Iceland vs Estonia prediction: team news, lineups, expert analysis

The hosts should win comfortably

Author:

Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert

Published: 24 Sep 2026, 13:25

Math prediction 1 X 2

Iceland

-

Estonia

-

1.3 Linebet 21 Sep 20:02 1.4 -0.08 20 Sep 20:02 1.45 -0.05 17 Sep 21:06 1.39 + 0.06 5.67 Linebet 23 Sep 08:03 5.51 + 0.16 22 Sep 20:02 5.45 + 0.06 21 Sep 20:02 4.75 + 0.7 20 Sep 20:02 4.5 + 0.25 17 Sep 21:06 4.6 -0.1 15 Sep 21:04 4.55 + 0.05 14 Sep 21:04 4.6 -0.05 11.6 Linebet 23 Sep 08:03 11.1 + 0.5 22 Sep 20:02 10.5 + 0.6 21 Sep 20:02 8.7 + 1.8 20 Sep 20:02 7.8 + 0.9 17 Sep 21:06 9.7 -1.9 15 Sep 21:04 10 -0.3 14 Sep 21:04 10.5 -0.5

75% 17% 8%

21 TIPS

Tournament UEFA Nations League C

Venue Laugardalsvoellur (Reykjavik)

Date & kick-off time 26 sep 2026, 12:00

In matchday 1 of UEFA Nations League League C, Iceland and Estonia will face off on September 26, 2026. At home, Iceland should be beating an opponent of this level.

Iceland vs Estonia: team news and expert analysis

Iceland lost their place in League B in the previous cycle: they finished third in their group and then lost both legs of their playoff tie against Kosovo. In qualifying, they managed to draw with France and beat Azerbaijan twice, but after failing to achieve anything against Ukraine, they once again finished third. In 2026, they have yet to win a friendly: there were draws against less formidable opponents Canada and Haiti, as well as defeats to stronger sides Mexico, Japan and Argentina.

Estonia also finished third in their group in the previous Nations League cycle, while in qualifying they collected just four points, finishing ahead of only Moldova. In March, as part of the FIFA Series, they faced two exotic African opponents: they drew with Kenya and lost 0-2 to Rwanda. However, in June they won the Baltic Cup, defeating the Faroe Islands and Lithuania.

Gunnlaugsson's men score 1.1 goals per game while conceding exactly twice as many — 2.2. Their Baltic opponents score 0.9 goals per match but also concede 2.2.

Previous matches: Iceland vs Estonia

All three most recent meetings ended in draws.

The hosts are particularly strong on home soil. We will back them to win with a "-1 goal" handicap (odds — 1.60).

Iceland vs Estonia: key statistics and trends

• Iceland are winless in six consecutive matches
• Both teams have scored in 50% of Iceland's matches, while the average total goals per game is 3.3
• Estonia have won three of their last five matches
• Both teams have scored in 60% of Estonia's matches, while the average total goals per game is 3.1

Iceland vs Estonia: possible starting lineups

Iceland play in a 1-4-4-2 formation (possible lineup): Olafsson — Tomasson, Magnusson, Gretarsson, Paulsson — Gudmundsson, Baldursson, Johannesson, Ellertsson — Oskarsson, Haraldsson

Estonia play in a 1-5-3-2 formation (possible lineup): Kivila — Tammik, Kolobov, Tovstik, Hussar, Tougjas — Siht, Soomets, Kreida — Männilaane, Mustmae

Follow the UEFA Nations League table and find out about your team's form before betting on the next match

Our Pick

Game Prediction W1(-1)

1.6

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Benjamin Mcneil

betting expert

He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.

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