EFL Cup (Carabao Cup)
Round 4
Manchester City vs Brighton
Manchester City
2
:
1
Correct score 2:1
Win Rate
6%
The most likely outcome according to the mathematical prediction
Brighton
Manchester City VS Brighton Math predictions
Full-time result
Home
57%
1.7
Draw
22%
4.3
Away
21%
4.57
W1
Result:
W1
Win Rate
53%
The probability of 1.7 odds implies 57% chance of success, but it only happened in 53% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
1.7
Both teams to score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.37
BTTS: Yes
BTTS:
YES
Win Rate
40%
The probability of 1.53 odds implies 61% chance of success, but it only happened in 40% of the last 30 games with similar odds.
1.53
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62%
1.48
Under 2.5
38%
2.43
O/U: Over 2.5
Total Goals:
Over
Win Rate
67%
The probability of 1.48 odds implies 62% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 67% of the last 30 games with similar odds.
1.48
Double Chance
1/X
79%
1.21
1/2
78%
1.24
X/2
43%
2.24
W1 or Draw
Double chance:
1/X
Win Rate
80%
The probability of 1.21 odds implies 79% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 80% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
1.21
Correct Score
Chance
Odds
Correct Score
Correct Score:
2:1
Win Rate
6%
The probability of 8 odds implies 6% chance of success, and these expectations were fulfilled in 6% of the recent 15 games with similar odds.
8
Bet Builder Tips for Manchester City VS Brighton
O/U Away Team: Under 2.25
O/U Away Team:
Under 2.25
Win Rate
93%
The probability of 1.11 odds implies 84% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 93% of the last 30 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.11
Chance
84%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Afropari | $11.1 | 1.11 | 92% | |
|
|
1xbet | $11 | 1.1 | 93% |
Asian Handicap: 1 -0.75
Asian Handicap:
1 -0.75
Win Rate
86%
The probability of 1.8 odds implies 53% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 86% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.8
Chance
53%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Bet365 | $18 | 1.8 | 96% | |
|
|
1xbet | $17.88 | 1.79 | 92% | |
|
|
Afropari | $17.7 | 1.77 | 92% |
O/U Home Team: Under 2.75
O/U Home Team:
Under 2.75
Win Rate
85%
The probability of 1.32 odds implies 70% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 85% of the last 30 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.32
Chance
70%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Afropari | $13.2 | 1.32 | 92% | |
|
|
1xbet | $13 | 1.3 | 94% |
O/U Home Team: Under 3.25
O/U Home Team:
Under 3.25
Win Rate
83%
The probability of 1.17 odds implies 79% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 83% of the last 30 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.17
Chance
79%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Afropari | $11.7 | 1.17 | 92% |
Asian Handicap: 2 -1.25
Asian Handicap:
2 -1.25
Win Rate
82%
The probability of 1.51 odds implies 61% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 82% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.51
Chance
61%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1xbet | $15.14 | 1.51 | 91% |
Stats Trends & Facts
- All
- Match Result
- Goals
- Cards
- Corners
Winning
14 games
86%
Manchester City beat their competitors in 12 out of their 14 most recent matches.
Match Result - Manchester City likely will win
2
Unbeaten
57 games
86%
Manchester City remained unbeaten in 49 of their 57 most recent matches.
Match Result - Manchester City mostly likely will not lose
1.21
Unbeaten
8 games
100%
Brighton are unbeaten in their last 8 matches.
