LaLiga Spain
Round 5
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
4 place
12 sep 2026, 15:00
3
:
0
Correct score 3:0
Win Rate
6%
The most likely outcome according to the mathematical prediction
Rayo Vallecano
14 place
Real Madrid VS Rayo Vallecano Math predictions
Full-time result
Home
86%
1.14
Draw
10%
10.1
Away
4%
24
W1
Result:
W1
Win Rate
87%
The probability of 1.14 odds implies 86% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 87% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
1.14
Both teams to score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.77
BTTS: No
BTTS:
NO
Win Rate
57%
The probability of 1.77 odds implies 53% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 57% of the last 30 games with similar odds.
1.77
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
74%
1.25
Under 2.5
26%
3.62
O/U: Over 2.5
Total Goals:
Over
Win Rate
55%
The probability of 1.25 odds implies 74% chance of success, but it only happened in 55% of the last 21 games with similar odds.
1.25
Double Chance
1/X
95%
1.02
1/2
90%
1.08
X/2
15%
6.65
W1 or Draw
Double chance:
1/X
Win Rate
93%
The probability of 1.02 odds implies 95% chance of success, but it only happened in 93% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
1.02
Correct Score
Chance
Odds
Correct Score
Correct Score:
3:0
Win Rate
6%
The probability of 7 odds implies 6% chance of success, and these expectations were fulfilled in 6% of the recent 15 games with similar odds.
7
In the 5th round of La Liga on September 12, 2026, Real Madrid will face Rayo Vallecano. Nobody will understand if the...
W1(-2)
1.6
Bet Builder Tips for Real Madrid VS Rayo Vallecano
O/U Home team: Under 4.5
O/U Home team:
Under 4.5
Win Rate
94%
The probability of 1.27 odds implies 73% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 94% of the last 19 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.27
Chance
73%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1xbet | $12.7 | 1.27 | 92% | |
|
Betway | $12.5 | 1.25 | 94% | |
|
Afropari | $12.2 | 1.22 | 90% | |
|
1win | $12.1 | 1.21 | 92% |
Own goal: No
Own goal:
No
Win Rate
93%
The probability of 1.08 odds implies 88% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 93% of the last 30 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.08
Chance
88%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Bet365 | $10.8 | 1.08 | 95% |
Corners: Over 7
Corners:
Over 7
Win Rate
93%
The probability of 1.1 odds implies 80% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 93% of the last 30 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.1
Chance
80%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1xbet | $11 | 1.1 | 86% |
Asian Handicap: 1 -1.75
Asian Handicap:
1 -1.75
Win Rate
90%
The probability of 1.42 odds implies 66% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 90% of the last 15 games with similar odds.
Odds
1.42
Chance
66%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Afropari | $14.2 | 1.42 | 94% | |
|
|
1xbet | $14 | 1.4 | 92% |
Total Goals: Under 3.75
Total Goals:
Under 3.75
Win Rate
90%
The probability of 2.03 odds implies 48% chance of success, whereas it occurred in 90% of the last 16 games with similar odds.
Odds
2.03
Chance
48%
| BM |
$1 Return
$2 Return
$5 Return
$10 Return
$15 Return
$20 Return
|
Odds | Payout | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1xbet | $20.3 | 2.03 | 98% | |
|
|
Afropari | $19.9 | 1.99 | 95% | |
|
|
1win | $18.3 | 1.83 | 95% |
Fixture Analysis
Match Overview
Real Madrid host Rayo Vallecano at Estadio Bernabeu on LaLiga Spain matchday 5, with the home side chasing top positions and the visitors trying to move away from the lower mid-table. Real Madrid’s strong home scoring and higher xG pro...
Stats Trends & Facts
- All
- Match Result
- Goals
- Cards
- Corners
2.39 Goals per Game
36 games
83%
There have been under 3.5 goals scored in 30 of the last 36 Rayo Vallecano LaLiga Spain games.
