Turkey vs USA prediction: expert analysis, possible lineups, June 26, 2026
In the third round of the World Cup on June 26, 2026, the national teams of Turkey and the USA will face off. The guests, who have already failed, go up against the hosts, who have everything decided.
Turkey vs USA: Team News and Expert Analysis
After reaching the Euro quarterfinals, Turkey finished second in their qualifying group, predictably giving up first place to Spain. However, in March they managed to beat both Romania and Kosovo 1-0 in the playoffs. Their winning run continued in friendlies against North Macedonia and Venezuela. At the tournament, however, they started with a surprising 0-2 loss to Australia. Against Paraguay, even with a man advantage, they failed to score and, losing again, lost all chances of reaching the playoffs.
The United States, after losing the final of their “home” Gold Cup a year ago, did not impress in friendlies either. They beat Senegal at the end of May, but then suffered another defeat to Germany, 1-2. In the opening round against Paraguay, they started with a commanding 4-1 win. They then secured a comfortable 2-0 victory over Australia, even without their captain, Pulisic.
Montella’s team averages 2.20 goals scored and concedes nearly half as many, at 0.8 per game—but things have looked different at this World Cup. The hosts have a less favorable ratio: they also score 2.2 per game, but concede 1.6.
Head-to-head: Turkey vs USA
After starting with a draw in 1991, both teams have since managed two wins each.
Nothing will change in a couple of days. Calhanoglu and company are likely to lose again—we’re backing an American victory (odds – 1.92).
Turkey vs USA: Key Stats and Trends
- Turkey have won seven of their last ten matches, but that means little after two World Cup defeats in a row
- 40% of Turkey's matches end with goals from both teams, and their average goals per match is 3.0
- The USA have lost three of their last six games—but so far, they have a perfect record at the tournament
- 80% of USA's matches end with goals from both teams, and their average total goals per match is 3.8
Turkey vs USA: Possible Starting Lineups
Turkey likely to use a 1-4-3-3 formation: Cakir - Kadioglu, Bardakci, Demiral, Müldür - Yuksek, Calhanoglu - Yildiz, Guler, Akgun - Akturkoglu
USA expected to play 1-4-2-3-1: Frieze - Ream, Richards, Freeman, Robinson - Tillman, Dest - Adams, McKennie, Pepi - Balogun
Place your bets on the upcoming match and follow your team’s position in the World Cup standings