Match Result - Brighton mostly likely will not lose
2.24
Manchester City vs Brighton Betting statistics
All leagues
EFL Cup (Carabao Cup)
14
Played
16
Played
100 %
Over 0.5 goals
88 %
86 %
Over 1.5 goals
81 %
71 %
Over 2.5 goals
69 %
57 %
Over 3.5 goals
56 %
43 %
Over 4.5 goals
38 %
50 %
Over 1.5 goals in 1st period
63 %
36 %
Goals scored in both halves
63 %
21 %
Goals conceded in both halves
19 %
Manchester City vs Brighton Compare odds
United States| BM | Bonuses | W1 | X | W2 | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Bonus
1xBet Promo Code 2026
|
1.7
|
4.3
|
4.57
|
97%
|
|
Bonus
Melbet Promo Code
|
1.68
|
4.24
|
4.5
|
95%
|
|
|
Bonus
15% of your qualifying deposit in Bet Credits up to 60 $
|
1.61
|
4.5
|
4.33
|
93%
|
|
|
Bonus
Afropari Promo Code 2026
|
2
|
2.47
|
4.4
|
87%
|
|
Bonus
BetWinner Promo Code
|
1.65
|
4
|
4.33
|
92%
|
| Average | 1.73 | 3.9 | 4.43 |
93%
|
|
| Highest | 2 | 4.5 | 4.57 |
97%
|
Players to watch
EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) 2026/2027
Other Scorers
Rayan Cherki
1 goals
1 goals
Ryan McAidoo
1 goals
1 goals
Allan
1 goals
1 goals
Maxim De Cuyper
1 goals
1 goals
Charalampos Kostoulas
1 goals
1 goals
Manchester City vs Brighton Head to Head History
Recent H2H Games - 10
5
wins
50%
3
draws
30%
2
wins
20%
Over 1.5
100%
10/10
Over 2.5
80%
8/10
Over 3.5
40%
4/10
BTTS
80%
8/10
Clean Sheets
20%
Manchester City
Clean Sheets
0%
Brighton
07.01.26 FT
English Premier League
Manchester City
Brighton
1
1
31.08.25 FT
English Premier League
Brighton
Manchester City
2
1
15.03.25 FT
English Premier League
Manchester City
Brighton
2
2
09.11.24 FT
English Premier League
Brighton
Manchester City
2
1
25.04.24 FT
English Premier League
Brighton
Manchester City
0
4
Last matches - Manchester City
Statistics for the team's last 10 games
9
wins
90%
0
draws
0%
1
loss
10%
Avg Goals Scored
3.1
Avg Goals Conceded
1.1
Cards per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
1.4
Corners per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
5.7
Clean Sheets
50%
BTTS
50%
20.10.26 FT
Champions League
Manchester City
AEK Athens
5
1
17.10.26 FT
English Premier League
Manchester City
Ipswich
3
2
14.10.26 FT
Champions League
Manchester City
Paris Saint-Germain
2
4
11.10.26 FT
English Premier League
Manchester City
Liverpool
0
3
20.09.26 FT
English Premier League
Manchester City
Sunderland
5
3
Last matches - Brighton
Statistics for the team's last 10 games
7
wins
70%
2
draws
20%
1
loss
10%
Avg Goals Scored
3
Avg Goals Conceded
0.7
Cards per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
1.9
Corners per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
6.5
Clean Sheets
70%
BTTS
30%
Today FT
Europa Conference League
Jablonec
Brighton
0
0
18.10.26 FT
English Premier League
Brighton
Crystal Palace
5
0
15.10.26 FT
Europa Conference League
Brighton
FK Kauno Zalgiris
4
0
10.10.26 FT
English Premier League
Sunderland
0
Brighton
2
19.09.26 FT
English Premier League
Brighton
Arsenal
3
0
Teams Season Stats (Current League)
Where to watch Manchester City VS Brighton
TV broadcasters & Live in
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EN
El Salvador
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Finland
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Gambia
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Guinea
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Hungary
Iceland
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Israel
Italy
Japan
Kenya
Lesotho
Liberia
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Malawi
Mali
Mauritania
Mauritius
Mexico
Mozambique
Namibia
Netherlands
Nicaragua
Niger
Nigeria
Norway
Panama
Poland
Portugal
Romania
Rwanda
Réunion
San Marino
Saudi Arabia
Senegal
Seychelles
Sierra Leone
Slovakia
Slovenia
Somalia
South Africa
Spain
Sudan
Sweden
Switzerland
São Tomé & Príncipe
Tanzania
Togo
Türkiye
Uganda
United Kingdom
Uruguay
Venezuela
Zambia
Zimbabwe
DAZN
Paramount+
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