Total Goals Under (3.5)
2.25
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Betting statistics
All leagues
LaLiga Spain
10
Played
10
Played
100 %
Over 0.5 goals
100 %
80 %
Over 1.5 goals
90 %
80 %
Over 2.5 goals
80 %
40 %
Over 3.5 goals
30 %
20 %
Over 4.5 goals
30 %
70 %
Over 1.5 goals in 1st period
50 %
60 %
Goals scored in both halves
30 %
10 %
Goals conceded in both halves
10 %
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Compare odds
United States| BM | Bonuses | W1 | X | W2 | Payout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
Bonus
1xBet Promo Code 2026
|
1.14
|
10.1
1xbet
11 Sep 22:00
10
+ 0.1
11 Sep 21:02
10.1
-0.1
11 Sep 21:00
10
+ 0.1
11 Sep 20:06
10.1
-0.1
11 Sep 20:01
9.95
+ 0.15
11 Sep 19:00
9.85
+ 0.1
11 Sep 17:01
9.8
+ 0.05
11 Sep 16:01
9.85
-0.05
11 Sep 12:02
9.95
-0.1
11 Sep 09:01
9.85
+ 0.1
11 Sep 08:04
9.8
+ 0.05
11 Sep 07:02
9.85
-0.05
11 Sep 06:01
9.7
+ 0.15
11 Sep 05:01
9.8
-0.1
11 Sep 04:02
9.65
+ 0.15
11 Sep 00:01
9.6
+ 0.05
10 Sep 21:03
9.7
-0.1
10 Sep 20:05
9.55
+ 0.15
10 Sep 12:03
9.7
-0.15
10 Sep 04:03
9.5
+ 0.2
09 Sep 08:03
9.55
-0.05
08 Sep 21:03
9.4
+ 0.15
08 Sep 20:04
9.1
+ 0.3
07 Sep 21:03
9.2
-0.1
07 Sep 20:04
9.1
+ 0.1
05 Sep 20:03
9.2
-0.1
02 Sep 21:04
9.1
+ 0.1
01 Sep 21:04
8.3
+ 0.8
|
24
1xbet
11 Sep 22:00
25
-1
11 Sep 21:00
24
+ 1
11 Sep 20:06
25
-1
11 Sep 20:01
24
+ 1
11 Sep 19:00
23
+ 1
11 Sep 05:01
22
+ 1
11 Sep 03:02
23
-1
11 Sep 02:11
22
+ 1
10 Sep 21:03
23
-1
10 Sep 20:05
22
+ 1
10 Sep 12:03
23
-1
10 Sep 04:03
22
+ 1
09 Sep 20:04
23
-1
09 Sep 08:03
22
+ 1
08 Sep 21:03
23
-1
08 Sep 20:04
22
+ 1
07 Sep 21:03
21
+ 1
07 Sep 20:04
22
-1
06 Sep 20:03
21
+ 1
01 Sep 21:04
18
+ 3
|
99%
|
|
|
Bonus
Melbet Promo Code
|
1.1
|
9.7
Melbet
11 Sep 20:06
9.5
+ 0.2
11 Sep 14:03
9.3
+ 0.2
11 Sep 08:04
9.4
-0.1
11 Sep 02:11
9.3
+ 0.1
10 Sep 04:03
9.1
+ 0.2
09 Sep 20:04
8.8
+ 0.3
09 Sep 08:03
9.2
-0.4
08 Sep 20:04
8.7
+ 0.5
|
24
Melbet
11 Sep 20:06
22
+ 2
11 Sep 08:04
21
+ 1
10 Sep 20:05
22
-1
10 Sep 04:03
21
+ 1
09 Sep 08:03
22
-1
08 Sep 20:04
21
+ 1
06 Sep 20:03
20
+ 1
|
95%
|
|
|
1.4
Betway
02 Sep 21:04
1.5
-0.08
|
3.75
Betway
11 Sep 22:00
3.6
+ 0.15
10 Sep 20:03
3.5
+ 0.1
09 Sep 21:01
3.4
+ 0.1
06 Sep 21:01
3.3
+ 0.1
05 Sep 21:07
3.25
+ 0.05
03 Sep 21:08
3.3
-0.05
02 Sep 21:04
3.1
+ 0.2
|
11
Betway
11 Sep 21:00
10
+ 1
11 Sep 20:01
11
-1
11 Sep 17:01
12
-1
11 Sep 16:01
11
+ 1
11 Sep 15:01
10
+ 1
11 Sep 14:02
11
-1
11 Sep 11:01
12
-1
11 Sep 10:02
11
+ 1
11 Sep 04:02
10
+ 1
09 Sep 21:01
12
-2
08 Sep 21:03
10
+ 2
07 Sep 21:03
11
-1
06 Sep 21:01
10
+ 1
03 Sep 21:08
11
-1
02 Sep 21:04
8.5
+ 2.5
|
93%
|
|
|
|
Bonus
15% of your qualifying deposit in Bet Credits up to 60 $
|
1.11
|
9.5
Bet365
09 Sep 08:03
8.5
+ 1
|
19
Bet365
10 Sep 20:05
21
-2
09 Sep 08:03
19
+ 2
08 Sep 20:04
15
+ 4
|
95%
|
|
|
Bonus
1Win Promo Code
|
1.12
|
