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Genoa vs Milan prediction: team news, lineups, expert analysis

The hosts could spring a surprise
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 14 May 2026, 12:26
Genoa vs AC Milan match prediction on May 17, 2026
Tournament Serie A Italy
Date & kick-off time 17 may 2026, 06:00

In the 37th round of Italy's Serie A on May 17, 2026, Genoa and Milan will face off. The ambitious visitors come aiming for victory.

Genoa vs Milan: Team News and Expert Analysis

The club from Genoa finished last season with 43 points in thirteenth place, showing improvement after Vieira took over as head coach. In the new campaign, De Rossi has replaced him, also providing a boost. In the last rounds, having already secured their position, they recorded goalless draws against Atalanta and Fiorentina.

The "San Siro" giants had a disappointing 2024/2025 season, finishing only eighth, with the Super Cup as scant consolation. Allegri returned as head coach over the summer, and the team improved significantly, becoming Inter's main challenger. However, in the spring their performance dipped, and they shifted their focus to the battle for second place, and after further setbacks—including against Sassuolo and Atalanta—even to securing fourth.

Malinovskyi and company currently average 1.11 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per match. One of the division leaders fares much better: 1.39 goals scored and only 0.89 conceded on average.

Previous Matches: Genoa vs Milan

Three of the last four meetings ended in draws, with Milan winning only once in that stretch.

The hosts are considered clear underdogs. But the giants have been quite weak—so we back the home side in Genoa to win with a "+1 goal" handicap (odds – 1.62).

Genoa vs Milan: Key Stats and Trends

  • Genoa have won two of their last five matches
  • 53% of Genoa's matches end with goals from both teams and the average total goals per match is 2.44
  • Milan have won only two of their last eight matches
  • 44% of Milan’s matches end with goals from both teams and the average total goals per match is 2.28

Genoa vs Milan: Probable Lineups

Genoa play a 1-3-4-1-2 formation (possible lineup): Beylo - Vasquez, Estigor, Marcandalli - Sabelli, Mazini, Amorim, Martin Caricol - Baldanzi - Ehator, Colombo. Messias and Norton-Cuffy are unavailable.

Milan play a 1-3-5-2 formation (possible lineup): Maignan - Pavlovic, Gabbia, Tomori - Bartezaghi, Rabiot, Ricci, Fofana, Atekame - Pulisic, Rafael Leão. Veteran Modric will not feature.

Follow the Serie A standings and check on your team's form before placing your next bet.

Our Pick
Game Prediction W1(+1)
1.62
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
W1(+1)
1.62