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Mariehamn vs HJK prediction: team news, lineups, expert analysis

The visitors are likely to win confidently
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 21 Jun 2026, 14:05
IFK Mariehamn vs HJK match prediction on Jun 23, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
7.65 Linebet 21 Jun 20:00 7.36 + 0.29 20 Jun 21:02 7.65 -0.29 19 Jun 21:02 7.75 -0.1 18 Jun 21:03 6.89 + 0.86 5.25 Linebet 21 Jun 20:00 5.1 + 0.15 20 Jun 21:02 5.25 -0.15 19 Jun 21:02 5.2 + 0.05 18 Jun 21:03 4.6 + 0.6 1.34 Linebet 18 Jun 21:03 1.39 -0.05
12% 18% 70%
21 TIPS
Tournament Veikkausliiga Finland
Venue Wiklof Holding Arena (Mariehamn)
Date & kick-off time 23 jun 2026, 13:00

In the 12th round of the Finnish Veikkausliiga, on June 23, 2026, a match will take place between Mariehamn and HJK. The home side desperately needs points, but their opponents have also come for a win.

Mariehamn vs HJK: Team News and Expert Analysis

The club from the Åland Islands was among the worst last season, but still managed to finish a decent eighth in the relegation group. This season, they have been unable to win and entered the summer at the bottom of the table. In the summer, they lost to both Gnistan and Oulu.

The capital's giants finished only fifth last season. They have not shown significant improvement this year, winning only slightly more frequently than before. In the previous round, they drew 3-3 with the leaders, Inter Turku.

The islanders have rightly become the underdogs—scoring only 0.55 goals per game while conceding three times as many, 1.73. HJK from Helsinki, on the other hand, scores 1.75 goals per game and concedes much less, just 1.08 per match.

Previous Matches: Mariehamn vs HJK

In January, in the League Cup, HJK's seven-match winning streak was broken with a defeat. But in May, HJK won again—1-0 at home.

The visitors are far superior to this season’s main outsider. We predict that they will win away even with a handicap of "-1.5 goals" (odds – 1.91).

Mariehamn vs HJK: Key Stats and Trends

  • Mariehamn has no wins in this championship
  • 45% of Mariehamn's matches end with goals from both teams, and the average total goals per match is 2.27
  • HJK has won four out of their last seven matches, including cup games
  • 50% of HJK's matches end with goals from both teams, and the average total goals per match is 2.83

Mariehamn vs HJK: Probable Starting Lineups

Mariehamn plays in a 1-5-3-2 formation (probable lineup): Lund - Ngulube, Nissinen, Lindgren, Koivisto, Amankwah - Hyvönen, Patut, Nurmi - Dahlström, Andersson

HJK plays in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (probable lineup): Marković - Montano, Leveyalahti, Tikkanen, Ulitolwa - Lingman, Ring - Chikale, Möller, Ezeh - Borkers

Follow the Finnish Veikkausliiga league table and stay up to date on your team’s form before placing a bet on the next match.

Our Pick
Game Prediction W2(-1,5)
1.91
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
WinRate WinRate (%) for the last 30 days 50
Avr. Coef. Avr. Coef. for the last 30 days 1.71
Void Voided bets (postponements, cancellations, etc.) in the last 30 days 45
Won/total Performance for the last 30 days 154 / 307
Active tips 20
Form
Game Prediction Our Pick
W2(-1,5)
1.91