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Roma vs Real Madrid prediction: expert analysis, possible lineups, October 14, 2026

Expecting at least three goals
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published:
Roma vs Real Madrid match prediction on 14.10.26
Math prediction 1 X 2
3.72 Linebet 13 Oct 17:00 3.86 -0.14 08 Oct 20:01 3.78 + 0.1 07 Oct 20:01 3.6 + 0.19 03 Oct 21:07 3.43 + 0.17 4.09 Linebet 13 Oct 17:00 4.16 -0.07 13 Oct 05:01 4.11 + 0.05 07 Oct 20:01 4.04 + 0.06 03 Oct 21:07 3.98 + 0.06 1.99 Linebet 13 Oct 17:00 1.94 + 0.05 07 Oct 20:01 2.04 -0.07 03 Oct 21:07 2.12 -0.07
26% 24% 49%
47 TIPS
Tournament Champions League
Venue Stadio Olimpico, Rome (Rome)
Date & kick-off time

On October 14, 2026, Roma will face Real Madrid in the second round of the Champions League league phase. Both sides will be aiming solely for victory.

Roma vs Real Madrid: team news and expert analysis

The Rome-based club brought in Gasperini last summer. He achieved what his predecessors, including Mourinho, had failed to do: he guided the team to third place. This season, Roma also dropped points for the first time against Inter — and in dramatic fashion: they led 2-0 but had to settle for a draw. In October, they shared the points with Como after being reduced to ten men following Malen's dismissal, with neither side finding the net in a 0-0 finish.

The Spanish capital's powerhouse won nothing in 2025/2026 and once again finished behind Barcelona in La Liga. Florentino Pérez responded with a major transfer campaign and Mourinho's return to the Santiago Bernabéu. He began with victories in La Liga, but setbacks followed against Betis and Atlético. After the international break, Real Madrid beat Villarreal 1-0 despite playing with ten men.

The Italians began their campaign in Istanbul. They won the first half, but Fenerbahçe hit back after the break, and the match ended 1-1. The Spaniards opened against another Serie A representative, Inter. The Italian side looked better but made mistakes, and Real Madrid eventually secured a 2-1 victory.

Previous meetings: Roma vs Real Madrid

The clubs met in the Champions League in 2008, 2016 and 2018. The Romans began with two victories, but then suffered four consecutive defeats.

The visitors are also viewed as the favorites this time, but they will certainly face a serious challenge. Our pick is "over 3.0 goals" (odds – 1.63).

Roma vs Real Madrid: key statistics and trends

  • Roma have drawn two matches in a row
  • Roma score an average of 2.33 goals and concede 0.5 goals per match
  • Both teams have scored in 33% of Roma's matches, while the average total is 2.83 goals per game
  • Real Madrid have won seven of their nine matches this season
  • Real Madrid score an average of 2.38 goals and concede one goal per match
  • Both teams have scored in 63% of Real Madrid's matches, while the average total is 3.38 goals per game

Roma vs Real Madrid: possible starting lineups

Roma play in a 1-3-4-2-1 formation (possible lineup): Svilar – Hermoso, Ndicka, Mancini – Franca, Cristante, Koné, Rensch – Soulé, Dybala – Malen

Real Madrid play in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (possible lineup): Courtois – Carreras, Huijsen, Konaté, Dumfries – Bernardo Silva, Valverde – Vinícius Júnior, Bellingham, Güler – Mbappé

Place your bets on the upcoming match and follow your team's position in the Champions League standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction Total over 3,0
1.63
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Bonus code ML_6295 Promo code copied
Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Total over 3,0
1.63