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Canada vs Morocco prediction: expert analysis, possible lineups, July 4, 2026

The visitors may claim victory
Benjamin Mcneil
Author:
Benjamin Mcneil, betting expert
Published: 03 Jul 2026, 17:00
Canada vs Morocco match prediction on Jul 04, 2026
Math prediction 1 X 2
4.7 Linebet 03 Jul 18:01 4.65 + 0.05 03 Jul 17:01 5.01 -0.36 03 Jul 15:01 5.17 -0.21 03 Jul 14:01 5.22 -0.05 03 Jul 00:01 5.17 + 0.06 01 Jul 20:02 5.02 + 0.15 3.51 Linebet 03 Jul 18:01 3.43 + 0.08 03 Jul 17:01 3.56 -0.13 03 Jul 15:01 3.62 -0.05 1.93 Linebet 03 Jul 17:01 1.87 + 0.09
21% 28% 51%
38 TIPS
Tournament World Cup
Venue Houston Stadium (Houston)
Date & kick-off time 04 jul 2026, 13:00

In the Round of 16 of the World Cup on July 4, 2026, the national teams of Canada and Morocco will face each other. Both sides are confident they can advance further.

Canada vs Morocco: Team News and Expert Analysis

Canada participated in the last World Cup, although once again they failed to earn any points. For the current tournament, they did not go through qualification but have already shown they are far from out of place. They secured their first-ever playoff spot with confidence—drawing 1-1 with Bosnia and thrashing Qatar 6-0. Therefore, the loss to Switzerland shouldn't be overemphasized. Moreover, in the round of 16, they edged South Africa by scoring the only goal in added time (90+2 minute).

Morocco were semi-finalists at the previous World Cup. Since then, they have topped their qualifying group, won the African Nations Championship and the Arab Cup, and reached the AFCON final (on the field they lost to Senegal on penalties, but later Senegal was formally handed a technical defeat). In North America, the Moroccan team has also shown their strength. They started with a draw against Brazil, then defeated both Scotland and Haiti. In the playoffs, after a 1-1 draw, they knocked out the Netherlands on penalties!

One of the tournament's host nations averages 1.7 goals scored per match, conceding almost three times less—0.6 per game. Their North African opponents have slightly better numbers: two goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match.

Previous Matches: Canada vs Morocco

Both in the 2016 friendly and at the 2022 World Cup, the Africans emerged victorious.

This time, even home advantage is unlikely to change things—we are backing Hakimi and company to win (odds – 1.83).

Canada vs Morocco: Key Statistics and Trends

  • Canada has won two of their last three matches
  • 40% of Canada's matches end with goals from both teams and the average total goals per match is 2.3
  • Morocco has won two of their last three matches
  • 60% of Morocco's matches end with goals from both teams and the average total goals per match is 2.8.

Canada vs Morocco: Probable Starting Lineups

Canada plays in a 1-4-4-2 formation (probable lineup): Crepeau - Laryea, Cornelius, Bombito, Johnston - Millar, Eustaquio, Saliba, Buchanan - Oluwaseyi, David. Kone is out with a leg fracture.

Morocco lines up in a 1-4-2-3-1 formation (probable lineup): Bounou - Mazraoui, Riyad, Diop, Hakimi - El Ainaoui, Bouaddi - El Khannouss, Ounahi, Dias - Saibari

Place your bets on the upcoming match and follow your team's position in the World Cup standings

Our Pick
Game Prediction Morocco to Win
1.83
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Benjamin Mcneil
Benjamin Mcneil
betting expert
He is an analyst in the world of football who doesn't mind adding to his budget with a lucky bet, something he has been doing for the last 10 years. I don't believe in luck, but I believe that the motivation of the opponents and their kit plays a big role, and any sensation is explainable. I prefer to play cautiously, because it is better to win 5 out of 5 bets at odds of 1.6-1.7 than to lose 2 out of 3 bets at odds of 2.2.
WinRate WinRate (%) for the last 30 days 51
Avr. Coef. Avr. Coef. for the last 30 days 1.72
Void Voided bets (postponements, cancellations, etc.) in the last 30 days 84
Won/total Performance for the last 30 days 147 / 286
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Game Prediction Our Pick
Morocco to Win
1.83