3 25 Sep 20:00 10.8 -0.5 24 Sep 20:00 10.6 + 0.2 23 Sep 20:02 8.5 + 2.1 21 Sep 20:00 8.9 -0.4 19 Sep 21:07 9.15 -0.25
79% 13% 7%
41 TIPS
Tournament UEFA Nations League A
Venue Estadio R. Sanchez Pizjuan (Seville)
Date & kick-off time

On September 29, 2026, Spain and Croatia will face each other in the second round of League A of the UEFA Nations League.

Spain vs Croatia: team news and expert analysis

Spain only missed out on the Nations League title in the previous edition under de la Fuente, losing in the final. More importantly, over the summer they added a World Cup triumph to their status as European champions, once again doing so in emphatic fashion: they failed to score and, accordingly, failed to win only against Cape Verde! Now, in England, they managed to win 3-2 in an incredibly entertaining encounter.

Croatia somehow failed to reach the knockout stage at the Euros. They avoided a repeat of that failure at the World Cup, although they began with a defeat by England before going on to beat both Panama and Ghana. However, in the round of 32, after taking the lead against Portugal, they meekly lost 1-2. After that, Dalić left the managerial post, and Bilić returned to the job; Croatia still managed to beat the Czech Republic 2-1.

The champions score two goals per game while conceding just 0.4 on average. Modrić and company maintain the balance: 1.6 goals scored and 1.7 conceded.

Previous matches: Spain vs Croatia

Spain have progressed three times in a row: once on penalties, once after extra time, and at Euro 2024 the future champions won 3-0.

The home side are noticeably stronger. We are backing them to win with a handicap of "-1.5 goals" (odds – 1.60).

Spain vs Croatia: key statistics and trends

  • Spain have won nine of their last ten matches, including a 1-0 extra-time victory over Argentina
  • 30% of Spain's matches end with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 2.4
  • Croatia have won four of their last six matches
  • 80% of Croatia's matches end with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 3.3

Spain vs Croatia: possible starting lineups

Spain play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (possible lineup): Simón - Pubill, Cubarsí, Laporte, Cucurella - Rodri, Fabián - Olmo, Yamal, Williams - Ferran Torres

Croatia play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (possible lineup): Livaković - Stanišić, Vušković, Gvardiol, Perišić - Modrić, Kovačić - Luka Sučić, Petar Sučić, Ivanović - Matanović

Follow the UEFA Nations League standings and learn about your team's form before placing a bet on the next match

Our Pick
Game Prediction W1(-1,5)
1.6
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
WinRate WinRate (%) for the last 30 days 56
Avr. Coef. Avr. Coef. for the last 30 days 1.73
Void Voided bets (postponements, cancellations, etc.) in the last 30 days 93
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Game Prediction Our Pick
W1(-1,5)
1.6