9
1win
08 Sep 20:04
8.5
+ 0.5
|
19
1win
08 Sep 20:04
17
+ 2
|
95%
|
|
|
Bonus
Afropari Promo Code 2026
|
1.37
Afropari
08 Sep 21:03
1.44
-0.06
|
3.56
Afropari
10 Sep 21:03
3.45
+ 0.05
08 Sep 21:03
3.38
+ 0.07
|
12
Afropari
11 Sep 17:01
11
+ 1
06 Sep 21:01
10
+ 1
|
91%
|
|
Bonus
BetWinner Promo Code
|
1.12
|
8.5
Betwinner
09 Sep 08:03
8
+ 0.5
|
19
Betwinner
11 Sep 22:02
21
-2
11 Sep 21:02
19
+ 2
|
94%
|
| Average | 1.19 | 7.73 | 18.29 |
95%
|
|
| Highest | 1.4 | 10.1 | 24 |
99%
|
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Lineups
Lineups not confirmed
4-2-3-1
Jose Mourinho
Team manager
4-2-3-1
Benat San Jose
Team manager
1
Courtois
12
Alexander-Arnold
22
Ruediger
4
Huijsen
17
Cucurella
20
Silva
6
Camavinga
15
Guler
5
Bellingham
7
Vinicius Junior
10
Mbappe
1
Cardenas
2
Ratiu
24
Lejeune
6
Ciss
17
Pedrosa
23
Valentin
36
Bouare
4
Diaz
8
Lopez
18
Garcia
10
Camello
Lineups
1
Thibaut Courtois
Goalkeeper
12
Trent Alexander-Arnold
Right back
22
Antonio Ruediger
Сenter defender
4
Dean Huijsen
Сenter defender
17
Marc Cucurella
Left back
20
Bernardo Silva
Center midfielder
6
Eduardo Camavinga
Center midfielder
15
Arda Guler
Right midfielder
5
Jude Bellingham
Center midfielder
7
Vinicius Junior
Left midfielder
10
Kylian Mbappe
Сenter forward
1
Dani Cardenas
Goalkeeper
2
Andrei Ratiu
Right back
24
Florian Lejeune
Сenter defender
6
Pathe Ciss
Сenter defender
17
Adria Pedrosa
Left back
23
Oscar Valentin
Center midfielder
36
Gnangoro Bouare
Center midfielder
4
Pedro Diaz
Right midfielder
8
Unai Lopez
Center midfielder
18
Alvaro Garcia
Left midfielder
10
Sergio Camello
Сenter forward
Missing players
3
Eder Militao
Injured
11
Rodrygo
Injured
23
Ferland Mendy
Injured
13
Augusto Batalla
Injured
7
Isi Palazon
Injured
5
Luiz Felipe
Injured
33
Jozhua Vertrouwd
Injured
11
Randy Nteka
Injured
21
Fran Perez
Suspended
19
Jorge de Frutos
Suspended
Players to watch
LaLiga Spain 2026/2027
Goal Getters
Jude Bellingham
2 goals
2 goals
Carlos Espi
1 goals
1 goals
Vinicius Junior
1 goals
1 goals
Arda Guler
1 goals
1 goals
Andrei Ratiu
1 goals
1 goals
Alvaro Garcia
1 goals
1 goals
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Head to Head History
Recent H2H Games - 10
5
wins
50%
4
draws
40%
1
win
10%
Over 1.5
70%
7/10
Over 2.5
60%
6/10
Over 3.5
20%
2/10
BTTS
70%
7/10
Clean Sheets
30%
Real Madrid
Clean Sheets
20%
Rayo Vallecano
01.02.26 FT
LaLiga Spain
Real Madrid
2
Rayo Vallecano
1
09.11.25 FT
LaLiga Spain
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
0
0
09.03.25 FT
LaLiga Spain
Real Madrid
Rayo Vallecano
2
1
14.12.24 FT
LaLiga Spain
Rayo Vallecano
Real Madrid
3
3
18.02.24 FT
LaLiga Spain
Rayo Vallecano
1
Real Madrid
1
Last matches - Real Madrid
Statistics for the team's last 10 games
8
wins
80%
1
draw
10%
1
loss
10%
Avg Goals Scored
2.4
Avg Goals Conceded
0.8
