Bulgaria vs Luxembourg prediction: teams form analysis, possible lineups on September 26, 2026
On September 26, 2026, Bulgaria and Luxembourg will face each other in Matchday 1 of League C of the UEFA Nations League. For both teams, this is a relatively rare chance to claim a victory.
Bulgaria vs Luxembourg: team news and expert analysis
Bulgaria finished second in its group in the previous Nations League campaign, but then lost the playoffs to Ireland and remained in League C. In qualifying, after exchanging victories with Georgia, they went on to lose to both Spain and Turkey. This year, after March wins over exotic opponents Indonesia and the Solomon Islands, they were beaten by Montenegro in early summer and settled for a draw with Moldova.
Luxembourg finished bottom of its group both in the previous Nations League campaign and in World Cup qualifying, losing every match in the latter. However, in March they beat Malta twice in the playoffs. Then, in June, after a 0-1 defeat to Italy, they edged Albania.
Petkov and company score an average of 1.6 goals per match, while conceding half as many more — 2.4. The representatives of the small duchy score just 0.7 goals per game, while conceding twice as many, 1.4.
Previous matches: Bulgaria vs Luxembourg
The teams have met 17 times in total, and Bulgaria have never lost. However, three of their last four meetings ended in draws.
The hosts are also favored this time. In any case, this is unlikely to be an entertaining contest — we expect "under 2.5 goals" (odds — 1.64).
Bulgaria vs Luxembourg: key stats and trends
- Bulgaria have not won two matches in a row
- 40% of Bulgaria’s matches end with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 4.0
- Luxembourg have won three of their last four matches
- 10% of Luxembourg’s matches end with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per match is 2.1
Bulgaria vs Luxembourg: possible starting lineups
Bulgaria play in a 1-4-3-3 formation (possible lineup): Velichkov — Velkovski, Bozhinov, Hristov, Turitsov — Tsenov, Tsonev, Panayotov — Dimitrov, Petkov, Rusev
Luxembourg play in a 1-5-3-2 formation (possible lineup): Tiago Pereira Cardoso — Carlson, Jans, Pinto, Korac — Moreira, dos Santos, Thill, Martins Pereira — Dardari, Sinani
Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the team’s performance in the UEFA Nations League table