Senegal vs Morocco Prediction, Team News, H2H and Betting Tips on January 18, 2026
AFCON - Africa Cup of Nations
Senegal will face Morocco in 2025 Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON) final at Prince Moulay Abdellah Stadium in Rabat, Morocco, on January 18, 2026, kicking off at 19:00 GMT (20:00 local time). Hosts Morocco, aiming to end a 50-year wait for their second AFCON title (last won in 1976), boast home advantage and an impressive defensive run. Senegal, the 2021 champions, seek their second crown, relying on stars like Sadio Mané amid some key suspensions.
Senegal vs Morocco Key Stats & Trends
- Morocco are unbeaten so far, with 5 wins and 1 draw in this 2025 AFCON
- The Atlas Lions average 1.33 goals scored and 0.16 conceded.
- Morocco have conceded just 1 goal across the entire tournament so far.
- Senegal won 5 and drew 1 of their 6 AFCON games so far
- The Teranga Lions average 2.0 goals scored and 0.33 conceded per game
- In their last 5 H2H, Morocco boast a 4-1 advantage over Senegal, with no draw.
Senegal vs Morocco Recent Form
Senegal have the best attack of AFCON 2025, with 12 goals scored, that is just one behind Nigeria (13). The Teranga Lions have been solid throughout the tournament and won all of their games in regular time, without needing extra time. Sadio Mane has been their best player so far, with 2 goals and 3 assists.
Morocco, on the other hand, boasts the best defense of the tournament, with only one goal conceded after 6 games. The Atlas Lions mostly relied on Real Madrid star Brahim Diaz who is the tournament’s top scorer with 5 goals. However, they have a solid team as well, with Neil El Aynaoui being a monster at midfield, while 2025 CAF Player of The Year Achraf Hakimi and Nayef Aguerd are leading from the back. Whether a starter or a second-half substitute, Ayoub El Kaabi can be lethal and is going to be one of the main threats on Edouard Mendy’s sticks.
Form (AFCON)
- Senegal: D-W-W-W-W
- Morocco: D-W-W-W-W
Team News
Senegal will be dealing with the suspension of their skipper Kalidou Koulibaly who is the leader of the defense with consecutive yellow cards. He is expected ti be replaced by Strasbourg’s youngster Mamadou Sarr who subbed him against Egypt in the semifinals. Habib Diarra is also suspended for the same reason.
Morocco, on the other hand, have all of their players fit and available for this clash, apart from Romain Saïss and Azzedine Ounahi who are injured since the group stages. Walid Regragui will have all his leaders available, including Achraf Hakimi who started the tournament during the matchday 3 against Zambia.
Predicted Line-ups
- Senegal: Mendy; Diouf, Diarra, Niakhate, Diatta ; I. Gueye, Camara, P. Gueye ; Ndiaye, Jackson, Mané
- Morocco: Bounou; Hakimi, Aguerd, Masina, Mazraoui ; El Aynaoui, El Khannouss, Saibari ; Ezzalzouli, Brahim, El Kaabi
Senegal vs Morocco Pre-game Odds & Win Probability
- Morocco : 2.40
- Draw : 2.83
- Senegal : 3.96
Correct Score Prediction: Senegal 1-1 Morocco
Given Morocco's exceptional defensive record (conceding once in the tournament), home advantage, and historical edge, combined with Senegal’s potent attack but also solid defense (only 2 conceded), a tightly-contested game is likely with a draw at the end of extra time, and the hosts winning on penalties where Yassine Bounou is a monster.
Expert Tip: Both Teams To Score
By beating Egypt in the semifinals, Senegal have shown that they can score even against the toughest defenses in the tournament. Morocco, supported by their home fans, will try their best to find the back of the net as well, making ‘Both Teams To Score – Yes’ at odds of 2.44 a good option.
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