San Marino vs Finland prediction: expert analysis, possible lineups, September 26, 2026
UEFA Nations League C
On September 26, 2026, San Marino and Finland will face off in the opening round of UEFA Nations League League C. The visitors are expected to take maximum points here.
San Marino - Finland team news and expert analysis
San Marino are perennial underdogs. However, in the previous edition of the tournament, they won their group, albeit against Gibraltar and Liechtenstein. In last year's qualifying campaign, though, they lost all eight matches. In 2026, they have managed only a draw with Andorra in friendlies, while losing 1-2 to the Faroe Islands, Azerbaijan and even Bangladesh.
Finland have declined recently. In the 2024/2025 Nations League, they failed to earn a single point. Things went better last year, when they collected ten points from eight qualifying matches. In March, they beat New Zealand and drew with Cape Verde in the FIFA Series. But at the start of the summer, they lost friendly matches to Germany (a heavy 0-4 defeat) and Hungary.
The perennial underdogs are currently managing to score at least 0.5 goals per game, but they are conceding as many as 3.7. The Scandinavians also have a negative goal difference, but it is far less damaging: they score 1.1 goals per game and concede 1.7.
Previous matches: San Marino - Finland
All six previous meetings were won by the current visitors.
They will also be clear favourites this time. Finland should win with a handicap of "-2.0 goals" (odds – 1.60).
San Marino - Finland: key stats and trends
- San Marino have lost all but one of their matches since the start of last calendar year
- Both teams have scored in 50% of San Marino's matches, with an average total of 4.2 goals per game.
- Finland have lost two matches in a row
- Both teams have scored in 40% of Finland's matches, with an average total of 2.8 goals per game
San Marino - Finland: possible starting lineups
San Marino play in a 1-4-4-2 formation (possible lineup): Colombo - Fabbri, Cevoli, Tosi, Pasolini - Meloni, Capicchioni, Zannoni, Lazzari - Nanni, Giacopetti
Finland play in a 1-4-3-3 formation (possible lineup): Hradecky - Mahuta, Miettinen, Koski, Jansson - Valta, Suhonen, Markhiev - Skyttä, Håkans, Pohjanpalo
Place your bets on the upcoming match and follow your team's position in the UEFA Nations League standings
