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Qarabag vs Chelsea prediction: Match preview, betting odds and tips on November 5, 2025

Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 02 Nov 2025, 17:05
Qarabag FK vs Chelsea match prediction on Nov 05, 2025
Math prediction 1 X 2
9.1 5.64 1.37
11% 17% 72%
4 TIPS
Tournament Champions League
Date & kick-off time 05 nov 2025, 12:45

In the 4th round of the main stage of the Champions League, Qarabag will face Chelsea on November 5, 2025. The visitors are clear favorites, but their opponent has surprised many before.

Our Prediction for Qarabag vs Chelsea

Gurbanov and his team have been dominating Azerbaijani football for quite some time. While they currently have no significant lead over their rivals, no one doubts how the championship will end. In London, after a forced change of ownership, Chelsea experienced several unsuccessful years. However, under Maresca, the club managed to return to fourth place in the Premier League, while also winning the Conference League and, in the summer, the Club World Cup. However, without fully recovering, the tight fixture schedule has caused them to drop points in half of their domestic matches.

As usual, the Azerbaijanis started their Champions League campaign from the qualification rounds. This time, they successfully advanced, defeating not only Shelbourne and Shkëndija-79, but also Ferencváros. Moreover, in the group stage, the team from Baku started with wins over Benfica and Copenhagen. They only lost to Athletic Bilbao 1-3, although they had opened the scoring in Bilbao.

The English giants opened with a 1-3 defeat to Bayern in Munich, making numerous defensive errors. They then managed a home win over Benfica only thanks to an own goal, and finally delivered a resounding 5-1 victory over Ajax, though they also conceded in that match.

Qarabag vs Chelsea: Key Statistics and Trends

  • Qarabag have won five out of eight Champions League matches, including qualifying
  • On average, Qarabag scores 1.63 goals and concedes 0.38 goals per match
  • Chelsea are on a two-match winning streak
  • On average, Chelsea scores 1.89 goals and concedes 1.22 goals per match

Qarabag vs Chelsea: Probable Starting Lineups

Qarabag (probable lineup): Kochalski - Jafarguliev, Medina, Mustafazade, Mateus - Kadi, Bicalho, Zoubir, Andrade, Duran - Akhundzade

Chelsea (probable lineup): Jorgensen - Hato, Adarabioyo, Fofana, Caicedo - Fernandez, Lavia, Buonanotte - Gittens, Guiu, Estevao

Previous Meetings: Qarabag vs Chelsea

The clubs have met before, in 2017, when the English side won both matches with a combined score of 10-0.

Free Prediction for Qarabag vs Chelsea

The visitors are regarded as clear favorites. However, the hosts are sure to cause problems for Chelsea's less-than-perfect defense—expect "over 3.0 goals" (odds – 1.83).

Place your bets on the upcoming match and follow your team's position in the Champions League main stage table

Our Pick
Game Prediction Total over 3.0
1.83
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Total over 3.0
1.83