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Wrexham vs Chelsea prediction: team news, lineups, expert analysis, and betting tips

The Hosts May Surprise
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 05 Mar 2026, 12:37
Wrexham vs Chelsea match prediction on Mar 07, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
5.65 4.29 1.61
17% 23% 60%
29 TIPS
Tournament FA Cup England
Date & kick-off time 07 mar 2026, 12:45

In the FA Cup Round of 16 on March 7, 2026, a match between Wrexham and Chelsea will take place. The visitors cannot afford to stumble in such games, but their opponent has nothing to lose here.

Wrexham vs Chelsea: Team News and Expert Analysis

The Welsh project, under new investors, is breaking records for its rapid rise within the English football system. They overcame League One in just one, last season. Now, they have a realistic chance of securing a place in the top 6 of the Championship and, consequently, competing in the playoffs. The 1-0 win over Charlton was their third consecutive victory in the division.

The London giants, under Maresca, regained their standing, finishing last season in the Premier League’s top four and winning the Conference League. This summer, they also added a Club World Cup title. Enzo departed at New Year’s, not so much due to on-field issues, though consistency was lacking, but rather due to disputes with management. His replacement, Rosenior, failed to challenge Arsenal in the League Cup semifinal but won matches in the Champions League, with the playoffs soon to begin. In the Premier League, the team mostly won under the new manager. Recently, however, there’s been a downturn – after draws with Leeds and Burnley, they lost to Arsenal. However, Aston Villa was thrashed 4-1!

The Welsh side managed to spring a surprise in January, knocking out Nottingham Forest on penalties after a spectacular 3-3 draw. Last month, they edged past Ipswich thanks to a single goal from Windass. Their high-profile opponents dispatched their rivals with routs: first a 5-1 away win at Charlton, then four unanswered goals at Hull.

Wrexham vs Chelsea: Key Statistics and Trends

  • Wrexham have won their last three matches
  • On average, Wrexham score 1.54 goals and concede 1.29 goals per match
  • 66% of Wrexham’s matches end with goals from both teams, with an average total of 2.83 goals per match
  • Chelsea secured their first win in four matches
  • On average, Chelsea score 1.83 goals and concede 1.17 goals per match
  • 69% of Chelsea’s matches end with goals from both teams, with an average total of 3.0 goals per match

Wrexham vs Chelsea: Probable Starting Lineups

Wrexham (probable lineup): Okonkwo – Doyle, Hyam, Cleworth – Thomasson, Rathbone, Windass, O'Brien, Dobson, Longman – Smith

Chelsea (probable lineup): Sanchez – Hato, Sarr, Fofana, James – Caicedo, Santos, Garnacho, Neto, Estevao – Delap

Previous Matches: Wrexham vs Chelsea

Previously, there were only friendlies between these teams, in 2023 (a commanding win for the Londoners) and 2024 (a draw).

Our Prediction for Wrexham vs Chelsea

The hosts will give it their all. We suggest betting on their victory with a "+1.5 goals" handicap (odds – 1.70).

Follow the FA Cup standings and check your team’s form before betting on the next match.

Our Pick
Game Prediction W1(+1,5)
1.7
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
WinRate WinRate (%) for the last 30 days 49
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Game Prediction Our Pick
W1(+1,5)
1.7