Cards per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
1.5
Corners per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
5.1
Clean Sheets
30%
BTTS
60%
08.09.26 FT
Champions League
Real Madrid
Inter
2
1
04.09.26 FT
LaLiga Spain
Real Betis
Real Madrid
1
0
30.08.26 FT
LaLiga Spain
Real Madrid
Malaga
4
0
26.08.26 FT
LaLiga Spain
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
4
1
22.08.26 FT
LaLiga Spain
Espanyol
Real Madrid
1
2
Last matches - Rayo Vallecano
Statistics for the team's last 10 games
3
wins
30%
1
draw
10%
6
losses
60%
Avg Goals Scored
1.4
Avg Goals Conceded
2.1
Cards per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
2.6
Corners per game
Team’s individual total — average for this team only.
4.6
Clean Sheets
0%
BTTS
80%
05.09.26 FT
LaLiga Spain
Racing Santander
Rayo Vallecano
3
2
31.08.26 FT
LaLiga Spain
Barcelona
Rayo Vallecano
5
2
20.08.26 FT
LaLiga Spain
Rayo Vallecano
Deportivo Alaves
1
1
15.08.26 FT
LaLiga Spain
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla
2
1
08.08.26 FT
Club Friendlies
Ipswich
Rayo Vallecano
3
0
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano standings
LaLiga Spain Table| № | Team | MP | W | D | L | Goals | Pt |
| 1 | Barcelona | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Deportivo Alaves | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Sevilla | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 10 |
| 4 |
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 9 |
| 5 | Real Betis | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 6 | Deportivo de A Coruna | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:5 | 8 |
| 7 | Atletico Madrid | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 8 | Osasuna | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 9 | Real Sociedad | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 10 | Athletic Club | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 11 | Levante | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 12 | Espanyol | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 4 |
| 13 | Racing Santander | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 14 |
|
4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:10 | 4 |
| 15 | Getafe | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 17 | Villarreal | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | 2 |
| 18 | Malaga | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:7 | 2 |
| 19 | Elche | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5:12 | 1 |
| 20 | Valencia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:10 | 1 |
Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano form comparison
Teams Season Stats (Current League)
Where to watch Real Madrid VS Rayo Vallecano
TV broadcasters & Live in
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