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Paraguay vs France prediction: expert analysis, possible lineups, July 5, 2026

France expected to secure a confident win
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 03 Jul 2026, 17:00
Paraguay vs France match prediction on Jul 04, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
15 Linebet 03 Jul 18:01 17.5 -2.5 03 Jul 17:01 17 + 0.5 03 Jul 14:01 17.5 -0.5 03 Jul 12:01 16 + 1.5 03 Jul 10:01 15.5 + 0.5 03 Jul 07:01 16 -0.5 03 Jul 06:01 15.5 + 0.5 03 Jul 05:01 16.5 -1 03 Jul 03:01 16 + 0.5 03 Jul 02:02 16.5 -0.5 03 Jul 00:01 17 -0.5 02 Jul 22:01 16.5 + 0.5 02 Jul 04:00 17 -0.5 01 Jul 21:01 15.5 + 1.5 7.23 Linebet 03 Jul 18:01 7.5 -0.27 03 Jul 14:01 7.34 + 0.12 03 Jul 13:01 7.41 -0.07 03 Jul 12:01 7.06 + 0.35 03 Jul 10:01 6.8 + 0.26 03 Jul 06:01 6.86 -0.05 03 Jul 05:01 7.06 -0.2 03 Jul 04:01 7.01 + 0.05 03 Jul 03:01 6.81 + 0.2 03 Jul 02:02 7.01 -0.2 03 Jul 00:01 6.96 + 0.05 02 Jul 22:01 7.01 -0.05 02 Jul 04:00 6.96 + 0.05 01 Jul 21:01 6.86 + 0.1 01 Jul 08:00 6.91 -0.05 1.23
7% 14% 80%
23 TIPS
Tournament World Cup
Venue Philadelphia Stadium (Philadelphia)
Date & kick-off time 04 jul 2026, 17:00

In the Round of 16 of the World Cup on July 5, 2026, the national teams of Paraguay and France will face off. The favorite here is clear, but the opponent has already produced several upsets.

Paraguay vs France: Team News and Expert Analysis

Paraguay missed several World Cups. But finally delivered a worthy result, managing to collect 28 points from eighteen qualification matches. Their long-awaited tournament started with a heavy defeat, 1-4 against the USA. But then their tactical approach began to pay off. A narrow win over Turkey and a pragmatic goalless draw with Australia paved their way to the playoffs, where they sensationally knocked out Germany — winning on penalties after a 1-1 draw.

The French, finalists at the 2018 (winners) and 2022 (lost to Argentina on penalties) World Cups, qualified smoothly for the current tournament, winning five of six qualifying matches with a draw in Iceland. At the tournament itself, this powerhouse has been consistently strong. They beat Senegal, Iraq, and even Norway (albeit with Norway fielding a second squad) in the group stage, and thrashed Sweden 3-0 in the Round of 32. Mbappé already has six goals!

The South Americans are pragmatic — they average 1.2 goals both scored and conceded per match. The runners-up score an average of 2.9 goals and concede only 0.8.

Previous Matches: Paraguay vs France

In five meetings, France won twice while three ended in draws. Notably, at the "home" World Cup in 1998, after a 0-0 draw, Blanc scored in extra time, sending his team further down the path to the trophy.

Now, Deschamps' men look more stable — we back them to win with a handicap of "-1.5 goals" (odds – 1.66).

Paraguay vs France: Key Stats and Trends

  • Paraguay has lost only one of their last five matches
  • 50% of Paraguay's matches end with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per game is 2.4
  • France has won nine of their last ten matches
  • 70% of France's matches end with both teams scoring, and the average total goals per game is 3.7

Paraguay vs France: Probable Starting Lineups

Paraguay plays in a 1-4-4-2 formation (probable lineup): Gil, Alonso, Canale, Gomez, Caceres, Galarza, Cubas, Bobadilla, Almiron, Enciso, Avalos

France plays in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (probable lineup): Maignan - Digne, Saliba, Upamecano, Koundé - Rabiot, Tchouaméni - Barcola, Olise, Dembélé - Mbappé. Cherki is reportedly depressed due to his substitute status

Place your bets on the upcoming match and follow the team's performance in the World Cup standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction W2(-1,5)
1.66
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
WinRate WinRate (%) for the last 30 days 51
Avr. Coef. Avr. Coef. for the last 30 days 1.72
Void Voided bets (postponements, cancellations, etc.) in the last 30 days 84
Won/total Performance for the last 30 days 147 / 286
Active tips 29
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Game Prediction Our Pick
W2(-1,5)
1.66