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Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano prediction, match preview, betting tips and odds on February 1, 2026

The hosts are expected to win confidently
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 30 Jan 2026, 15:33
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano match prediction on Feb 01, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
1.15 9.65 22
85% 10% 4%
37 TIPS
Tournament LaLiga Spain
Date & kick-off time 01 feb 2026, 08:00

In the 22nd round of the Spanish La Liga on February 1, 2026, Madrid's Real Madrid will face Rayo Vallecano. Any result other than a win will not satisfy the hosts, who are in the race for the title.

Our prediction for Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

The capital's club lost in every possible way to Barcelona last season and exited the Champions League rather early – in the end, even all past achievements could not save Ancelotti from dismissal, albeit an honorable one. However, Xabi Alonso only lasted about half a year – he was sacked after a Super Cup defeat to the Catalans, who also lead in La Liga. Arbeloa, as coach, began with an exit from the Copa del Rey at the hands of Albacete! Yes, afterwards they beat Levante and Villarreal, but in the Champions League they lost 2-4 to Benfica.

Their neighbors managed to finish eighth in the spring. That sent them to the Conference League, where the Spaniards started from the summer qualifiers and reached the playoffs. But domestically, they have struggled lately. In the cup, they lost to Alaves in January. And in La Liga, they now have more defeats than wins. They also lost to their latest opponents, Celta and Osasuna.

M'bappe and company have strong stats: 2.14 goals scored per match and only 0.81 conceded. Iñigo Pérez's team scores 0.81 goals per game while conceding 1.33.

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: Key Stats and Trends

  • Real Madrid have lost three of their last five matches
  • 48% of Real Madrid matches end with both teams scoring and the average total goals per match is 2.95.
  • Rayo Vallecano have lost their last two games
  • 38% of Rayo Vallecano matches end with both teams scoring and the average total goals per match is 2.14

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano: Possible Starting Lineups

Real Madrid (possible lineup): Courtois - Camavinga, Heisen, Asensio, Valverde - Bellingham, Tchouameni, Güler - Vinicius Junior, Mbappe, Mastantuono

Rayo Vallecano (possible lineup): Batalla - Chavarría, Mendy, Lejeune, Ratiu - Diaz, Oscar Valentin, Álvaro García, Palazón, Martin - De Frutos

Previous Matches: Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

Surprisingly, Real Madrid have won only two of the last seven derbies, and even lost once.

Free Prediction for Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

It's hard to believe Mbappe and company will slip up again. Bet on them to win at home with a "-1.0 goals" handicap (odds – 1.72).

Place your bet on the upcoming match and follow the team's performance in the Spanish La Liga standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction W1(-1,0)
1.72
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
W1(-1,0)
1.72