Tunisia vs Netherlands prediction: expert analysis, possible lineups, June 26, 2026
In the third round of the World Cup on June 26, 2026, the national teams of Tunisia and the Netherlands will face off. The nominal hosts will try to make a statement in their final appearance.
Tunisia vs Netherlands: Team News and Expert Analysis
Tunisia showed an almost perfect result in the qualifiers, collecting 28 points in ten matches. However, they were eliminated from the AFCON in the Round of 16, and recently suffered heavy defeats in friendlies, losing without scoring to Austria and Belgium (the latter a 0-5 loss). During the tournament, they suffered another humiliation against Sweden, 1-5. Against Japan, after replacing Lamouchi with Renard as head coach, there was little improvement: they lost 0-4.
The Dutch, following their Euro semifinal run, encountered few problems in qualifying, eventually finishing three points ahead of Poland to top their group. However, their recent friendlies before the World Cup were concerning: they only managed a draw with Ecuador and lost to Algeria. They secured a 2-1 win over Uzbekistan with a late penalty. In the tournament, they twice led against a much more experienced Asian side, Japan, but had to settle for a draw. They made amends against the Scandinavians, recording a convincing 5-1 victory.
The North African side, averaging 0.9 goals scored per match, concedes far more—2.1 per game. The Europeans, meanwhile, average 2.5 goals scored and concede significantly less, just 0.8 per match.
Previous Matches: Tunisia vs Netherlands
The teams played friendlies in 1994 and 2009. Both ended in high-scoring draws.
It is hard to believe the nominal hosts will stage a comeback, even at the end. Our tip: back Koeman’s men with a "-2 goals" handicap (odds – 1.71).
Tunisia vs Netherlands: Key Statistics and Trends
- Tunisia has lost five matches in a row
- 50% of Tunisia's matches feature goals from both teams, with an average of 3.0 goals per game
- The Netherlands have won two of their last five matches
- 60% of the Netherlands' matches have both teams scoring and an average of 3.3 goals per game
Tunisia vs Netherlands: Probable Starting Lineups
Tunisia is likely to play a 1-4-5-1 formation (probable lineup): Damen - Rekik, Talbi, Bronn, Mejbri - Saad, Abdi, Skhiri, Slimane, Valery - Tunketi
The Netherlands are expected to line up in a 1-4-3-3 (probable lineup): Verbruggen - van de Ven, van Dijk, van Hecke, Dumfries - Reijnders, de Jong, Gravenberch - Gakpo, Brobbey, Malen. Timber will not play in the tournament.
Place your bets on the upcoming match and follow your team’s position in the World Cup standings