EFL Cup (Carabao Cup)
Round 4
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa
Bournemouth
2
:
1
Correct score 2:1
Win Rate
6%
The most likely outcome according to the mathematical prediction
Aston Villa
Bournemouth VS Aston Villa Math predictions
Full-time result
Home
44%
2.21
Draw
27%
3.58
Away
30%
3.25
W1
Result:
W1
Win Rate
36%
The probability of 2.21 odds implies 44% chance of success, but it only happened in 36% of the last 11 games with similar odds.
2.21
Both teams to score
Yes
59%
1.57
No
41%
2.28
BTTS: Yes
BTTS:
YES
Win Rate
70%
The probability of 1.57 odds implies 59% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 70% of the last 30 games with similar odds.
1.57
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
56%
1.72
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
O/U: Over 2.5
Total Goals:
Over
Win Rate
63%
The probability of 1.72 odds implies 56% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 63% of the last 30 games with similar odds.
1.72
Double Chance
1/X
71%
1.36
1/2
73%
1.32
X/2
56%
1.71
W1 or W2
Double chance:
1/2
Win Rate
60%
The probability of 1.32 odds implies 73% chance of success, but it only happened in 60% of the last 30 games with similar odds.
1.32
Correct Score
Chance
Odds
Correct Score
Correct Score:
1:1
Win Rate
7%
The probability of 7 odds implies 7% chance of success, and these expectations were fulfilled in 7% of the recent 15 games with similar odds.
7
Bet Builder Tips for Bournemouth VS Aston Villa
Asian Handicap: 2 -1.25
Asian Handicap:
2 -1.25
Win Rate
93%
The probability of 1.26 odds implies 73% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 93% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.26
Chance
73%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Afropari | $12.6 | 1.26 | 92% | |
|
|
1xbet | $12.52 | 1.25 | 92% |
Asian Handicap: 2 -1.5
Asian Handicap:
2 -1.5
Win Rate
93%
The probability of 1.22 odds implies 76% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 93% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.22
Chance
76%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Afropari | $12.2 | 1.22 | 92% | |
|
|
1xbet | $11.92 | 1.19 | 91% |
O/U Home Team: Under 2.25
O/U Home Team:
Under 2.25
Win Rate
90%
The probability of 1.28 odds implies 73% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 90% of the last 30 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.28
Chance
73%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Afropari | $12.8 | 1.28 | 92% | |
|
|
1xbet | $12.7 | 1.27 | 94% |
O/U Away Team: Under 2.25
O/U Away Team:
Under 2.25
Win Rate
90%
The probability of 1.15 odds implies 81% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 90% of the last 30 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.15
Chance
81%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Afropari | $11.5 | 1.15 | 92% | |
|
|
1xbet | $11.2 | 1.12 | 93% |
Asian Handicap: 1 +0.75
Asian Handicap:
1 +0.75
Win Rate
87%
The probability of 1.23 odds implies 75% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 87% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.23
Chance
75%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Afropari | $12.3 | 1.23 | 92% | |
|
|
1xbet | $12.23 | 1.22 | 93% |
Stats Trends & Facts
- All
- Match Result
- Goals
- Cards
- Corners
Unbeaten
37 games
86%
Bournemouth remained unbeaten in 32 of their 37 most recent matches.
Match Result - Bournemouth mostly likely will not lose
1.36
Unbeaten
7 games
100%
Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 7 matches.
Match Result - Aston Villa mostly likely will not lose
1.71
Winning
7 games
86%
Aston Villa won in 6 of their 7 most recent matches.
Match Result - Aston Villa likely will win
3.45
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Betting statistics
All leagues
EFL Cup (Carabao Cup)
16
Played
18
Played
100 %
Over 0.5 goals
94 %
94 %
Over 1.5 goals
83 %
81 %
Over 2.5 goals
83 %
50 %
Over 3.5 goals
61 %
25 %
Over 4.5 goals
28 %
56 %
Over 1.5 goals in 1st period
61 %
56 %
Goals scored in both halves
44 %
25 %
Goals conceded in both halves
22 %
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Compare odds
United States| BM | Bonuses | W1 | X | W2 | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Bonus
1xBet Promo Code 2026
|
2.21
|
3.58
|
3.25
|
96%
|
|
Bonus
Melbet Promo Code
|
2.18
|
3.52
|
3.2
|
95%
|
|
Bonus
15% of your qualifying deposit in Bet Credits up to 60 $
|
2.15
|
3.5
|
3.1
|
93%
|
|
|
Bonus
Afropari Promo Code 2026
|
2.56
|
2.33
|
3.45
|
90%
|
|
Bonus
BetWinner Promo Code
|
2.15
|
3.3
|
3
|
90%
|
| Average | 2.25 | 3.25 | 3.2 |
93%
|
|
| Highest | 2.56 | 3.58 | 3.45 |
96%
|
Players to watch
EFL Cup (Carabao Cup) 2026/2027
Other Scorers
Rayan
1 goals
1 goals
Ross Barkley
1 goals
1 goals
Bournemouth vs Aston Villa Head to Head History
Recent H2H Games - 10
3
wins
30%
3
draws
30%
4
wins
40%
Over 1.5
90%
9/10
Over 2.5
60%
6/10
Over 3.5
30%
3/10
BTTS
60%
6/10
Clean Sheets
10%
Bournemouth
Clean Sheets
30%
Aston Villa
07.02.26 FT
English Premier League
Bournemouth
Aston Villa
1
1
09.11.25 FT
English Premier League
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
4
0
10.05.25 FT
English Premier League
Bournemouth
0
Aston Villa
1
26.10.24 FT
English Premier League
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
1
1
21.04.24 FT
English Premier League
Aston Villa
Bournemouth
3
1
Last matches - Bournemouth
Statistics for the team's last 10 games
5
wins
50%
3
draws
30%
2
losses
20%
Avg Goals Scored
2
Avg Goals Conceded
1.2
Cards per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
2.9
Corners per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
5.6
Clean Sheets
40%
BTTS
50%
Today FT
Europa League
Bournemouth
3
AC Milan
0
18.10.26 FT
English Premier League
Bournemouth
2
Sunderland
0
15.10.26 FT
Europa League
Bournemouth
Sturm Graz
3
0
10.10.26 FT
English Premier League
Chelsea
Bournemouth
5
1
20.09.26 FT
English Premier League
Bournemouth
Liverpool
0
1
Last matches - Aston Villa
Statistics for the team's last 10 games
7
wins
70%
2
draws
20%
1
loss
10%
Avg Goals Scored
2.5
Avg Goals Conceded
1.1
Cards per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
1.6
Corners per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
5.4
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
70%
21.10.26 FT
Champions League
Aston Villa
Viking
3
1
17.10.26 FT
English Premier League
Newcastle
Aston Villa
0
1
14.10.26 FT
Champions League
Aston Villa
Fenerbahce
6
0
10.10.26 FT
English Premier League
Aston Villa
Brentford
2
2
02.10.26 FT
Club Friendlies
Sevilla
Aston Villa
1
3
Teams Season Stats (Current League)
Where to watch Bournemouth VS Aston Villa
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El Salvador
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Netherlands
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Portugal
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DAZN
Paramount+
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